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  US President - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficeU.S. President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 11:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00am
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00am
ContributorDylanSH99
Last ModifiedRBH September 14, 2020 07:29pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,516 (48.18%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,691 (+2.10%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 10, 2020 US President - CST Primaries
Don Blankenship
CST 1,928
Apr 01, 2020 US President - LBT Primary
Jacob G. Hornberger
LBT 43,065
Apr 01, 2020 US President - G Primaries
Howie Hawkins
G 15,843
Aug 11, 2020 US President - D Primaries
Joe Biden
D 35,791,449
Aug 11, 2020 US President - R Primaries
Donald Trump
R 19,299,115
World Countries Map MAP
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/07/2017 10/22/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joe Biden 12 15 1 2
Donald Trump 4 1 2 --
Howard Schultz 1 ------
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (80.30%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (96.65%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/27/2017 10/20/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden (I) President Donald Trump Jo Jorgensen Kanye West Howie Hawkins J. R. Myers Jerome "Jerry" Segal
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Birthday Green Life & Liberty Bread and Roses
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.49.57% 43.21% 0.34% 0.13% 0.16% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $--
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Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2016 00/00/2016 00/00/2020 07/04/2020 07/11/2020 00/00/2019 08/24/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (262 from 61 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.77%-- 42.82%-- 1.10%-- 1.00%-- 0.86%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
New!Morning Consult 
10/18/20-10/20/20
52.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!YouGov 
10/18/20-10/20/20
52.00% 1.0 43.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Rasmussen Reports 
10/14/20-10/20/20
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!TIPP 
10/15/20-10/19/20
48.10% 0.9 45.80% 1.8 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.90% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!SurveyMonkey 
10/17/20-10/19/20
52.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Survey USA 
10/16/20-10/19/20
53.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Jeffrey Mackler Alyson Kennedy Joseph "Joe" Kishore Gloria E. La Riva Brian T. Carroll Charlie Kam Mark Charles
PartySocialist Action Socialist Workers Socialist Equality Socialism and Liberation American Solidarity Transhumanist Independent
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $--
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Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2019 01/29/2020 01/27/2020 09/25/2019 00/00/2019 06/12/2020 06/05/2019
MATCHUP POLLS (262 from 61 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
New!Morning Consult 
10/18/20-10/20/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!YouGov 
10/18/20-10/20/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Rasmussen Reports 
10/14/20-10/20/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!TIPP 
10/15/20-10/19/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!SurveyMonkey 
10/17/20-10/19/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
New!Survey USA 
10/16/20-10/19/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 31 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Michael B. Puskar (Un)
May 01, 2017 -  00, 2020
Howard Schultz (I)
Sep 06, 2019
Bill Bayes (PRB)
May 24, 2017 - Apr 01, 2019
Keith Davenport (I)
May 01, 2017 - Aug 17, 2018
Jeremy Gable (I)
May 11, 2015 - Oct 15, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Sep 15, 2020 08:00pm Sep 15, 2020 09:00pm Town Hall ABC News Town Hall with Donald Trump  IndyGeorgia 
Sep 17, 2020 07:00pm Sep 17, 2020 09:00pm Town Hall CNN Town Hall with Joe Biden  RP 
Sep 29, 2020 08:00pm Sep 29, 2020 09:30pm Debate First 2020 US Presidential Debate   RP 
Oct 15, 2020 07:00pm Oct 15, 2020 09:00pm Town Hall NBC News Town Hall with Donald Trump  RP 
Oct 15, 2020 07:00pm Oct 15, 2020 09:00pm Town Hall ABC News Town Hall with Joe Biden  RP 
Oct 15, 2020 08:00pm Oct 15, 2020 09:30pm Debate Second 2020 US Presidential Debate - Canceled  RP 
Oct 22, 2020 08:00pm Oct 22, 2020 09:30pm Debate Third 2020 US Presidential Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/19/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng New! Not our vote. Not our faith.  00:01:10 RP 
10/12/2020 Kanye West TVAd Feel Good eng New! Kanye West releases his official Presidential Campaign Ad | Calling for Write-In Votes  00:01:22 data 
09/30/2020 Gloria E. La Riva TVAd Issue eng Gloria La Riva: A Socialist Answer to the Two Corporate Parties  00:02:20 data 
09/29/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Our Moment  00:01:35 RP 
09/19/2020 Howie Hawkins vs Joe Biden TVAd Mixed eng Dear Bernie Supporters  00:02:07 data 
08/27/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Feel Good eng Keep Up  00:02:00 RP 
08/22/2020 Howie Hawkins vs Joe Biden Issue Video Attack eng Howie Responds to Joe Biden's Acceptance Speech at the Democratic Convention  00:15:39 data 
