Our Campaigns Home Page

DISCUSSION
News	News: Governor’s staff kept looped on questionable hires at Schools Development Authority	1 New
News	News: The President's Taxes: Long-Concealed Records Show Trumps Chronic Losses and Years of Tax Avoidance	2 New
News	News: Pallotta claims state inflated COVID deaths to help Democrats at the polls	1 New
News	News: Some Minneapolis city council members would like a revote on defunding the police: report	2 New
News	Interview: David Shor’s Unified Theory of American Politics	2 New
News	Profile: What is the QAnon conspiracy theory?	1 New
Video Ad	IA US Senate Debate	2 New
Video Ad	Our Moment	3 New
Race	FL US President - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	NZ MP - Te Tai Hauāuru - 10/17/2020	1 New
Race	NE District 02 - 11/6/2018	1 New
Race	NE District 02 - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	AL US Senate - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	PA District 10 - 11/3/2020	2 New
Race	Brock, ON Mayor - 10/27/2014	1 New
Race	US President - Electoral Vote - 12/14/2020	2 New
Race	GA US Senate - Special Election - 11/3/2020	5 New
Race	US President - Popular Vote - 11/3/2020	2 New
Race	MO District 07 - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	WI US President - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	GA District 05 - Special Election - 9/29/2020	2 New
Race	NJ District 05 - 11/3/2020	3 New
Race	TX State Senate 30 - Special Election - 9/29/2020	1 New
Race	NE US President - CD 1 - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	KS US Senate - 11/3/2020	1 New
Race	Belgium Prime Minister - 5/26/2019	1 New
Race	Mexico President - 7/1/2018	1 New
Race	National Regeneration Movement - Leadership - 10/2/2020	1 New
Race	CA District 25 - 11/3/2020	1 New
Event	First 2020 US Presidential Debate - 2020-09-29 21:30:00	35 New
Event	Saskatchewan Provincial Election - 2020-10-26 21:00:00	1 New
Issue	American Pop Culture - Science	1 New
Candidate	Smith, William "BJ"	1 New
Candidate	Zimberg, Steven	1 New
Candidate	Parscale, Brad	2 New
State	New Jersey	7 New
Overseas Dependency	Saint Helena	2 New
	Norcross	3 New
Senate	Senate Class III	5 New

MATCHUP POLLS

Parliament - NZ House of Representatives - Popular Vote 10/17/2020
Colmar Brunton/One News 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

New Zealand Labour Party
47.00%
±3.1%

New Zealand National Party
33.00%
±2.9%

ACT New Zealand
8.00%
±1.7%

Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand
7.00%
±1.6%

New Zealand First
1.00%
±0.6%

Māori Party
1.00%
±0.6%

The Opportunities Party
1.00%
±0.6%

New Conservative Party
1.00%
±0.6%

Advance New Zealand
1.00%
±0.6%

Parliament - NZ House of Representatives - Popular Vote 10/17/2020
Reid Research 9/16/2020- - Likely Voters for Newshub

New Zealand Labour Party
50.10%
±3.1%

New Zealand National Party
29.60%
±2.8%

Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand
6.50%
±1.5%

ACT New Zealand
6.30%
±1.5%

New Conservative Party
2.10%
±0.9%

New Zealand First
1.90%
±0.8%

Māori Party
1.50%
±0.8%

The Opportunities Party
0.90%
±0.6%

Parliament - NZ MP - Te Tai Hauāuru 10/17/2020
Curia Research 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters for Māori TV

Adrian Rurawhe
38.00%
±4.3%

Debbie Ngarewa-Packer
20.00%
±3.5%

President - NC US President 11/3/2020
Meredith College 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
45.70%
±3.7%

Donald Trump
45.40%
±3.7%

No Preference
1.00%
±0.7%

Don Blankenship
1.00%
±0.7%

Howie Hawkins
0.30%
±0.4%

Senate - NC US Senate 11/3/2020
Meredith College 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
43.10%
±3.7%

Thomas "Thom" Tillis
41.80%
±3.6%

Shannon Bray
3.80%
±1.4%

Kevin E. Hayes
0.90%
±0.7%

Governor - NC Governor 11/3/2020
Meredith College 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

Roy Cooper
49.60%
±3.7%

Dan Forest
39.30%
±3.6%

Steven J. DiFiore II
2.00%
±1.0%

Al Pisano
1.10%
±0.8%

House of Representatives - NE District 02 11/3/2020
Siena Research Institute 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters for New York Times

Don Bacon
45.00%
±4.8%

Kara Eastman
43.00%
±4.7%

Tyler Schaeffer
3.00%
±1.6%

President - NV US President 11/3/2020
Qualtrics 9/10/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
45.50%
±3.9%

Donald Trump
41.00%
±3.8%

President - TX US President 11/3/2020
Public Policy Polling 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
48.00%
±4.0%

Donald Trump
48.00%
±4.0%

President - NE US President - CD 2 11/3/2020
Siena Research Institute 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters for New York Times

