Lol, there's a non-zero chance, I saw the quote of someone saying a high probability, but Newsom wouldn't appoint someone already running...certainly not Lee. It's not like she's the only Black woman in Cali.
Lol, there's a non-zero chance, I saw the quote of someone saying a high probability, but Newsom wouldn't appoint someone already running...certainly not Lee. It's not like she's the only Black woman in Cali.
Couldn't Newsom appoint Shirley Weber?
Lee's one of the highest profile Black Woman in the state and many of her political allences make her a safe bet for most if not all the Dems ideological wings. Orobably also helped with pitching herself as a Transition Senator
I see it as no different than Padilla's appointment turned Bid, that was probably what held off Lee from announcing out of the gate as everyone was looking at what Feinstein('s handlers) were gonna do
Lee's one of the highest profile Black Woman in the state and many of her political allences make her a safe bet for most if not all the Dems ideological wings. Orobably also helped with pitching herself as a Transition Senator
I see it as no different than Padilla's appointment turned Bid, that was probably what held off Lee from announcing out of the gate as everyone was looking at what Feinstein('s handlers) were gonna do
While I have a slight preference for Porter, yesterday reminded me that Schiff is better at PR than most and despite pushing into his mid-60s isn't running out of steam anytime soon. I might shift my prediction to lean his way.
While I have a slight preference for Porter, yesterday reminded me that Schiff is better at PR than most and despite pushing into his mid-60s isn't running out of steam anytime soon. I might shift my prediction to lean his way.
Added pics, campaign websites, and FEC links for as many candidates as I could find.
There are some interesting candidates that have filed. California you have lived up to expectation.
Added pics, campaign websites, and FEC links for as many candidates as I could find.
There are some interesting candidates that have filed. California you have lived up to expectation.
Porter and Lee both support a $20 to $25 an hour minimum wage. Lee, who is pitching herself as the most progressive candidate in the race, has said that she would consider $50 per hour a living wage in the Bay Area, which she represents. https://www.dailynews.com/2024/02/12/californias-us-senate-candidates-debate-minimum-wage-immigration-and-more/
Porter and Lee both support a $20 to $25 an hour minimum wage. Lee, who is pitching herself as the most progressive candidate in the race, has said that she would consider $50 per hour a living wage in the Bay Area, which she represents. [Link]
Seems like it's gonna be a run-off between Schiff and Garvey. Can Garvey pull it off? Seems questionable, but the real question is the Porter vote. Everyone who votes for Katie Porter in round one, will turn out to vote for Schiff in round two. If the combined voted of Schiff and Porter in round one is approaching 45 percent, then Schiff's got it. If not, Garvey might be able to pull off an upset.
Seems like it's gonna be a run-off between Schiff and Garvey. Can Garvey pull it off? Seems questionable, but the real question is the Porter vote. Everyone who votes for Katie Porter in round one, will turn out to vote for Schiff in round two. If the combined voted of Schiff and Porter in round one is approaching 45 percent, then Schiff's got it. If not, Garvey might be able to pull off an upset.
take your pick on which downballot candidates would benefit the most if Schiff/Garvey can at least spur more turnout than some of the recent CA statewide races
take your pick on which downballot candidates would benefit the most if Schiff/Garvey can at least spur more turnout than some of the recent CA statewide races
If Garvey broke 40% in a Presidential Election year in California in one of the two elections it would be a major accomplishment. Mark Meuser couldn't do it an off year election. If our numbers are right, the last non-incumbent Republican to break 45% in a California US Senate Race was Ed Zschau in 1986. Thats 38 years ago. (Incumbent Pete Wilson was the last Republican to win a US Senate seat in 1988).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jeitD-obW-c
And lets face it, Garvey is no Ed Zschau if you know what I mean. (We all can't have neat last names that sound cool in commercial closings).
Fun Fact: Schiff has a 15-1 fundraising advantage on Garvey?
If Garvey broke 40% in a Presidential Election year in California in one of the two elections it would be a major accomplishment. Mark Meuser couldn't do it an off year election. If our numbers are right, the last non-incumbent Republican to break 45% in a California US Senate Race was Ed Zschau in 1986. Thats 38 years ago. (Incumbent Pete Wilson was the last Republican to win a US Senate seat in 1988).
And lets face it, Garvey is no Ed Zschau if you know what I mean. (We all can't have neat last names that sound cool in commercial closings).
Fun Fact: Schiff has a 15-1 fundraising advantage on Garvey?
I hate these games the blanket primary encourages.
I like both Schiff and Porter, but I voted for Porter because a) I want her to be in the general election and b) Schiff promoted Garvey to keep her from making the top 2.
RP: I hate these games the blanket primary encourages.
I like both Schiff and Porter, but I voted for Porter because a) I want her to be in the general election and b) Schiff promoted Garvey to keep her from making the top 2.
I hate these games the blanket primary encourages.
As a Porter supporter I agree, but it's a negative that's worth the trade off for a process that's actually more Democratic.
RP: I hate these games the blanket primary encourages.
As a Porter supporter I agree, but it's a negative that's worth the trade off for a process that's actually more Democratic.
There is absolutely no chance in hell Garvey would win the general election.
Based on 27 percent of precincts reporting, I would say that the combined figure of Schiff and Porter ie. 53.5 percent, does indeed indicate that Garvey has essentially a zero percent chance of prevailing in the run-off.
There is absolutely no chance in hell Garvey would win the general election.
Based on 27 percent of precincts reporting, I would say that the combined figure of Schiff and Porter ie. 53.5 percent, does indeed indicate that Garvey has essentially a zero percent chance of prevailing in the run-off.
If Garvey gets over 35% in either election I will be floored
This is still a pretty surprising result I guess the appetite for a generic unknown Republican in CA is larger than I thought.
Patrick: If Garvey gets over 35% in either election I will be floored
This is still a pretty surprising result I guess the appetite for a generic unknown Republican in CA is larger than I thought.
2,304,829 (31.57%)
-- 
7.0
3.0
I:6738
x2