08/19/2020 Howie Hawkins vs Joe Biden TVAd Contrast eng Howie Hawkins 2020 Ad - For Our Future  00:01:17 data 
08/18/2020 Charlie Kam vs Candidacy Announcement Biography eng FUTURIST, 2020 TRANSHUMANIST PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE - CHARLIE KAM  00:49:44 data 
08/17/2020 vs Joe Biden Web Only Ad Attack eng What Happened to Joe Biden?  00:01:18 RP 
08/14/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Issue eng Ready to Lead   00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Humor eng Wake Up  00:06:25 RP 
07/26/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Didn't Matter  00:01:00 RP 
07/24/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Attack eng Maxwell  00:01:16 RP 
07/23/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Attack eng Failure  00:02:36 RP 
07/22/2020 Donald Trump vs Joe Biden TVAd Defend spa Goya  00:00:30 RP 
07/21/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Humor eng Trumpfeld  00:01:45 RP 
07/17/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Attack eng New  00:01:08 RP 
07/15/2020 Donald Trump vs Joe Biden TVAd Attack eng You won't be safe in Joe Biden's America  00:00:30 RP 
07/13/2020 Howie Hawkins TVAd Issue eng Howie Hawkins: Hey Media! Do Your Jobs!  00:01:00 data 
07/11/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Law and Order  00:01:00 RP 
07/08/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Names  00:01:15 RP 
07/07/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Whispers  00:01:15 RP 
07/06/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Biography eng That's Joe  00:00:15 RP 
07/05/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Historic  00:01:10 RP 
07/02/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Rushmore  00:01:00 RP 
07/01/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack rus Fellow Traveler  00:01:38 RP 
07/01/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Contrast eng Which Side Of History  00:01:15 RP 
06/30/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Betrayed  00:01:00 RP 
06/28/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Contrast eng Debt  00:01:00 RP 
06/27/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Bounty  00:01:00 RP 
06/25/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Contrast eng How A President Leads  00:01:00 RP 
06/23/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Truth  00:01:00 RP 
06/22/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Contrast eng Biden: He can run and drink water  00:00:54 RP 
06/19/2020 Joe Biden Web Only Ad Feel Good eng Promise  00:00:15 RP 
06/18/2020 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng My Commitment  00:01:00 RP 
06/18/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Feel Good eng Unite Us  00:01:00 RP 
06/16/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Descent  00:01:00 RP 
06/06/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Just Doesn't Care  00:00:32 RP 
06/03/2020 Joe Biden vs Donald Trump TVAd Feel Good eng Build The Future  00:01:00 RP 
05/31/2020 Brian T. Carroll TVAd Biography eng Brian Carroll For President 2020  00:01:00 data 
05/22/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Attack eng Deer In The Headlights  00:01:05 RP 
05/11/2020 vs Donald Trump Web Only Ad Attack eng Timeline  00:02:42 RP 
05/04/2020 vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng Mourning in America  00:01:00 RP 
04/17/2020 Jo Jorgensen TVAd Issue eng Break the Media Blockade  00:00:41 data 
04/14/2020 Joe Biden Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Former President Barack Obama Endorses Joe Biden for President  00:11:57 RP 
02/24/2020 Joseph "Joe" Kishore TVAd Issue eng #Socialism2020 Joseph Kishore for US president: "Free Julian Assange and Chelsea Manning!" Socialist Equality Party  00:08:27 data 
12/04/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Contrast eng Laughed At  00:01:03 EastTexasDem 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
01/21/2019 Dario Hunter TVAd Mixed eng Dario Hunter - Announcement of 2020 Exploratory Committee  00:05:02 data 
10/22/2018 Web Only Ad Biography eng Be our Electors!  00:00:30 Charlotte Rose 
10/18/2018 Web Only Ad Biography eng 22 for President  00:01:17 Charlotte Rose 
08/13/2017 Donald Trump TVAd Defend eng Let President Trump Do His Job   00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 20, 2020 10:55am Opinion New! GOP pollster Luntz blasts Trump campaign as worst he's ever seen  Article RP 
Oct 19, 2020 08:05pm News New! 8 Tips To Stay Sane In The Final 15 Days Of The Campaign  Article PA Indy 
Oct 19, 2020 09:00am Analysis Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans   Article RP 
Oct 12, 2020 07:00pm News How Biden could end 2020 on election night — and why Trump’s path is unlikely  Article Chronicler 
Oct 07, 2020 11:50am Amusing ‘Red Sweater Guy’ Ken Bone is still an undecided voter for 2020 election  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 06, 2020 09:00pm News Trump authorizes declassification of all Russia collusion, Hillary Clinton email probe documents  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
9
Previous Messages]
 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 04:19:44 PM UTC0:00
From the PRRI poll:
Notably, more than three in four American adults say they either already voted (15%) or are absolutely certain they will vote (62%) in November’s election, the highest proportion PRRI has recorded at similar times in the last three presidential election cycles (66% absolutely certain to vote in 2016; 71% in 2012).

