Our Campaigns - NC US Senate Race

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NC US Senate

RACE DETAILS

Parents

> United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II

Office

Senate

Honorific

Senator - Abbr: Sen.

Type

General Election

Filing Deadline

March 01, 2020 - 05:00pm Central

Polls Open

November 03, 2020 - 05:30am Central

Polls Close

November 03, 2020 - 06:30pm Central

Term Start

January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm

Term End

January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm

Contributor

RBH

Last Modified

mg2685a December 14, 2023 09:42am

Data Sources

[Link]
[Link]

Description

LAST GENERAL ELECTION
	Party	Republican	Won	11/04/2014
	Name	Thomas "Thom" Tillis	Votes	1,423,259 (48.82%)
	Term	01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021	Margin	45,608 (+1.56%)

PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE

Mar 03, 2020

NC US Senate - D Primary

J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham

D 1,261,045

Mar 03, 2020

NC US Senate - R Primary

Thomas "Thom" Tillis

R 779,858

MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

05/31/2019	11/02/2020

CANDIDATES

Photo

Name

(I) Sen. Thomas "Thom" Tillis

St. Sen. J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham

Shannon Bray

Kevin E. Hayes

Party

Campaign Logo

Certified Votes

2,665,598 (48.69%)

2,569,965 (46.94%)

171,571 (3.13%)

67,818 (1.24%)

Margin

0 (0.00%)

-95,633 (-1.75%)

-2,494,027 (-45.55%)

-2,597,780 (-47.45%)

Predict Avg.

47.91%

49.02%

1.15%

0.49%

Cash On Hand

$--

10/14 $889,245.62

$--

Website

[Campaign Site]

[Website]

[Campaign Site]

Entry Date

00/00/2014

06/17/2019

12/11/2019

12/19/2019

Bar

MATCHUP POLLS (106 from 37 pollsters)

