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  OH US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Ohio > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline February 02, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 03, 2022 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close May 03, 2022 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH June 11, 2022 01:54am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRob Portman Votes3,118,567 (58.03%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin1,121,659 (+20.87%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameJ.D. Vance Votes2,192,114 (53.03%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin252,625 (+6.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOH US Senate 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/26/2021 05/03/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Josh Mandel 3 --1 --
J.D. Vance 7 4 ----
Matthew J. Dolan 4 ------
Leaning Call: J.D. Vance (60.00%)
Weighted Call: J.D. Vance (81.37%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/03/2021 05/01/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name J.D. Vance Treasurer Josh Mandel St. Sen. Matthew J. Dolan Michael E. Gibbons Party Chairman Jane M. Timken Mark Pukita Neil Patel
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 344,736 (32.22%) 255,854 (23.92%) 249,239 (23.30%) 124,653 (11.65%) 62,779 (5.87%) 22,692 (2.12%) 9,873 (0.92%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -88,882 (-8.31%) -95,497 (-8.93%) -220,083 (-20.57%) -281,957 (-26.36%) -322,044 (-30.10%) -334,863 (-31.30%)
Predict Avg.27.50% 24.50% 22.50% 13.50% 9.00% 1.00% 0.50%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 07/01/2021 02/10/2021 09/20/2021 04/13/2021 02/18/2021 02/02/2022 02/02/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (23 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg22.26%-- 18.97%-- 17.15%-- 14.41%-- 7.64%-- 1.95%-- 1.85%--
Trafalgar Group 
04/29/22-05/01/22		 26.20% 3.6 20.80% 7.2 22.00% 10.4 13.10% 1.2 5.70% 1.8 1.90% 0.2 1.70% 0.9
Emerson College 
04/28/22-04/29/22		 26.00% -- 24.00% -- 21.00% -- 17.00% -- 8.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
Fabrizio Lee (R) 
04/25/22-04/26/22		 31.00% 6.0 19.00% 1.0 12.00% 3.0 12.00% 1.0 8.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Blueprint Polling 
04/21/22-04/24/22		 17.00% -- 11.70% -- 18.40% -- 13.00% -- 6.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
04/20/22-04/24/22		 23.00% -- 18.00% -- 11.00% -- 13.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Fabrizio Lee (R) 
04/18/22-04/19/22		 25.00% 7.0 18.00% -- 9.00% -- 13.00% 5.0 11.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Darrell Issa 🔗
R Riley M. Moore 🔗
R Robert Lighthizer 🔗
R Andrew R. Wheeler 🔗
R Matt Gaetz 🔗
R Frank LaRose 🔗
R Bernie Moreno 🔗
R Richard Grenell 🔗
R Donald Trump, Jr. 🔗
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
R Jim Banks 🔗
R Marjorie Taylor Greene 🔗
R Mr. Politics
R Tucker Carlson 🔗
R Josh Hawley 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Elan S. Carr 🔗
R Bensq1
R Ted Cruz 🔗
R Madison Cawthorn 🔗
R Wendy J. Rogers 🔗
  National Association for Gun Rights
R Cynthia Lummis 🔗
  Senate Conservatives Fund
  Club for Growth
R Michael T. Flynn 🔗
R David M. Friedman 🔗
R Jewish conservative
R Mike Lee 🔗
N CaliforniaModerate
R Maryland Republican
R Robert A. "Bob" Taft III 🔗
R Southern_Moderate2
R Betty D. Montgomery 🔗
R Gayle Manning 🔗
R Nathan H. Manning 🔗
R Jay Hottinger 🔗
R Jo Ann Davidson 🔗
R Kyle
BEER WSNJ
R CincinnatiReds1990
  Cleveland Plain Dealer
LBT PA Historian
R Kat Cammack 🔗
R Sandra "Sandy" O'Brien 🔗
R Tom Young 🔗
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Rodney Creech 🔗
R Rand Paul 🔗
R Louis W. Blessing, III 🔗
R Haraz N. Ghanbari 🔗
R Steve Wilson 🔗
R Laura Lanese 🔗
R Michael A. Rulli 🔗
R J. Kirk Schuring 🔗
R Marilyn John 🔗
R Bob Young 🔗
R Bill Roemer 🔗
R W. Scott Oelslager 🔗
R Reggie L. Stoltzfus 🔗
R Sara Carruthers 🔗
R Dick Stein 🔗
R Jean Schmidt 🔗
R Mike Loychik 🔗
R Gail K. Pavliga 🔗
R Sharon A. Ray 🔗
R Sharon A. Ray 🔗
R James M. "Jim" Hoops 🔗
R Jon Cross 🔗
R Tracy Richardson 🔗
R Brian Baldridge 🔗
R Brett Hudson Hillyer 🔗
R Rick Carfagna 🔗
R Robert Hackett 🔗
R Mark Johnson 🔗
R Adam Holmes 🔗
R Kyle Koehler 🔗
R Bill Seitz 🔗
R Cindy Abrams 🔗
R Bob Peterson 🔗
? 00
R Corey Lewandowski 🔗
R David Bossie 🔗
R Deb Fischer 🔗
R Joni Ernst 🔗
R Shelley Moore Capito 🔗
R Rob Portman 🔗
R Elise Stefanik 🔗
R Kristi Noem 🔗
R Bob Gibbs 🔗

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Bernie Moreno (R)
Apr 06, 2021 - Feb 03, 2022 		Warren Davidson (R)
 00, 2022 		Mike Holt (R)
Aug 06, 2021 -  00, 2022 		Frank LaRose (R)
 00, 2022 		Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
 00, 2022 		Darrell Scott (R)
 00, 2022 		Mike Turner (R)
 00, 2022 		Jim Renacci (R)
Jun 09, 2021
Bill Johnson (R)
May 26, 2021 		Steve Stivers (R)
Apr 19, 2021 		Brad Wenstrup (R)
Mar 29, 2021 		Geraldo Rivera (R)
Mar 11, 2021 		Dave Yost (R)
Feb 01, 2021 		James "Jim" Jordan (R)
Jan 28, 2021 		Jon Husted (R)
Jan 27, 2021 		Rob Portman (R)
Jan 25, 2021

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
04/05/2022 J.D. Vance TVAd Issue eng Are You A Racist?  00:00:30 BrentinCO 
02/22/2022 Josh Mandel TVAd Biography eng Marine  00:00:30 RP 
01/18/2022 Michael E. Gibbons TVAd Mixed eng Pay  00:00:30 RP 
01/11/2022 vs Jane M. Timken TVAd Attack eng Know  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 16, 2021 06:00pm News Open Ohio Senate seat fueling wild GOP primary in key 2022 race  Article LEAPForward 

DISCUSSION
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