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  MT District 2 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > MT - District 02
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 11, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 04, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close June 04, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedMr. Matt June 05, 2024 11:59am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameMatthew M. Rosendale, Sr. Votes121,979 (56.56%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin74,784 (+34.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMT District 2 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/28/2024 06/04/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dennis Rehberg 3 ------
Troy Downing --1 ----
Leaning Call: Dennis Rehberg (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Dennis Rehberg (50.34%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/14/2024 04/17/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Auditor Troy Downing Rep. Dennis Rehberg Stacy Zinn Superintendent of Public Instruction Elsie Arntzen St. Sen. Kenneth Bogner St. Sen. Ric R. Holden St. Rep. Joel G. Krautter
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.48% in) 35,854 (36.15%) 16,968 (17.11%) 13,435 (13.54%) 9,341 (9.42%) 8,905 (8.98%) 7,038 (7.10%) 3,384 (3.41%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -18,886 (-19.04%) -22,419 (-22.60%) -26,513 (-26.73%) -26,949 (-27.17%) -28,816 (-29.05%) -32,470 (-32.73%)
Estimated Final36,040 (36.15%) 17,056 (17.11%) 13,504 (13.54%) 9,389 (9.42%) 8,951 (8.98%) 7,074 (7.10%) 3,401 (3.41%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $10,134.38 $-- $-- $0.00 $-- $-- $0.00
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 11/01/2023 02/21/2024 02/09/2024 08/14/2023 01/09/2024 02/09/2024 01/11/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg38.00%-- 26.00%-- 0.00%-- 10.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Guidant Polling and Strategy 
04/14/24-04/17/24
38.00% -- 26.00% -- 0.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Kyle Austin St. Sen. Edward Walker  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.48% in) 3,123 (3.15%) 1,146 (1.16%)  
Margin-32,731 (-33.00%) -34,708 (-34.99%)  
Estimated Final3,139 (3.15%) 1,151 (1.15%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 01/24/2024 10/18/2023
Dropped Out
04/05/2024
 
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Guidant Polling and Strategy 
04/14/24-04/17/24
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. (R)
Feb 28, 2024 - Mar 08, 2024

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