Poll Average Details- OH US Senate - 2022-11-08 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	J.D. Vance	Tim Ryan	John Cheng	Stephen Faris	Shane Hoffman	Matthew R. Esh	LaShondra Tinsley
Civiqs	11/7	X 1.00000		51.0000 - -1.4007 bias	46.0000 - 2.9404 bias
Remington Research	11/2	X 0.91667		48.0000 - -0.4438 bias	43.0000 - 0.8599 bias
Baldwin Wallace University	10/23	X 0.75000		46.0000 - -4.6995 bias	50.0000 - 3.7908 bias
Marist Institute	10/20	X 0.70000		46.0000 - -0.4397 bias	45.0000 - 0.7635 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/19	X 0.68333		46.0000 - -0.0165 bias	46.0000 - 0.4840 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/18	X 0.66667		47.0000 - 0.1689 bias	43.0000 - 0.0766 bias
Suffolk University	10/15	X 0.61667		47.0000 - -2.1317 bias	45.0000 - 1.6356 bias
Lucid	10/15	X 0.61667		41.1900 - -2.8535 bias	43.1200 - 2.1557 bias
Emerson College	10/7	X 0.48333		46.0000 - 0.6906 bias	45.0000 - 0.8084 bias
TOTAL				48.087491	43.584038	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000