Joe Biden
48.00%
±4.8%

Donald Trump
41.00%
±4.7%

Jo Jorgensen
4.00%
±1.9%

Senate - MI US Senate 11/3/2020
Trafalgar Group 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

John James
47.30%
±3.0%

Gary Peters
47.20%
±3.0%

U.S. President - US President - Popular Vote 11/3/2020
Harris Interactive 9/22/2020- - Likely Voters for Harvard CAPS

Joe Biden
52.00%
±2.7%

Donald Trump
48.00%
±2.7%

President - PA US President 11/3/2020
Siena Research Institute 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters for New York Times

Joe Biden
49.00%
±3.7%

Donald Trump
40.00%
±3.6%

Senate - AK US Senate 11/3/2020
Harstad Strategic (D) 9/20/2020- - Likely Voters for for Independent Alaska (pro-Gross) super PAC

Daniel S. Sullivan
46.00%
±4.0%

Al Gross
45.00%
±4.0%

President - AK US President 11/3/2020
Harstad Strategic (D) 9/20/2020- - Likely Voters for for Independent Alaska (pro-Al Gross) super PAC

Donald Trump
47.00%
±4.0%

Joe Biden
46.00%
±4.0%

President - WI US President 11/3/2020
Trafalgar Group 9/22/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
47.70%
±2.8%

Donald Trump
44.90%
±2.8%

Jo Jorgensen
2.50%
±0.9%

President - OH US President 11/3/2020
SurveyMonkey 8/1/2020- - Registered Voters

Donald Trump
50.00%
±1.7%

Joe Biden
48.00%
±1.7%

President - OH US President 11/3/2020
SurveyMonkey 9/1/2020- - Registered Voters

Donald Trump
50.00%
±1.8%

Joe Biden
48.00%
±1.8%

President - IL US President 11/3/2020
Victory Research 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
53.00%
±2.8%

Donald Trump
40.00%
±2.8%

President - PA US President 11/3/2020
Langer Research Associates 9/21/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
54.00%
±4.1%

Donald Trump
45.00%
±4.1%

Senate - AZ US Senate - Special Election 11/3/2020
Langer Research Associates 9/15/2020- - Likely Voters for Washington Post/ABC News

Mark Kelly
49.00%
±4.1%

Martha McSally
48.00%
±4.1%

President - AZ US President 11/3/2020
Langer Research Associates 9/15/2020- - Likely Voters for Washington Post/ABC News

Donald Trump
49.00%
±4.1%

Joe Biden
48.00%
±4.1%

President - FL US President 11/3/2020
Langer Research Associates 9/15/2020- - Likely Voters for Washington Post/ABC News

Donald Trump
51.00%
±4.0%

Joe Biden
47.00%
±4.0%

President - WI US President 11/3/2020
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters for Center for American Greatness

Joe Biden
48.00%
±4.4%

Donald Trump
46.00%
±4.4%

Parliament - UK House of Commons - Popular Vote 5/2/2024
Opinium 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters for The Observer

Labour Party
42.00%
±3.0%

Conservative Party
39.00%
±3.0%

Scottish National Party
6.00%
±1.5%

Liberal Democrats
5.00%
±1.3%

Green Party of England & Wales
4.00%
±1.2%

Plaid Cymru
1.00%
±0.6%

UK Independence Party
1.00%
±0.6%

The Brexit Party
0.00%
±0.0%

Parliament - NLD House of Representatives - Popular Vote 3/1/2022
Ipsos 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters for Een Vandaag

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy
25.60%
±2.6%

Party for Freedom
12.90%
±2.0%

Christian Democratic Appeal
10.80%
±1.9%

Labour Party
8.80%
±1.7%

Democrats 66
8.60%
±1.7%

GreenLeft
8.10%
±1.6%

Socialist Party
6.70%
±1.5%

Forum for Democracy
5.00%
±1.3%

Party for the Animals
4.40%
±1.2%

ChristianUnion
3.90%
±1.2%

Reformed Political Party
1.90%
±0.8%

50PLUS
1.50%
±0.7%

DENK
1.00%
±0.6%

Parliament - NLD House of Representatives - Popular Vote 3/1/2022
I&O Research 9/3/2020- - Likely Voters

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy
26.00%
±1.9%

Party for Freedom
12.50%
±1.4%

GreenLeft
10.10%
±1.3%

Christian Democratic Appeal
8.70%
±1.2%

Democrats 66
8.60%
±1.2%

Labour Party
8.40%
±1.2%

Forum for Democracy
6.70%
±1.1%

Socialist Party
6.50%
±1.1%

ChristianUnion
4.60%
±0.9%

Party for the Animals
3.20%
±0.8%

Reformed Political Party
2.20%
±0.6%

50PLUS
1.30%
±0.5%

DENK
0.70%
±0.4%

Party of the Future
0.10%
±0.1%

President - ND US President 11/3/2020
DFM Research 9/12/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
56.00%
±4.9%

Joe Biden
37.00%
±4.7%

President - NH US President 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/17/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
52.00%
±3.8%

