Poll Average Details- NC US Senate - 2020-11-03 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham Thomas "Thom" Tillis Shannon Bray Kevin E. Hayes
Reuters/Ipsos11/1X 1.00000   48.0000 - 3.1158 bias 46.0000 - 0.8563 bias    
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   51.0000 - 1.5464 bias 46.0000 - -0.9368 bias 2.0000 - 0.7656 bias 1.0000 - 1.2479 bias
FrederickPolls10/31X 0.98333   50.0000 - 0.7644 bias 46.0000 - -2.0941 bias 3.0000 - 1.8635 bias 2.0000 - 0.1805 bias
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   47.4000 - 3.1429 bias 42.5000 - -1.6394 bias    
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   50.4000 - 0.8084 bias 47.2000 - 0.6906 bias    
SSRS10/30X 0.96667   47.0000 - 1.4667 bias 44.0000 - -0.8430 bias 2.0000 - 0.8943 bias 2.0000 - 0.8666 bias
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.95000   47.0000 - 0.4180 bias 44.0000 - 1.5977 bias    
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach10/28X 0.93333   48.1000 - 2.2171 bias 46.6000 - -0.8356 bias    
Cardinal Point Analytics10/28X 0.93333   40.6500 - -1.4837 bias 45.9000 - -0.5515 bias 6.0600 - 1.1673 bias 1.8800 - 2.0592 bias
Marist Institute10/28X 0.93333   53.0000 - 0.7635 bias 43.0000 - -0.4397 bias    
Meeting Street Research10/27X 0.91667   47.0000 - 2.1330 bias 43.0000 - -1.0746 bias    
Public Policy Polling10/27X 0.91667   47.0000 - 1.1680 bias 44.0000 - -0.1800 bias    
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.91667   46.0000 - 0.4840 bias 43.0000 - -0.0165 bias    
Gravis Marketing10/27X 0.91667   46.0000 - 1.1590 bias 44.0000 - 0.2608 bias    
Survey USA10/26X 0.90000   48.0000 - 0.5274 bias 45.0000 - 0.3265 bias    
RMG Research10/26X 0.90000   49.0000 - 3.2526 bias 42.0000 - -1.9745 bias    
University of Massachusetts10/26X 0.90000   49.0000 - 1.2969 bias 45.0000 - -1.1910 bias    
Swayable10/26X 0.90000   49.7000 - 2.5280 bias 50.3000 - -2.8104 bias    
Civitas Institute (R)10/25X 0.88333   46.0000 - 1.5441 bias 43.0000 - -1.8372 bias 2.0000 - 1.4738 bias 1.0000 - 0.1243 bias
YouGov10/23X 0.85000   49.0000 - 1.4134 bias 43.0000 - 0.0288 bias    
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   48.3900 - 4.4051 bias 42.2700 - -3.0328 bias    
Meredith College10/19X 0.78333   43.3000 - 3.6941 bias 38.2000 - -1.9836 bias 3.8000 - 0.8627 bias 0.6000 - 0.2085 bias
Change Research10/19X 0.78333   51.0000 - 1.4957 bias 45.0000 - -1.2913 bias    
Langer Research Associates10/17X 0.75000   49.0000 - 2.9247 bias 47.0000 - -1.7362 bias    
Civiqs10/14X 0.70000   51.0000 - 2.9404 bias 45.0000 - -1.4007 bias 2.0000 - 0.3540 bias 1.0000 - -0.3045 bias
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)10/11X 0.65000   46.0000 - 1.4286 bias 44.0000 - -1.1849 bias    
Monmouth University10/11X 0.65000   48.0000 - 1.9679 bias 44.0000 - -0.9091 bias 3.0000 - 0.8035 bias 0.0000 - -0.2360 bias
ALG Research (D)9/28X 0.43333   53.0000 - 4.2434 bias 41.0000 - -2.9971 bias    
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   54.0000 - 3.2645 bias 41.0000 - -1.1830 bias    
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/15X 0.21667   49.0000 - 5.3275 bias 38.0000 - -3.3523 bias    
Suffolk University9/14X 0.20000   41.6000 - 1.6356 bias 37.8000 - -2.1317 bias 5.8000 - 1.1435 bias 1.6000 - 0.0550 bias
Cook Political Report9/13X 0.18333   41.0000 - 3.7698 bias 37.0000 - -2.1258 bias    
Benenson Strategy Group (D)9/8X 0.10000   42.0000 - 2.2156 bias 39.0000 - -1.4207 bias    
TOTAL 46.231103 45.110256 2.009048 0.693719