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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2024 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open February 03, 2024 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close August 11, 2024 - 11:50pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorE Pluribus Unum
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum April 16, 2024 12:14pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/21/2020 05/02/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Kamala Harris ----1 1
Tulsi Gabbard 1 ------
Joe Biden ----1 19
Marianne Williamson ------1
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (86.81%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (100.23%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

09/09/2021 12/18/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) President Joe Biden Marianne Williamson Carnita Faye Atwater Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Willie Felix Carter (W) Michael Soetaert James "Jimmy" Ogle
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.80.00% 6.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $--
Donate
$--
Donate
$-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2023 03/04/2023 08/18/2022 04/11/2023 03/19/2022 01/16/2023 03/07/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg75.00%-- 13.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Quinnipiac University 
12/14/23-12/18/23
75.00% 2.0 13.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/26/23-10/30/23
77.00% 4.0 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/17/23-09/18/23
62.00% 1.0 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/07/23-09/11/23
73.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
08/25/23-08/26/23
61.00% 9.0 4.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
06/26/23-06/29/23
65.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Princess Khadijah M. Jacob-Fambro Mark Stewart Greenstein Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato Michael A. Steinberg Terrisa Bukovinac President R. Boddie John F. Coyne, III
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 11/20/2022 06/01/2023 01/19/2023 07/02/2023 09/18/2023 09/19/2023 08/19/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 9 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Quinnipiac University 
12/14/23-12/18/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/26/23-10/30/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
09/17/23-09/18/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/07/23-09/11/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
08/25/23-08/26/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
06/26/23-06/29/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 11 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Gabriel Cornejo (D)
 00, 2023 - Mar 18, 2024
Frankie Lozada (D)
 00, 2023 - Mar 18, 2024
Stephen P. Lyons (D)
 00, 2024 - Mar 18, 2024
Dean Phillips (D)
Oct 27, 2023 - Mar 06, 2024
Cenk Uygur (D)
Oct 11, 2023 - Mar 06, 2024
Joe Manchin (D)
Feb 16, 2024
Jimmy Cooper (D)
Aug 00, 2023 -  00, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (D)
Apr 05, 2023 - Oct 09, 2023
Jerome "Jerry" Segal (D)
Jul 25, 2022 - May 02, 2023
Steve Bullock (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Pete Buttigieg (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Julián Castro (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Roy Cooper (D)
Apr 25, 2023
John Bel Edwards (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Keith M. Ellison (D)
Apr 25, 2023
John K. Fetterman (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Kamala Harris (D)
Apr 25, 2023
John Hickenlooper (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Mark Kelly (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Jeff Merkley (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Beto O'Rourke (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Jon Ossoff (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Alejandro "Alex" Padilla (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Deval L. Patrick (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Gina M. Raimondo (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Jamie Raskin (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Joe Sanberg (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Bernie Sanders (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Joshua "Josh" Shapiro (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Tom Steyer (D)
Apr 25, 2023
Ayanna S. Pressley (D)
Mar 29, 2023
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
Mar 14, 2023
Eric L. Adams (D)
Jan 31, 2023
Adam Schiff (D)
Jan 26, 2023
Tim Kaine (D)
Jan 20, 2023
Katie Porter (D)
Jan 10, 2023
Wes Moore (D)
Jan 01, 2023
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Dec 15, 2022
Raphael Warnock (D)
Dec 09, 2022
Cori Bush (D)
Nov 10, 2022
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
Oct 17, 2022
Tulsi Gabbard (D)
Oct 11, 2022
Tammy Baldwin (D)
Oct 05, 2022
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Oct 05, 2022
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Oct 05, 2022
Chris Murphy (D)
Oct 05, 2022
Gavin Newsom (D)
Sep 25, 2022
Jon Stewart (D)
Jul 09, 2022
Jay Inslee (D)
Jul 06, 2022
Jared Polis (D)
May 30, 2022
Rohit "Ro" Khanna (D)
Mar 17, 2022
Hillary Clinton (D)
Mar 08, 2022
Philip D. Murphy (D)
Jan 09, 2022
Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2022
J. B. Pritzker (D)
Dec 14, 2021
Stacey Abrams (D)
Dec 12, 2021
Andy Beshear (D)
Nov 18, 2021
Cory Booker (D)
Nov 18, 2021
Sherrod Brown (D)
Jul 26, 2021
Elizabeth Warren (D)
May 09, 2021
Michelle Obama (D)
Aug 02, 2019

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NEWS
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May 08, 2023 11:00am Conspiracy Theory Robert Kennedy Jr. sees ‘overwhelming evidence’ CIA involved in JFK assassination   Article RP 
Nov 30, 2022 10:00am News Democrats prepare to upend presidential primary calendar  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
78
Previous Messages]
 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Thu, April 20, 2023 01:44:19 AM UTC0:00
That link shows Biden at 31% of the vote. So he barely doubled.

 
GPC:11476Didp1234 ( -12.1189 points)
x3
Thu, April 20, 2023 08:23:59 AM UTC0:00
I hope Marianne Williamson wins some counties and possibly the state of New Hampshire! Marianne 2024!

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, April 21, 2023 02:11:58 AM UTC0:00
Assuming Biden announces the 25th like people are reporting, here's a list of the people we can remove from contention:
-Bernie
-Buttigieg
-Warren
-Kamala
-Cooper

Then I assume most of the rest will start backing him publicly so they can finally be removed, a lot if these people literally came and went in the media cycle so fast, as Prez Speculation always does

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, April 27, 2023 03:08:13 AM UTC0:00
I just went on a limb and removed Ellison and Sanberg. They were ones that were speculated for a bit then dropped almost instantly.