Donald Trump
44.00%
±3.8%

Jo Jorgensen
1.00%
±0.8%

Senate - NH US Senate 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/17/2020- - Likely Voters

Jeanne Shaheen
56.00%
±3.8%

Bryant "Corky" Messner
37.00%
±3.7%

Governor - NH Governor 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/17/2020- - Likely Voters

Christopher "Chris" Sununu
60.00%
±3.7%

Dan Feltes
34.00%
±3.6%

President - NC US President 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
47.00%
±3.2%

Joe Biden
47.00%
±3.2%

Jo Jorgensen
2.00%
±0.9%

Howie Hawkins
1.00%
±0.6%

Senate - NC US Senate 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
49.00%
±3.2%

Thomas "Thom" Tillis
43.00%
±3.2%

Governor - NC Governor 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

Roy Cooper
54.00%
±3.2%

Dan Forest
41.00%
±3.2%

President - TX US President 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
49.00%
±3.3%

Joe Biden
46.00%
±3.3%

Jo Jorgensen
2.00%
±0.9%

Howie Hawkins
1.00%
±0.7%

Senate - TX US Senate 11/3/2020
University of Massachusetts 9/18/2020- - Likely Voters

John Cornyn
50.00%
±3.3%

Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar
40.00%
±3.2%

President - AZ US President 11/3/2020
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 9/25/2020- - Likely Voters for Center for American Greatness

Donald Trump
47.00%
±4.4%

Joe Biden
47.00%
±4.4%

President - FL US President 11/3/2020
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters for Center for American Greatness

Joe Biden
46.00%
±4.4%

Donald Trump
43.00%
±4.3%

Jo Jorgensen
3.00%
±1.5%

Senate - GA US Senate 11/3/2020
Quinnipiac University 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Jon Ossoff
49.00%
±2.9%

David Perdue
48.00%
±2.9%

President - GA US President 11/3/2020
Quinnipiac University 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
50.00%
±2.9%

Donald Trump
47.00%
±2.9%

Senate - GA US Senate - Special Election 11/3/2020
Quinnipiac University 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Raphael Warnock
31.00%
±2.7%

Kelly Loeffler
23.00%
±2.5%

Doug Collins
22.00%
±2.4%

Matt Lieberman
9.00%
±1.7%

Ed Tarver
4.00%
±1.1%

President - GA US President 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for DailyKos

Joe Biden
50.00%
±3.1%

Donald Trump
47.00%
±3.1%

Senate - GA US Senate 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for DailyKos

Jon Ossoff
48.00%
±3.1%

David Perdue
46.00%
±3.1%

Shane Hazel
3.00%
±1.1%

Senate - GA US Senate - Special Election 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for DailyKos

Raphael Warnock
38.00%
±3.1%

Doug Collins
25.00%
±2.7%

Kelly Loeffler
21.00%
±2.6%

Matt Lieberman
5.00%
±1.4%

Ed Tarver
2.00%
±0.9%

House of Representatives - NC District 08 11/3/2020
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D) 9/28/2020- - Likely Voters

Richard Hudson
44.00%
±3.9%

Patricia Timmons-Goodson
42.00%
±3.9%

President - NH US President 11/3/2020
Pulse Opinion Research 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
56.00%
±3.3%

Donald Trump
42.00%
±3.3%

House of Representatives - PA District 10 11/3/2020
Victoria Research and Consulting 9/22/2020- - Likely Voters for House Majority PAC

Eugene A. DePasquale
50.00%
±4.9%

Scott G. Perry
44.00%
±4.9%

Senate - KS US Senate 11/3/2020
co/efficient 9/15/2020- - Likely Voters

Roger Marshall
43.00%
±3.4%

Barbara Goolsbee Bollier
39.00%
±3.4%

Jason Buckley
2.00%
±1.0%

Senate - KS US Senate 11/3/2020
GBA Strategies (D) 9/24/2020- - Likely Voters

Barbara Goolsbee Bollier
45.00%
±4.0%

Roger Marshall
43.00%
±4.0%

Jason Buckley
7.00%
±2.0%

President - MI US President 11/3/2020
Trafalgar Group 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for Restoration PAC

Joe Biden
48.70%
±3.0%

Donald Trump
47.10%
±3.0%

Jo Jorgensen
1.50%
±0.7%

Howie Hawkins
0.40%
±0.4%

President - MI US President 11/3/2020
Trafalgar Group 9/20/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
46.70%
±3.1%

Joe Biden
46.00%
±3.1%

Jo Jorgensen
2.10%
±0.9%

Howie Hawkins
0.80%
±0.5%

President - KS US President 11/3/2020
co/efficient 9/15/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
53.00%
±3.5%

Joe Biden
41.00%
±3.4%

President - SC US President 11/3/2020
Quinnipiac University 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
48.00%
±2.9%

Joe Biden
47.00%
±2.9%

Senate - SC US Senate 11/3/2020
Quinnipiac University 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Lindsey Graham
48.00%
±2.9%

Jaime Harrison
48.00%
±2.9%

President - NH US President 11/3/2020
University of New Hampshire 9/24/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
53.00%
±3.1%

