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  Conservative Party Leader
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Conservative Party Leader
OfficeParty Leader
TypeConservative General Election
Filing Deadline February 24, 2017 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 27, 2017 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close May 27, 2017 - 03:00pm Central
Term Start May 27, 2017 - 04:00pm
Term End December 31, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 23.80% Registered 0.14% VAP 0.11% Total Population
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedM@ November 06, 2018 09:12am
Data Sources[Link]
Description While Kevin O'Leary withdrew on April 26, 2017, his withdrawal occurred after the deadline. Therefore, O'Leary's name remained on the final ballot.

Votes reflect percentages
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won11/05/2015
NameRona Ambrose Votes1 (100.00%)
Term11/05/2015 - 05/27/2017 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
MAP
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/19/2017 05/27/2017
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Maxime Bernier 1 --1 --
Leaning Call: Maxime Bernier (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Maxime Bernier (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/04/2015 05/14/2017

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MP Andrew Scheer MP Maxime Bernier MP Erin O'Toole MP Brad Trost MP Michael Chong MP Pierre Lemieux MP Kellie Leitch
PartyConservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes17,222 (50.95%) 16,578 (49.05%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -644 (-1.91%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ballot Round 11 12,965 (38.36%) 13,647 (40.38%) 7,187 (21.26%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 10 10,235 (30.28%) 12,360 (36.57%) 6,373 (18.86%) 4,832 (14.30%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 9 9,558 (28.28%) 11,571 (34.23%) 4,948 (14.64%) 4,634 (13.71%) 3,090 (9.14%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 8 8,798 (26.03%) 10,710 (31.69%) 4,324 (12.79%) 4,341 (12.84%) 2,939 (8.70%) 0 (0.00%) 2,688 (7.95%)  
Ballot Round 7 8,061 (23.85%) 10,557 (31.23%) 4,181 (12.37%) 2,884 (8.53%) 2,908 (8.60%) 2,593 (7.67%) 2,616 (7.74%)  
Ballot Round 6 7,765 (22.97%) 10,313 (30.51%) 3,825 (11.32%) 2,862 (8.47%) 2,693 (7.97%) 2,562 (7.58%) 2,516 (7.44%)  
Ballot Round 5 7,597 (22.48%) 10,208 (30.20%) 3,769 (11.15%) 2,852 (8.44%) 2,666 (7.89%) 2,538 (7.51%) 2,455 (7.26%)  
Ballot Round 4 7,492 (22.17%) 10,115 (29.93%) 3,708 (10.97%) 2,843 (8.41%) 2,619 (7.75%) 2,518 (7.45%) 2,430 (7.19%)  
Ballot Round 3 7,455 (22.06%) 9,922 (29.36%) 3,669 (10.86%) 2,834 (8.39%) 2,606 (7.71%) 2,510 (7.43%) 2,398 (7.10%)  
Ballot Round 2 7,427 (21.97%) 9,855 (29.16%) 3,635 (10.75%) 2,830 (8.37%) 2,584 (7.65%) 2,504 (7.41%) 2,383 (7.05%)  
Ballot Round 1 7,384 (21.85%) 9,824 (29.06%) 3,609 (10.68%) 2,827 (8.36%) 2,573 (7.61%) 2,498 (7.39%) 2,375 (7.03%)  
Ballot Round 0 7,376 (21.82%) 9,763 (28.89%) 3,601 (10.65%) 2,821 (8.35%) 2,552 (7.55%) 2,496 (7.39%) 2,366 (7.00%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 09/28/2016 04/07/2016 10/14/2016 08/16/2016 05/16/2016 08/22/2016 04/06/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg19.96%-- 28.83%-- 15.62%-- 4.16%-- 8.15%-- 5.42%-- 6.64%--
Mainstreet Research 
05/11/17-05/14/17
19.54% 2.5 28.41% 2.8 15.20% 3.9 3.74% 0.2 7.73% 3.6 5.00% 0.8 6.22% 5.5
Mainstreet Research 
04/29/17-04/30/17
22.01% -- 31.18% -- 11.25% -- 3.59% -- 4.18% -- 4.18% -- 11.76% --
Forum Research 
04/04/16-04/05/16
0.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Abacus Data 
03/16/16-03/18/16
0.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/15/16-01/15/16
0.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
Abacus Data 
01/08/16-01/12/16
0.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 4.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
SP Randy Weekes [L]
PC Carl Urquhart [L]
SP Christine Tell [L]
SP Lyle Stewart [L]
SP Warren Steinley [L]
SP Doug Steele [L]
SP Kevin Phillips [L]
SP Greg Ottenbreit [L]
SP Hugh Nerlien [L]
PC Monte McNaughton [L]
SP Greg Lawrence [L]
SP Warren Kaeding [L]
PC Larry Harrison [L]
SP Jeremy Harrison [L]
UCP Dave Hanson [L]
SP Larry Doke [L]
UCP Glenn van Dijken [L]