The only ones that seem to still be in contention are Nina and Manchin but I am gonna go on a limb and say Nina is out because most of her tweets are RTing Marianne, so she's at least infromally backing her

 
MFL:9399Juan Croniqueur ( 0.2936 points)
Thu, April 27, 2023 06:02:42 AM UTC0:00
I have to LOL at Ellison; I've met his son, and the idea of me having met the son of a President of the United States by chance at a local restaurant is amusing.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
x2
Thu, April 27, 2023 06:39:51 AM UTC0:00
I'll be followed by a Prez when Jerome Segal wins lol

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Sat, May 13, 2023 12:18:08 AM UTC0:00
Meanwhile....


 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sat, May 13, 2023 01:59:41 AM UTC0:00
For those who want to know: This poll is the average of ALL voters, including Republicans.

Actual Dem Voters are more lopsided

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Sat, May 13, 2023 02:48:30 AM UTC0:00
Maybe the Republicans will nominate Robert F Kennedy Jr instead of Trump?

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 520.1045 points)
Sat, May 13, 2023 03:58:13 PM UTC0:00
I actually had my doubts about the veracity of that poll.
But I couldn't resist posting it anyway.

I'm sure we won't see polling results like that for another few months yet.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
x2
Fri, May 26, 2023 02:41:01 AM UTC0:00
According to RCP, Biden has dipped below 60%. Quite sad that Democrats can't even unite under one candidate, at this point Trump was over 80%.

 
D:10973Patrick ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 03:00:37 AM UTC0:00
What 2019 poll had Trump winning 80% of Democratic primary voters?

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 04:14:50 AM UTC0:00
Patrick: What 2019 poll had Trump winning 80% of Democratic primary voters?


He had 80% of his voters.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 04:38:50 AM UTC0:00
There are a lot of things to unpack:

1. By "Below 60%" he means 59.3% [Link]

2. RCP aggregate polling for the 2020 GOP Nomibation was only conducted late 2019 early 2020 as nobody took Welds campaign seriously since the GOP was rigging it for Trump [Link]

3. A poll that was conducted in around this time last year had Trump with 73% not "Over 80%" [Link]

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 04:56:42 AM UTC0:00
There are more polls a few weeks ago he was at 94% and 87% ([Link] 84% ([Link]).

Even if he was 73% he is doing far more better than Biden.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 05:03:48 AM UTC0:00
And the poll from 5/18 - 5/21 had Trump at 94% and 87%. That's the poll I was referring to.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 05:36:31 AM UTC0:00
Did you really just type "[Link]" without linking.

ALSO the numbers you are referring to are Approval Ratings among Party members not Presidential polling. Which most if not all people understand are two different numbers. And you cannot say you are talking about approval ratings because Biden's approval rating has not been 60 in his entire Prez Term [Link]

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 05:41:15 AM UTC0:00
Here is the link:

[Link]

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 05:52:26 AM UTC0:00
Okay, that is cool.

Still 73>59.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.0045 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 06:00:26 AM UTC0:00
A poll shows today that Democrats in Senate have a disapproval of 24% while Republicans in House have disapproval of 20%.

Looks like to me, Schumer is very ineffective guy than McCarthy.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 06:17:10 AM UTC0:00
The reason why the GOP sucked Trumps cock every second of 2020 is because the GOP is a cult who licks the boot of whoever they need to in order to maintain power.

Dems for better and worst have a bit more of a brain to not be 100% loyal sheep

Also its not hard to make Dems look ineffective when you self admit to sabotaging their agenda as the GOP just admitted they are doing.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.9873 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 07:53:50 PM UTC0:00
Alot of Democrats don't want Biden to run again because of his age and that shows up in his polling. He will end up getting most of those votes in the primaries when there is little alternative and he will get all of their votes in the general.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Fri, May 26, 2023 08:23:32 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Alot of Democrats don't want Biden to run again because of his age and that shows up in his polling. He will end up getting most of those votes in the primaries when there is little alternative and he will get all of their votes in the general.

Dems dont want him and most Dem voters wil say publicly they don't. But they increasingly show they will choose the path of least resistance in regards to elections. So unless Bernie, Kamala, or Newsom enter; Biden gets defacto support like last time

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Mon, June 12, 2023 10:05:24 PM UTC0:00
Now that we have the Republican question mostly answered. What about Biden?

Is there any scenario, barring the grave injury, that Biden isn't the nominee?

I've been speculating that he's the nominee against Trump. But if Trump were unable to run that Biden might step aside for a more electable Democrat.

He seems strong against Trump but consistently losing against other Republicans. Candidly Biden approvals aren't great and poll after poll show "someone else" preferred.

Thoughts? Who could step in this late in the game? Who gives Ds the best shot absent of Biden?


 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Mon, June 12, 2023 10:44:12 PM UTC0:00
I honestly don't believe Biden is fully committed to a 2nd term. Of course, it depends on who the GOP nominee is, but he could drop out in the middle of the primaries, before Iowa, NH, or SC, or even before the convention, and essentially handpick is successor. He just doesn't look healthy, he knows that, independent know that, Democrats know that, and Republicans know that.

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