Donald Trump
44.00%
±3.1%

Jo Jorgensen
1.00%
±0.6%

President - CA US President 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
59.00%
±4.1%

Donald Trump
32.00%
±3.9%

Referendum - CA Proposition 15 (School Funding Sources) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
49.00%
±4.1%

No
21.00%
±3.4%

Referendum - CA Proposition 16 (Repeal Prop 209) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
40.00%
±4.1%

No
26.00%
±3.6%

Referendum - CA Proposition 17 (Right to Vote after Prison) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
55.00%
±4.1%

No
19.00%
±3.3%

Referendum - CA Proposition 19 (Property Tax Rules) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
56.00%
±4.1%

No
10.00%
±2.5%

Referendum - CA Proposition 20 (Parole for Non-Violent Offenders) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
35.00%
±4.0%

No
22.00%
±3.4%

Referendum - CA Proposition 21 (Local Government Rent Control) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
46.00%
±4.1%

No
27.00%
±3.7%

Referendum - CA Proposition 22 (Rideshare/Truck Driving Exemption) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
45.00%
±4.1%

No
31.00%
±3.8%

Referendum - CA Proposition 23 (Kidney Dialysis Clinics) 11/3/2020
Survey USA 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Yes
49.00%
±4.1%

No
23.00%
±3.5%

Senate - KS US Senate 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for DailyKos

Roger Marshall
50.00%
±3.8%

Barbara Goolsbee Bollier
43.00%
±3.7%

President - KS US President 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters for DailyKos

Donald Trump
52.00%
±3.8%

Joe Biden
42.00%
±3.7%

President - IA US President 11/3/2020
RABA Research 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
48.00%
±3.5%

Donald Trump
46.00%
±3.5%

House of Representatives - AZ District 06 11/3/2020
GQR Research 9/23/2020- - Likely Voters

Hiral Vyas Tipirneni
49.00%
±4.4%

David Schweikert
45.00%
±4.4%

House of Representatives - AZ District 06 11/3/2020
GQR Research 8/6/2020- - Likely Voters

Hiral Vyas Tipirneni
48.00%
±4.2%

David Schweikert
45.00%
±4.2%

President - OR US President 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
56.00%
±3.2%

Donald Trump
39.00%
±3.1%

Senate - OR US Senate 11/3/2020
Civiqs 9/26/2020- - Likely Voters

Jeff Merkley
55.00%
±3.2%

Jo Rae Perkins
35.00%
±3.0%

Ibrahim A. Taher
2.00%
±0.9%

Gary Lyndon Dye
2.00%
±0.9%

President - MI US President 11/3/2020
ALG Research (D) 9/17/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
52.00%
±3.5%

Donald Trump
44.00%
±3.4%

House of Representatives - TX District 21 11/3/2020
ALG Research (D) 8/15/2020- - Likely Voters for End Citizens United

Wendy R. Davis
46.00%
±4.4%

Chip Roy
46.00%
±4.4%

President - LA US President 11/3/2020
ALG Research (D) 8/6/2020- - Likely Voters

Donald Trump
50.00%
±3.5%

Joe Biden
43.00%
±3.4%

U.S. President - US President - Popular Vote 11/3/2020
Rasmussen Reports 9/16/2020- - Likely Voters

Joe Biden
51.00%
±1.8%

Donald Trump
43.00%
±1.8%

OLD MATCHUP POLLS

OH US President - SurveyMonkey
7/1/2020-7/31/2020 - Registered Voters - ±1.6%

Donald Trump
51.00

Joe Biden
47.00

NLD House of Representatives - Popular Vote - Kantar Public
6/23/2020-6/26/2020 - Likely Voters - ±3.3%

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy
26.70

Party for Freedom
10.00

GreenLeft
10.00

Christian Democratic Appeal
9.30

Forum for Democracy
8.70

Labour Party
8.00

Socialist Party
8.00

Democrats 66
8.00

ChristianUnion
3.30

Party for the Animals
2.70

Reformed Political Party
2.00

DENK
1.30

50PLUS
1.30

Party of the Future
0.70

SC US President - ALG Research (D)
7/15/2020-7/20/2020 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Donald Trump
50.00

Joe Biden
45.00

NV US President - ALG Research (D)
4/27/2020-4/30/2020 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Joe Biden
49.00

Donald Trump
45.00

MI District 03 - ALG Research (D)
6/3/2020-6/7/2020 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Hillary Scholten
40.00

Peter Meijer
39.00

Hillary Scholten
40.00

Lynn Afendoulis
40.00

Cook County State's Attorney - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
2/13/2020-2/16/2020 - Registered Voters - ±4.0%

Kim Foxx
28.00

Bill Conway
26.00

Bob Fioretti
6.00

Donna More
4.00

LA Governor - Runoff - ALG Research (D)
9/30/2019-10/3/2019 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

John Bel Edwards
52.00

Eddie Rispone
36.00

NC District 09 - Special Election - ALG Research (D)
7/15/2019-7/18/2019 - Likely Voters - ±4.6%