Adj Poll Avg

45.14%

46.21%

2.26%

0.81%

Swayable
10/27/20-11/02/20

47.00%

3.3

53.00%

3.3

0.00%

Data for Progress
10/27/20-11/01/20

46.00%

7.0

51.00%

1.0

2.00%

1.00%

Reuters/Ipsos
10/27/20-11/01/20

46.00%

1.0

48.00%

0.00%

FrederickPolls
10/30/20-10/31/20

46.00%

50.00%

3.00%

2.00%

Emerson College
10/29/20-10/31/20

47.20%

3.7

50.40%

5.8

0.00%

Morning Consult
10/22/20-10/31/20

42.50%

0.5

47.40%

0.6

0.00%

SSRS
10/23/20-10/30/20

44.00%

2.0

47.00%

2.00%

Rasmussen Reports
10/28/20-10/29/20

44.00%

1.0

47.00%

2.0

0.00%

Cardinal Point Analytics
10/27/20-10/28/20

45.90%

2.8

40.65%

2.2

6.06%

4.9

1.88%

0.2

East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach
10/27/20-10/28/20

46.60%

0.6

48.10%

0.5

0.00%

Marist Institute
10/25/20-10/28/20

43.00%

53.00%

0.00%

Gravis Marketing
10/26/20-10/27/20

44.00%

46.00%

0.00%

Public Policy Polling
10/26/20-10/27/20

44.00%

4.0

47.00%

1.0

0.00%

Meeting Street Research
10/24/20-10/27/20

43.00%

1.0

47.00%

1.0

0.00%

Siena Research Institute
10/23/20-10/27/20

43.00%

6.0

46.00%

5.0

0.00%

4.0

0.00%

3.0

Reuters/Ipsos
10/21/20-10/27/20

47.00%

48.00%

1.0

0.00%

RMG Research
10/24/20-10/26/20

42.00%

6.0

49.00%

3.0

0.00%

4.0

0.00%

Swayable
10/23/20-10/26/20

50.30%

49.70%

0.00%

Survey USA
10/23/20-10/26/20

45.00%

6.0

48.00%

1.0

0.00%

University of Massachusetts
10/20/20-10/26/20

45.00%

2.0

49.00%

0.00%

Civitas Institute (R)
10/22/20-10/25/20

43.00%

5.0

46.00%

2.0

2.00%

1.00%

2.0

YouGov
10/20/20-10/23/20

43.00%

5.0

49.00%

1.0

0.00%

Rasmussen Reports
10/20/20-10/21/20

45.00%

1.0

45.00%

2.0

0.00%

Citizen Data
10/17/20-10/20/20

42.27%

48.39%

0.00%

Morning Consult
10/18/20-10/20/20

42.00%

1.0

48.00%

1.0

0.00%

Reuters/Ipsos
10/14/20-10/20/20

47.00%

5.0

47.00%

1.0

0.00%

Change Research
10/16/20-10/19/20

45.00%

1.0

51.00%

1.0

0.00%

Meredith College
10/16/20-10/19/20

38.20%

3.6

43.30%

0.2

3.80%

0.60%

0.3

East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach
10/15/20-10/18/20

47.20%

0.5

48.60%

2.2

0.00%

Langer Research Associates
10/12/20-10/17/20

47.00%

49.00%

0.00%

Emerson College
10/13/20-10/14/20

43.50%

0.5

44.60%

4.4

0.00%

Civiqs
10/11/20-10/14/20

45.00%

51.00%

2.00%

1.00%

Reuters/Ipsos
10/07/20-10/13/20

42.00%

46.00%

1.0

0.00%

Siena Research Institute
10/09/20-10/13/20

37.00%

41.00%

4.00%

3.00%

Survey USA
10/08/20-10/11/20

39.00%

1.0

49.00%

2.0

0.00%

Monmouth University
10/08/20-10/11/20

44.00%

1.0

48.00%

2.0

3.00%

1.0

0.00%

1.0

RMG Research
10/07/20-10/11/20

36.00%

46.00%

4.00%

0.00%

Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)
10/07/20-10/11/20

44.00%

46.00%

0.00%

Morning Consult
10/02/20-10/11/20

41.00%

3.0

47.00%

0.00%

Reuters/Ipsos
09/29/20-10/06/20

42.00%

2.0

47.00%

1.0

0.00%

Public Policy Polling
10/04/20-10/05/20

42.00%

1.0

48.00%

3.0

0.00%

Data for Progress
09/30/20-10/05/20

39.00%

50.00%

2.00%

1.00%

East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach
10/02/20-10/04/20

46.70%

3.1

46.40%

2.3

0.00%

Change Research
10/02/20-10/04/20

46.00%

3.0

50.00%

2.0

0.00%

ALG Research (D)
09/22/20-09/28/20

41.00%

53.00%

0.00%

YouGov
09/22/20-09/25/20

38.00%

1.0

48.00%

0.00%

University of Massachusetts
09/18/20-09/25/20

43.00%

49.00%

0.00%

Meredith College
09/18/20-09/22/20

41.80%

43.10%

3.80%

0.90%

Change Research
09/18/20-09/20/20

43.00%

1.0

48.00%

3.0

0.00%

Civitas Institute (R)
09/17/20-09/20/20

38.00%

44.00%

3.0

2.00%

3.00%

1.0

Morning Consult
09/11/20-09/20/20

38.00%

1.0

47.00%

0.00%

Hart Research (D)
09/17/20-09/19/20

41.00%

54.00%

0.00%

Emerson College
09/16/20-09/18/20

43.00%

2.0

49.00%

5.0

0.00%

Reuters/Ipsos
09/11/20-09/16/20

44.00%

48.00%

0.00%

Siena Research Institute
09/10/20-09/16/20

37.00%

2.0

42.00%

0.00%

Redfield & Wilton Strategies
09/12/20-09/15/20

38.00%

1.0

49.00%

2.0

0.00%

Suffolk University
09/11/20-09/14/20

37.80%

41.60%

5.80%

1.60%

Survey USA
09/10/20-09/13/20

40.00%

1.0

47.00%

6.0

0.00%

SSRS
09/09/20-09/13/20

46.00%

47.00%

0.00%

Cook Political Report
08/29/20-09/13/20

37.00%

41.00%

0.00%

Rasmussen Reports
09/07/20-09/08/20

44.00%

47.00%

0.00%

Benenson Strategy Group (D)
08/28/20-09/08/20

39.00%

42.00%

0.00%

Change Research
09/04/20-09/06/20

44.00%

2.0

51.00%

1.0

0.00%

Redfield & Wilton Strategies
08/30/20-09/04/20

37.00%

1.0

47.00%

0.00%

Monmouth University
08/29/20-09/01/20

45.00%

46.00%

2.00%

1.00%

Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News
08/29/20-09/01/20

42.00%

48.00%

3.00%

1.00%

ENDORSEMENTS

Endorsements

R	Kyle
R	Southern_Moderate2
I	BigBlake
R	Bensq1
BEER	WSNJ
R	Maryland Republican
R	Minnesota Populist

WFP	BigZuck08
D	NCdem
D	An_62190
D	Tristy100
LBR	Old LW
D	samir7243_ATL
D	EastTexasDem
I	JonathanNC
D	politicaltracker4096

R	CincinnatiReds1990
I	Charlotte Rose

EVENTS

Start Date

End Date

Type

Title

Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS

Start Date	Candidate	Category	Ad Tone	Lng	Title	Run Time	Contributor

10/04/2020	Shannon Bray	Event Video	Biography	eng	Shannon Bray, candidate for US Senate for North Carolina	00:04:47	data
09/14/2020		Debate	Mixed	eng	NC WCNC Debate	00:59:20	E Pluribus Unum
07/09/2020	Thomas "Thom" Tillis	TVAd	Feel Good	eng	Humble	00:00:30	BrentinCO
06/08/2020	Thomas "Thom" Tillis	TVAd	Biography	eng	Pay Day	00:00:30	RP
11/01/2019	Thomas "Thom" Tillis	TVAd	Feel Good	eng	Brave: Thom Tillis	00:00:30	RP
09/17/2019	Thomas "Thom" Tillis	TVAd	Endorsement	eng	Warrior	00:00:30	RP
05/09/2019	vs Thomas "Thom" Tillis	TVAd	Attack	eng	Garland Tucker. Conservative. For Senate.	00:00:30	RP

BOOKS

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Purchase

Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

Morning Consult's Senator Approval Rankings

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NEWS

Date