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"A historical political resource."
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US President - Popular Vote
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| Parents |
> United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
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| Office | U.S. President |
| Type | General Election |
| Filing Deadline | June 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central |
| Polls Open | November 03, 2020 - 06:00am Central |
| Polls Close | November 03, 2020 - 11:00pm Central |
| Term Start | January 20, 2021 - 12:00am |
| Term End | January 20, 2025 - 12:00am |
| Contributor | DylanSH99 |
| Last Modified | RBH September 14, 2020 07:29pm |
| Data Sources | |
| Description |
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| Start Date |
End Date |
Type |
Title |
Contributor |
| Sep 15, 2020 08:00pm |
Sep 15, 2020 09:00pm |
Town Hall |
ABC News Town Hall with Donald Trump
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IndyGeorgia |
| Sep 17, 2020 07:00pm |
Sep 17, 2020 09:00pm |
Town Hall |
CNN Town Hall with Joe Biden
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RP |
| Sep 29, 2020 08:00pm |
Sep 29, 2020 09:30pm |
Debate |
First 2020 US Presidential Debate
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RP |
| Oct 15, 2020 07:00pm |
Oct 15, 2020 09:00pm |
Town Hall |
NBC News Town Hall with Donald Trump
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RP |
| Oct 15, 2020 07:00pm |
Oct 15, 2020 09:00pm |
Town Hall |
ABC News Town Hall with Joe Biden
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RP |
| Oct 15, 2020 08:00pm |
Oct 15, 2020 09:30pm |
Debate |
Second 2020 US Presidential Debate - Canceled
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RP |
| Oct 22, 2020 08:00pm |
Oct 22, 2020 09:30pm |
Debate |
Third 2020 US Presidential Debate
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RP |
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| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 9 Previous Messages] |
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 D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 04:19:44 PM UTC0:00
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From the PRRI poll:
Notably, more than three in four American adults say they either already voted (15%) or are absolutely certain they will vote (62%) in November’s election, the highest proportion PRRI has recorded at similar times in the last three presidential election cycles (66% absolutely certain to vote in 2016; 71% in 2012).
PRRI developed two likely voter models to measure potential support for each candidate under two turnout scenarios. If voter turnout looks similar to 2016 (55% turnout), the survey finds Biden besting Trump by 14 percentage points (54% to 40%). If voter turnout is higher (70% turnout), as multiple indicators suggest is likely, Biden leads Trump by 18 percentage points (56% to 38%).
From the PRRI poll:
Notably, more than three in four American adults say they either already voted (15%) or are absolutely certain they will vote (62%) in November’s election, the highest proportion PRRI has recorded at similar times in the last three presidential election cycles (66% absolutely certain to vote in 2016; 71% in 2012).
PRRI developed two likely voter models to measure potential support for each candidate under two turnout scenarios. If voter turnout looks similar to 2016 (55% turnout), the survey finds Biden besting Trump by 14 percentage points (54% to 40%). If voter turnout is higher (70% turnout), as multiple indicators suggest is likely, Biden leads Trump by 18 percentage points (56% to 38%).
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| R:9757 | BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 05:03:49 PM UTC0:00
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Almost 29 million people have voted early to date
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
Almost 29 million people have voted early to date
[Link]
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 2221.4092 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 05:51:36 PM UTC0:00
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https://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1318230897372631042
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 06:20:06 PM UTC0:00
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Although Democrats are dominating in mail voting, as expected, it seems like generally Republicans are voting early in-person in good numbers. There are a couple places where the GOP / Trump campaign should be worried, though. In North Carolina, the GOP is getting swamped by Democrats in mail and early voting. Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout. Low Democratic participation has been an important part of the GOP's dominance there, so anything that upsets the status quo is dangerous for the GOP.
Although Democrats are dominating in mail voting, as expected, it seems like generally Republicans are voting early in-person in good numbers. There are a couple places where the GOP / Trump campaign should be worried, though. In North Carolina, the GOP is getting swamped by Democrats in mail and early voting. Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout. Low Democratic participation has been an important part of the GOP's dominance there, so anything that upsets the status quo is dangerous for the GOP.
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| R:9757 | BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 09:49:46 PM UTC0:00
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Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout.
This was very interesting to me too. There was some talk that Travis County (Austin) was almost to 100% of eligible voters registered.
Given Cornyn's recent talk about how he disagreed with Trump, makes me wonder if there are some surprises in store for Texas with their high turnout.
CA Pol Junkie: Second is Texas and especially Harris County. Texas has had an extra week of early voting, but according to the Election Project they are #1 in turnout so far relative to 2016 turnout.
This was very interesting to me too. There was some talk that Travis County (Austin) was almost to 100% of eligible voters registered.
Given Cornyn's recent talk about how he disagreed with Trump, makes me wonder if there are some surprises in store for Texas with their high turnout.
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| R:9757 | BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
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Mon, October 19, 2020 10:24:36 PM UTC0:00
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FWIW Either one more October Surprise coming OR Trump just talking to motivate staff
https://twitter.com/colvinj/status/1318234708136767488
FWIW Either one more October Surprise coming OR Trump just talking to motivate staff
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| D:2109 | AJ ( 5030.7261 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 04:01:25 AM UTC0:00
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Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.
Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.
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| D:1 | RP ( 4505.5361 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 05:55:31 AM UTC0:00
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Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.
Well, most of the people voting now are the people who are completely committed to their candidate and wouldn't change their mind no matter what. So I think it does matter.
AJ: Does it really matter at this point? Given the unique circumstances of this election and how many people have already voted, seems like if they were going to 'find something' they should've done a better job of finding anything sooner than two weeks out.
Well, most of the people voting now are the people who are completely committed to their candidate and wouldn't change their mind no matter what. So I think it does matter.
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| D:1 | RP ( 4505.5361 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 01:12:50 PM UTC0:00
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USA Today broke their tradition of not endorsing a Presidential candidate.
USA Today broke their tradition of not endorsing a Presidential candidate.
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 3898.8259 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 01:57:44 PM UTC0:00
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Does it really matter at this point?
No. The election is about Donald Trump. Unless the October Surprise is that he is competent and likeable, the trajectory of the election will not change.
AJ: Does it really matter at this point?
No. The election is about Donald Trump. Unless the October Surprise is that he is competent and likeable, the trajectory of the election will not change.
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| R:9757 | BrentinCO ( 1710.1019 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 04:33:19 PM UTC0:00
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Does it really matter at this point?
Maybe, imho. Its gotta come from a mainstream news source and not conservative media/Trump twitter/Trump surrogate twitter. And its gotta be directly about Biden and not his son or Hillary or Obama. Finally probably needs to get out sooner than later. Time is the enemy here for Trump.
AJ: Does it really matter at this point?
Maybe, imho. Its gotta come from a mainstream news source and not conservative media/Trump twitter/Trump surrogate twitter. And its gotta be directly about Biden and not his son or Hillary or Obama. Finally probably needs to get out sooner than later. Time is the enemy here for Trump.
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