Dan McCready
46.00

Dan Bishop
46.00

KY Governor - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
4/11/2019-4/17/2019 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Andy Beshear
43.00

Adam Edelen
23.00

Rocky Adkins
22.00

Chicago City Treasurer - Runoff - ALG Research (D)
3/4/2019-3/7/2019 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Ameya Pawar
34.00

Melissa Conyears-Ervin
34.00

Chicago Mayor - ALG Research (D)
12/4/2018-12/9/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.9%

Toni Preckwinkle
21.00

Susana A. Mendoza
16.00

William M. "Bill" Daley
9.00

Willie L. Wilson
8.00

Garry McCarthy
7.00

Paul Vallas
6.00

Dorothy Brown
6.00

Amara Enyia
5.00

Gery Chico
3.00

AR US Senate - ALG Research (D)
3/27/2014-4/2/2014 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Mark Pryor
48.00

Tom Cotton
45.00

AR US Senate - ALG Research (D)
7/20/2014-7/24/2014 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Mark Pryor
48.00

Tom Cotton
46.00

FL - District 02 - ALG Research (D)
9/21/2014-9/24/2014 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Gwen Graham
48.00

Steve Southerland
45.00

KS - District 02 - ALG Research (D)
7/20/2014-7/22/2014 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Lynn M. Jenkins
49.00

Margie Wakefield
42.00

KS - District 02 - ALG Research (D)
10/3/2014-10/6/2014 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Lynn M. Jenkins
48.00

Margie Wakefield
43.00

Nashville, TN Mayor - ALG Research (D)
6/28/2015-7/1/2015 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Bill Freeman
21.00

Megan Barry
16.00

Howard Gentry
13.00

David Fox
11.00

Linda Rebrovick
9.00

Charles Robert Bone
8.00

Jeremy Kane
3.00

IA - District 01 - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
10/5/2015-10/8/2015 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Monica Vernon
40.00

Pat Murphy
38.00

Gary Kroeger
6.00

IL District 08 - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
10/8/2015-10/11/2015 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Michael J. Noland
29.00

Raja Krishnamoorthi
22.00

Deborah M. Bullwinkel
8.00

LA Governor - Runoff - ALG Research (D)
10/26/2015-10/28/2015 - Likely Voters - ±3.7%

John Bel Edwards
52.00

David Vitter
40.00

LA US Senate - Initial Election - ALG Research (D)
5/31/2016-6/2/2016 - Registered Voters - ±4.0%

John N. Kennedy
24.00

Foster L. Campbell
14.00

Charles W. Boustany, Jr.
11.00

Caroline Fayard
9.00

John Fleming
7.00

Rob Maness
3.00

LA US Senate - Initial Election - ALG Research (D)
8/29/2016-9/1/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

John N. Kennedy
18.00

Charles W. Boustany, Jr.
13.00

Caroline Fayard
13.00

Foster L. Campbell
7.00

John Fleming
6.00

Rob Maness
4.00

David Duke
3.00

Troy Hebert
3.00

Josh Pellerin
1.00

TX District 23 - ALG Research (D)
6/20/2016-6/23/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Pete Gallego
45.00

Will Hurd
37.00

Ruben Corvalan
4.00

CA District 10 - ALG Research (D)
7/6/2016-7/10/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Jeff Denham
47.00

Michael Eggman
41.00

FL District 13 - ALG Research (D)
7/12/2016-7/17/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Charlie Crist
50.00

David Jolly
38.00

IL District 10 - ALG Research (D)
8/2/2016-8/4/2016 - Registered Voters - ±4.9%

Brad Schneider
46.00

Robert J. "Bob" Dold
40.00

NY District 22 - ALG Research (D)
8/14/2016-8/16/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Kim Myers
35.00

Claudia Tenney
35.00

Martin Babinec
21.00

LA US President - ALG Research (D)
8/29/2016-9/1/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Donald Trump
46.00

Hillary Clinton
40.00

Gary Johnson
3.00

Jill Stein
0.00

MI District 01 - ALG Research (D)
9/11/2016-9/13/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Lon Johnson
43.00

Jack Bergman
41.00

OH US Senate - ALG Research (D)
9/27/2016-10/2/2016 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Rob Portman
51.00

Ted Strickland
39.00

Joseph R. DeMare
4.00

OH US President - ALG Research (D)
9/27/2016-10/2/2016 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Hillary Clinton
44.00

Donald Trump
42.00

Jill Stein
1.00

Hillary Clinton
46.00

Donald Trump
44.00

UT District 04 - ALG Research (D)
10/11/2016-10/13/2016 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Mia Love
50.00

Doug Owens
40.00

Collin R. Simonsen
6.00

GA District 06 - Special Runoff - ALG Research (D)
4/23/2017-4/26/2017 - Likely Voters - ±4.0%

Jon Ossoff
48.00

Karen Handel
47.00

FL State Senate 40 - Special Election - ALG Research (D)
6/21/2017-6/26/2017 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Annette Taddeo
42.00