PRRI developed two likely voter models to measure potential support for each candidate under two turnout scenarios. If voter turnout looks similar to 2016 (55% turnout), the survey finds Biden besting Trump by 14 percentage points (54% to 40%). If voter turnout is higher (70% turnout), as multiple indicators suggest is likely, Biden leads Trump by 18 percentage points (56% to 38%).


 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 05:03:49 PM UTC0:00
Almost 29 million people have voted early to date

[Link]

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 2221.4092 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 05:51:36 PM UTC0:00

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 06:20:06 PM UTC0:00
Although Democrats are dominating in mail voting, as expected, it seems like generally Republicans are voting early in-person in good numbers. There are a couple places where the GOP / Trump campaign should be worried, though. In North Carolina, the GOP is getting swamped by Democrats in mail and early voting. Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout. Low Democratic participation has been an important part of the GOP's dominance there, so anything that upsets the status quo is dangerous for the GOP.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 09:49:46 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout.

This was very interesting to me too. There was some talk that Travis County (Austin) was almost to 100% of eligible voters registered.

Given Cornyn's recent talk about how he disagreed with Trump, makes me wonder if there are some surprises in store for Texas with their high turnout.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Mon, October 19, 2020 10:24:36 PM UTC0:00
FWIW Either one more October Surprise coming OR Trump just talking to motivate staff


 
D:2109AJ ( 5030.7261 points)
Tue, October 20, 2020 04:01:25 AM UTC0:00
Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.

 
D:1RP ( 4505.5361 points)
Tue, October 20, 2020 05:55:31 AM UTC0:00
AJ: Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.

Well, most of the people voting now are the people who are completely committed to their candidate and wouldn't change their mind no matter what. So I think it does matter.

 
D:1RP ( 4505.5361 points)
Tue, October 20, 2020 01:12:50 PM UTC0:00
USA Today broke their tradition of not endorsing a Presidential candidate.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
Tue, October 20, 2020 01:57:44 PM UTC0:00
AJ: Does it really matter at this point?

No. The election is about Donald Trump. Unless the October Surprise is that he is competent and likeable, the trajectory of the election will not change.

 
R:9757BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
Tue, October 20, 2020 04:33:19 PM UTC0:00
AJ: Does it really matter at this point?

Maybe, imho. Its gotta come from a mainstream news source and not conservative media/Trump twitter/Trump surrogate twitter. And its gotta be directly about Biden and not his son or Hillary or Obama. Finally probably needs to get out sooner than later. Time is the enemy here for Trump.