SP Terry Dennis [L]
SP Dan D'Autremont [L]
SP Herb Cox [L]
UCP Nathan Cooper [L]
SP Lori Carr [L]
PC Jeff Carr [L]
SP Jennifer Campeau [L]
SP Greg Brkich [L]
SP Fred Bradshaw [L]
SP Bill Boyd [L]
SP Steven Bonk [L]
UCP Wayne Anderson [L]
UCP Don MacIntyre [L]
WP Shayne Saskiw [L]
CPC David L. Anderson [L]
CPC Marilyn Gladu [L]
CPC Scott Reid [L]
CPC Babar "Bob" Saroya [L]
CPC Norman Doyle [L]
CPC Dennis Patterson [L]
CPC Don Plett [L]
CPC Carolyn Stewart-Olsen [L]
CPC Scott Tannas [L]
CPC Betty Unger [L]
CPC Mike Allen [L]
CPC Garry Breitkreuz [L]
PC Paul Calandra [L]
CPC Royal Galipeau [L]
CPC Baljit "Bal" Gosal [L]
CPC Jim Gouk [L]
CPC Bryan Hayes [L]
CPC Costas Menegakis [L]
CPC Tilly O'Neill-Gordon [L]
CPC LaVar Payne [L]
CPC Peter Penashue [L]
CPC Kyle Seeback [L]
CPC Gail Shea [L]
CPC Devinder Shory [L]
CPC Chuck Strahl [L]
CPC Jeff Watson [L]
CPC Alain Rayes [L]
CPC Pierre Paul-Hus [L]
CPC Luc Berthold [L]
CPC Sylvie Boucher [L]
CPC Bob Zimmer [L]
CPC Chris Warkentin [L]
CPC Mark Warawa [L]
CPC Cathay Wagantall [L]
CPC Arnold Viersen [L]
CPC Kelly McCauley [L]
CPC Gerry Ritz [L]
CPC Kevin Sorenson [L]
CPC Mark Strahl [L]
CPC Shannon Stubbs [L]
CPC Denise Batters [L]
CPC David Tkachuk [L]
CPC David Wells [L]
CPC Ziad Aboultaif [L]
CPC John Barlow [L]
CPC Kelly Block [L]
CPC Jim Eglinski [L]
CPC Ted Falk [L]
CPC Garnett Genuis [L]
CPC Matt Jeneroux [L]
CPC Tom Lukiwski [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name MP Lisa Raitt MP Steven Blaney Citizenship & Immigration Minister Christopher Alexander Kevin O'Leary Rick Peterson MP Andrew Saxton MP Deepak Obhrai
PartyConservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative Conservative
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%) -17,222 (-50.95%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Ballot Round 11 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 10 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 9 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 8 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 7 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 6 1,264 (3.74%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 5 1,245 (3.68%) 469 (1.39%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 4 1,209 (3.58%) 448 (1.33%) 417 (1.23%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 3 1,188 (3.52%) 441 (1.31%) 407 (1.20%) 369 (1.09%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 2 1,165 (3.45%) 433 (1.28%) 391 (1.16%) 367 (1.09%) 227 (0.67%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 1 1,138 (3.37%) 429 (1.27%) 385 (1.14%) 365 (1.08%) 223 (0.66%) 172 (0.51%) 0 (0.00%)  
Ballot Round 0 1,128 (3.34%) 426 (1.26%) 379 (1.12%) 361 (1.07%) 221 (0.65%) 170 (0.50%) 140 (0.41%)  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 11/02/2016 10/23/2016 10/12/2016 01/18/2017 10/18/2016 10/18/2016 07/14/2016
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.73%-- 1.52%-- 1.56%-- 0.00%-- 1.14%-- 1.01%-- 0.75%--
Mainstreet Research 
05/11/17-05/14/17
4.31% 1.2 1.10% 0.8 1.14% 0.8 0.00% -- 0.72% 0.1 0.59% 0.2 0.33% 0.2
Mainstreet Research 
04/29/17-04/30/17
5.48% -- 1.89% -- 1.89% -- 0.00% -- 0.80% -- 0.40% -- 0.50% --
Forum Research 
04/04/16-04/05/16
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Abacus Data 
03/16/16-03/18/16
8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mainstreet Research 
01/15/16-01/15/16
4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 23.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Abacus Data 
01/08/16-01/12/16
13.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT
Adrienne Snow (CPC)
Aug 23, 2016 - Jan 04, 2017
Dan Lindsay (CPC)
May 25, 2016 - Dec 30, 2016
Tony Clement (CPC)
Jul 12, 2016 - Oct 12, 2016
Michelle Rempel (CPC)
Sep 27, 2016
Candice Bergen (CPC)
Sep 18, 2016
Gérard Deltell (CPC)
Sep 18, 2016
Peter G. MacKay (CPC)
Sep 12, 2016
Doug Ford, Jr. (CPC)
Aug 24, 2016
Paul Calandra (CPC)
Aug 19, 2016
Jason Kenney (CPC)
Jul 06, 2016
Brad Wall (CPC)
May 28, 2016
Rob Nicholson (CPC)
 00, 2016
Pierre Poilievre (CPC)
 00, 2016
Scott Reid (CPC)
Nov 30, 2015
Rona Ambrose (CPC)
Nov 07, 2015
James Moore (CPC)
Oct 29, 2015
John Baird (CPC)
Oct 26, 2015
Jean Charest (CPC)
Oct 21, 2015
Bernard Lord (CPC)
Oct 21, 2015
Christy Clark (CPC)
Oct 20, 2015

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