Jose Felix Diaz
38.00

CA District 25 - Open Primary - ALG Research (D)
2/11/2018-2/15/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Steve Knight
43.00

Bryan Caforio
19.00

Katie Hill
10.00

Jess Pelaez Phoenix
7.00

RI US Senate - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
5/7/2018-5/14/2018 - Likely Voters - ±5.5%

Sheldon Whitehouse
72.00

Lincoln Chafee
14.00

MI Governor - ALG Research (D)
10/15/2018-10/21/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.3%

Gretchen Whitmer
47.00

Bill Schuette
36.00

William J. "Bill" Gelineau
4.00

Jennifer V. Kurland
2.00

MI Governor - ALG Research (D)
10/8/2018-10/14/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Gretchen Whitmer
46.00

Bill Schuette
36.00

William J. "Bill" Gelineau
3.00

Jennifer V. Kurland
2.00

MI Governor - ALG Research (D)
9/24/2018-9/30/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Gretchen Whitmer
49.00

Bill Schuette
37.00

Jennifer V. Kurland
2.00

William J. "Bill" Gelineau
2.00

MI Governor - ALG Research (D)
9/8/2018-9/13/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Gretchen Whitmer
45.00

Bill Schuette
38.00

Jennifer V. Kurland
3.00

William J. "Bill" Gelineau
3.00

FL District 27 - ALG Research (D)
10/25/2018-10/28/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Donna Shalala
49.00

Maria Elvira Salazar
39.00

FL District 27 - ALG Research (D)
10/11/2018-10/14/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Donna Shalala
44.00

Maria Elvira Salazar
39.00

MI District 11 - ALG Research (D)
10/10/2018-10/14/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.3%

Haley Stevens
44.00

Lena Epstein
34.00

Leonard Schwartz
4.00

TX District 31 - ALG Research (D)
9/16/2018-9/20/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

John R. Carter
46.00

Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar
42.00

MN District 07 - ALG Research (D)
9/5/2018-9/10/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Collin Peterson
53.00

Dave Hughes
35.00

FL District 16 - ALG Research (D)
8/22/2018-8/26/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Vern Buchanan
48.00

David M. Shapiro
44.00

FL Governor - D Primary - ALG Research (D)
7/29/2018-8/2/2018 - Likely Voters - ±3.5%

Gwen Graham
33.00

Philip Levine
17.00

Jeff Greene
13.00

Andrew T. Gillum
10.00

Christopher King
3.00

FL State Senate 22 - ALG Research (D)
7/23/2018-7/26/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.9%

Bob Doyel
45.00

Kelli Stargel
40.00

SD Governor - ALG Research (D)
9/20/2018-9/24/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Billie H. Sutton
45.00

Kristi Noem
42.00

SD Governor - ALG Research (D)
7/19/2018-7/25/2018 - Voters - ±4.4%

Kristi Noem
46.00

Billie H. Sutton
42.00

IA - District 03 - ALG Research (D)
7/8/2018-7/12/2018 - Likely Voters - ±4.4%

Cynthia Axne
45.00

David Young
41.00

FL Attorney General - ALG Research (D)
5/31/2018-6/6/2018 - Likely Voters - ±2.8%

Sean Shaw
41.00

Ashley Moody
36.00

Sean Shaw
40.00

Frank White
36.00

JOB APPROVAL POLLS
R	Donald Trump	NC	Meredith College	9/18/2020 - 9/22/2020	48.80% +	49.50% -	1.70% ?
D	Roy Cooper		Meredith College	9/18/2020 - 9/22/2020	54.70% +	39.30% -	6.00% ?
R	Thomas "Thom" Tillis		Meredith College	9/18/2020 - 9/22/2020	38.30% +	48.70% -	13.10% ?
R	Donald Trump	NH	University of Massachusetts	9/17/2020 - 9/25/2020	45.00% +	55.00% -	0.00% ?
R	Christopher "Chris" Sununu		University of Massachusetts	9/17/2020 - 9/25/2020	74.00% +	27.00% -	0.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	NC	University of Massachusetts	9/18/2020 - 9/25/2020	49.00% +	51.00% -	0.00% ?
D	Roy Cooper		University of Massachusetts	9/18/2020 - 9/25/2020	60.00% +	40.00% -	0.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	TX	University of Massachusetts	9/18/2020 - 9/25/2020	50.00% +	49.00% -	0.00% ?
R	Greg Abbott		University of Massachusetts	9/18/2020 - 9/25/2020	55.00% +	46.00% -	0.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	GA	Quinnipiac University	9/23/2020 - 9/27/2020	47.00% +	51.00% -	2.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	SC	Quinnipiac University	9/23/2020 - 9/27/2020	49.00% +	48.00% -	3.00% ?
I	Carolyn G. Goodman	NV	ALG Research (D)	4/27/2020 - 4/30/2020	32.00% +	58.00% -	10.00% ?
D	Steve Sisolak		ALG Research (D)	4/27/2020 - 4/30/2020	64.00% +	32.00% -	4.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	NV	ALG Research (D)	4/27/2020 - 4/30/2020	46.00% +	53.00% -	1.00% ?
D	Gwen Graham		ALG Research (D)	9/21/2014 - 9/24/2014	41.00% +	30.00% -	29.00% ?
R	Steve Southerland		ALG Research (D)	9/21/2014 - 9/24/2014	45.00% +	46.00% -	9.00% ?
R	Lynn M. Jenkins		ALG Research (D)	7/20/2014 - 7/22/2014	44.00% +	44.00% -	12.00% ?
R	Lynn M. Jenkins		ALG Research (D)	10/3/2014 - 10/6/2014	41.00% +	46.00% -	13.00% ?
D	John Bel Edwards		ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	64.00% +	30.00% -	6.00% ?
R	Donald Trump	NV	ALG Research (D)	8/3/2019 - 8/7/2019	43.00% +	57.00% -	0.00% ?
D	Steve Sisolak		ALG Research (D)	8/3/2019 - 8/7/2019	58.00% +	28.00% -	14.00% ?

