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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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OH US Senate
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> United States > Ohio > Senate Class III
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| Office | Senate |
| Honorific | Senator - Abbr: Sen. |
| Type | General Election |
| Filing Deadline | June 01, 2022 - 12:00pm Central |
| Polls Open | November 08, 2022 - 06:30am Central |
| Polls Close | November 08, 2022 - 06:30pm Central |
| Term Start | January 03, 2023 - 11:00am |
| Term End | January 10, 2025 - 12:00am |
| Contributor | DylanSH99 |
| Last Modified | RBH January 09, 2025 04:18pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description |
term end due to resignation (Vance elected Vice President)
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| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 15 Previous Messages] |
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My prediction for this race is a bit of a tossup. Right now, I think Vance has a slight advantage just because it's a midterm year in a Biden Presidency. But I don't think Vance is safe like what some "geniuses" on Twitter like to think.
Vance has run kind of a quiet campaign (maybe to avoid saying anything too stupid) and he's not exactly a uniting nominee. He was definitely the furthest primary candidate from where the party has traditionally been on stuff like foriegn policy, free markets, and free trade.
It's too bad Ryan is also against free trade because he would have something that distinguishes him better from Vance.
But, I think Ryan is one of the safer Democrats who could be the nominee.
It's not crazy to think Tim Ryan wins it, but I just wouldn't put money on it yet.
My prediction for this race is a bit of a tossup. Right now, I think Vance has a slight advantage just because it's a midterm year in a Biden Presidency. But I don't think Vance is safe like what some "geniuses" on Twitter like to think.
Vance has run kind of a quiet campaign (maybe to avoid saying anything too stupid) and he's not exactly a uniting nominee. He was definitely the furthest primary candidate from where the party has traditionally been on stuff like foriegn policy, free markets, and free trade.
It's too bad Ryan is also against free trade because he would have something that distinguishes him better from Vance.
But, I think Ryan is one of the safer Democrats who could be the nominee.
It's not crazy to think Tim Ryan wins it, but I just wouldn't put money on it yet.
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 D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 5449.9307 points)
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Tue, July 26, 2022 03:23:17 PM UTC0:00
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@CA Pol Junkie do you think it will be enough to save the House or Senate?
Democrats are fortunate that Republicans have truly terrible Senate candidates in Georgia and Pennsylvania and not much better in Ohio and even Wisconsin. I think Democrats' odds of keeping the Senate were perhaps better than 50/50 before Dobbs but now they are definite favorites to keep the Senate. They had zero chance in the House before Dobbs, but I would give them a 25% chance of keeping the House (and even expanding their margin) now.
A significant portion of the Republican base is people who just want their taxes low and never took the right wing's desire to ban abortion seriously. These are the people (especially suburban Republican women) the GOP should be most concerned about in November.
BrentinCO: @CA Pol Junkie do you think it will be enough to save the House or Senate?
Democrats are fortunate that Republicans have truly terrible Senate candidates in Georgia and Pennsylvania and not much better in Ohio and even Wisconsin. I think Democrats' odds of keeping the Senate were perhaps better than 50/50 before Dobbs but now they are definite favorites to keep the Senate. They had zero chance in the House before Dobbs, but I would give them a 25% chance of keeping the House (and even expanding their margin) now.
A significant portion of the Republican base is people who just want their taxes low and never took the right wing's desire to ban abortion seriously. These are the people (especially suburban Republican women) the GOP should be most concerned about in November.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5639.5112 points)
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Thu, August 18, 2022 11:58:01 PM UTC0:00
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McConnell has decided to spend $28 million from his PAC to try and win this race.
McConnell has decided to spend $28 million from his PAC to try and win this race.
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Hmm, newest Emerson poll has Vance winning. They've been pretty accurate lately, almost to the exact result.
Hmm, newest Emerson poll has Vance winning. They've been pretty accurate lately, almost to the exact result.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5694.9746 points)
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Mon, December 12, 2022 09:48:14 PM UTC0:00
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the change% map here tells you where Ted Strickland is unusually strong (he represented most of the Ohio River counties where Vance did better than 2016 Portman) or where the voters get TV from Fort Wayne (the two counties in NW Ohio)
the change% map here tells you where Ted Strickland is unusually strong (he represented most of the Ohio River counties where Vance did better than 2016 Portman) or where the voters get TV from Fort Wayne (the two counties in NW Ohio)
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| I:11727 | LSjustbloggin ( 90.7612 points)
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Fri, November 8, 2024 07:22:31 AM UTC0:00
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Term end due to resignation after being elected Vice President.
Term end due to resignation after being elected Vice President.
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