FAVORABILITY POLLS
R	Tom Cotton	ALG Research (D)	7/20/2014 - 7/24/2014	17.00% +	27.00% -	56.00% ?
D	Mark Pryor	ALG Research (D)	7/20/2014 - 7/24/2014	33.00% +	32.00% -	35.00% ?
R	Steve Southerland	ALG Research (D)	9/21/2014 - 9/24/2014	43.00% +	44.00% -	13.00% ?
D	Margie Wakefield	ALG Research (D)	10/3/2014 - 10/6/2014	28.00% +	10.00% -	62.00% ?
R	David Vitter	ALG Research (D)	10/26/2015 - 10/28/2015	40.00% +	52.00% -	8.00% ?
D	John Bel Edwards	ALG Research (D)	10/26/2015 - 10/28/2015	55.00% +	26.00% -	19.00% ?
D	John Bel Edwards	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	59.00% +	28.00% -	13.00% ?
NPA	Troy Hebert	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	11.00% +	7.00% -	82.00% ?
NPA	Rob Maness	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	14.00% +	8.00% -	78.00% ?
R	David Duke	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	8.00% +	73.00% -	19.00% ?
R	John Fleming	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	18.00% +	9.00% -	73.00% ?
D	Foster L. Campbell	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	23.00% +	13.00% -	65.00% ?
D	Caroline Fayard	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	15.00% +	8.00% -	77.00% ?
R	Charles W. Boustany, Jr.	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	27.00% +	10.00% -	63.00% ?
R	John N. Kennedy	ALG Research (D)	8/29/2016 - 9/1/2016	58.00% +	10.00% -	32.00% ?
R	Roger Marshall	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	36.00% +	41.00% -	23.00% ?
D	Barbara Goolsbee Bollier	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	38.00% +	45.00% -	17.00% ?
D	Laura Kelly	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	46.00% +	41.00% -	13.00% ?
R	Jerry Moran	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	36.00% +	39.00% -	26.00% ?
R	Jo Rae Perkins	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	24.00% +	25.00% -	51.00% ?
D	Jeff Merkley	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	50.00% +	37.00% -	13.00% ?
D	Ron Wyden	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	47.00% +	36.00% -	17.00% ?
D	Kate Brown	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	45.00% +	48.00% -	7.00% ?
R	David Perdue	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	40.00% +	49.00% -	10.00% ?
D	Jon Ossoff	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	44.00% +	46.00% -	10.00% ?
R	Kelly Loeffler	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	28.00% +	57.00% -	16.00% ?
D	Raphael Warnock	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	41.00% +	28.00% -	31.00% ?
R	Doug Collins	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	37.00% +	39.00% -	24.00% ?
D	Matt Lieberman	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	22.00% +	33.00% -	45.00% ?
D	Ed Tarver	Civiqs	9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020	10.00% +	21.00% -	69.00% ?

CANDIDATE BIRTHDAYS
People's Republic of China	1949	(71yrs)
AKM Mozammel Haque	1946	(74yrs)
Ann Victoria Evans	1837-1917	(80yrs)
Charles H. Martin	1863-1946	(83yrs)
Daniel L. Barringer	1788-1852	(64yrs)
Daniel Pierce Thompson	1795-1868	(73yrs)
Francis M. Cockrell	1834-1915	(81yrs)
George W. Grider	1912-1991	(79yrs)
Gret Haller	1947	(73yrs)
Harry H. Seldomridge	1864-1927	(63yrs)
Henry H. Chambers	1790-1826	(36yrs)
Herman Ray Hill	1937	(83yrs)
J. Carlton Loser	1892-1984	(92yrs)
Jack L. Coleman, Jr.	1953	(67yrs)
James Thompson	1806-1874	(68yrs)
Jimmy Carter	1924	(96yrs)
Joan Dukes	1947-2020	(73yrs)
Joe J. Manlove	1876-1956	(80yrs)
John P. Muhlenberg	1746-1807	(61yrs)
José de Jesús Zambrano Grijalva	1953	(67yrs)
Joseph C. S. Blackburn	1838-1918	(80yrs)
Kshama Sawant	1972	(48yrs)
Mark J. Leyva	1959	(61yrs)
Mary Anna Custis Lee	1807-1873	(66yrs)
Michael McFaul	1963	(57yrs)
Michael Tomlinson	1977	(43yrs)
Monica L. Monica	1950	(70yrs)
Richard Stockton	1730-1781	(51yrs)
Rob McKenna	1962	(58yrs)
Rufus Choate	1799-1859	(60yrs)
Samuel W. Yorty	1909-1998	(89yrs)
Sharon Weston Broome	1956	(64yrs)
Theresa May	1956	(64yrs)
Thomas M. Randolph	1768-1828	(60yrs)
Wesley Abner D'Ewart	1889-1973	(84yrs)
William H. Rehnquist	1924-2005	(81yrs)

KEY RACE RATING

MI US Senate - 11/3/2020 Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!" 9" Avg: 8"

LEANING PREDICTIONS
Jason	NJ District 02 - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Amy Kennedy
Bojicat	Côte d'Ivoire President - 10/31/2020	Strong	RDR	Alassane Ouattara
Bojicat	CAR President - 12/27/2020	Strong	I	Faustin-Archange Touadéra
bnml	Supreme Court - Associate Justice - 1/1/3000	Slight	R	Amy Coney Barrett
M@	SK Premier - 10/26/2020	Safe	SP	Scott Moe
M@	ACT Chief Minister - 10/17/2020	Slight	ALP	Andrew Barr
M@	QLD Premier - 10/31/2020	Slight	ALP	Annastacia Palaszczuk
IndyGeorgia	SK Premier - 10/26/2020	Safe	SP	Scott Moe
IndyGeorgia	NZ House of Representatives - Popular Vote - 10/17/2020	Strong	NZLP	New Zealand Labour Party
Campari_007	NE US President - CD 2 - 11/3/2020	Lean	D	Joe Biden
IndyGeorgia	NE US President - CD 1 - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Donald Trump
IndyGeorgia	ME US President - 11/3/2020	Lean	D	Joe Biden
CA Pol Junkie	NE District 02 - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Kara Eastman
Campari_007	NE District 02 - 11/3/2020	Slight	R	Don Bacon
Kyle	NE US President - CD 2 - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Joe Biden
justiceiscoming	IN Governor - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Eric Holcomb
Bojicat	Tanzania President - 10/28/2020	Safe	CCM	John Magufuli
derstad980	Supreme Court - Associate Justice - 1/1/3000	Slight	R	Amy Coney Barrett
Dr. Cynic	PA District 10 - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Eugene A. DePasquale
justiceiscoming	IL US President - 11/3/2020	Safe	D	Joe Biden
Campari_007	BC Legislative Assembly - Vancouver-False Creek - 10/24/2020	Slight	NDP	Brenda Bailey
Campari_007	SC US Senate - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Jaime Harrison
Jason	SC US Senate - 11/3/2020	Slight	R	Lindsey Graham
Cook Political Report	OH US President - 11/3/2020	Slight	N	Tossup
Cook Political Report	IA US President - 11/3/2020	Slight	N	Tossup
Cook Political Report	NJ District 03 - 11/3/2020	Lean	D	Andrew Kim
Kyle	GA US Senate - Special Election - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Raphael Warnock
IndyGeorgia	NH Governor - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Christopher "Chris" Sununu
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 001 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Allen Andrews
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 002 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	John "J." Eggleston
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 003 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Danny Busick
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 004 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Greg Sharpe
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 005 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Louis Riggs
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 006 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Ed Lewis
IndyGeorgia	MO State House 007 - 11/3/2020	Safe	R	Rusty Black
Max Rohtbart	U of Michigan Board of Regents - 11/3/2020	Lean	D	Mark Bernstein
Max Rohtbart	Oakland County Commissioner 13 - 11/3/2020	Safe	D	Marcia Gershenson
CA Pol Junkie	NC District 08 - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Richard Hudson
Max Rohtbart	Oakland County Board of County Commissioners - 11/3/2020	Lean	D	Democratic Party Control
CA Pol Junkie	GA US Senate - Special Election - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Raphael Warnock
Campari_007	BC Legislative Assembly - Vancouver-Quilchena - 10/24/2020	Safe	BCL	Andrew Wilkinson
Campari_007	BC Legislative Assembly - Langford-Juan de Fuca - 10/24/2020	Safe	NDP	John Horgan
Max Rohtbart	NE US President - CD 1 - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Donald Trump
Paul	NJ District 05 - 11/3/2020	Strong	D	Josh Gottheimer
Max Rohtbart	KS US President - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Donald Trump
Max Rohtbart	NV US President - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Joe Biden
Max Rohtbart	AK US President - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Donald Trump
Max Rohtbart	MT US President - 11/3/2020	Lean	R	Donald Trump
Max Rohtbart	LA US President - 11/3/2020	Strong	R	Donald Trump
Max Rohtbart	GA US President - 11/3/2020	Slight	D	Joe Biden

National (538 ev)

[+] Control Panel