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AR US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Arkansas
>
Senate Class II
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2004 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 05, 2002 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close
November 05, 2002 - 07:30pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2003 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2009 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Barack O-blame-a
Last Modified
Barack O-blame-a
April 10, 2004 02:24am
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/05/1996
Name
Tim Hutchinson
Votes
445,942 (52.70%)
Term
01/03/1997 - 01/03/2003
Margin
45,701 (+5.40%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/04/2008
Name
Mark Pryor
Votes
804,678 (79.53%)
Term
01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015
Margin
597,602 (+59.07%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 21, 2002
AR US Senate- R Primary
Tim Hutchinson
R
92,122
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
08/09/2002
11/05/2002
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Mark Pryor
16
23
1
--
Tim Hutchinson
1
3
--
--
Leaning Call: Mark Pryor (90.28%)
Weighted Call: Mark Pryor (99.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/08/2001
11/04/2002
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
American Research Group
Cooper & Secrest Associates (D)
Gallup
Hickman-Brown Research
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
Stephens Media Group
Tarrance Group (R)
Zogby International
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Attorney General
Mark Pryor
(I)
Sen.
Tim Hutchinson
Party
Democratic
Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
433,306 (53.90%)
370,653 (46.10%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-62,653 (-7.79%)
Predict Avg.
53.60%
46.14%
None Entered
54.00% (+4.97 pts)
46.00% (+4.39 pts)
sethdm
53.00% (+4.44 pts)
47.00% (+3.86 pts)
*crickets chirp*
51.30% (+3.31 pts)
48.70% (+2.73 pts)
Nats In First!
55.00% (+4.31 pts)
45.00% (+3.72 pts)
polcamelect
53.10% (+4.51 pts)
46.90% (+3.93 pts)
JBarone
54.00% (+4.97 pts)
46.00% (+4.39 pts)
User 13
53.00% (+4.44 pts)
46.00% (+4.39 pts)
nealpatel79
52.00% (+3.78 pts)
48.00% (+3.19 pts)
CA Pol Junkie
54.00% (+4.97 pts)
46.00% (+4.39 pts)
Default User
53.00% (+4.44 pts)
47.00% (+3.86 pts)
NLJake
54.80% (+4.44 pts)
44.80% (+3.59 pts)
dailykos
54.00% (+4.97 pts)
45.00% (+3.72 pts)
Youth of Today
55.00% (+4.31 pts)
44.00% (+3.06 pts)
Blue Wizzrobe
56.00% (+3.64 pts)
43.00% (+2.39 pts)
Vlajos
53.00% (+4.44 pts)
47.00% (+3.86 pts)
Stephen Yellin
54.00% (+4.97 pts)
46.00% (+4.39 pts)
Eric
52.00% (+3.78 pts)
48.00% (+3.19 pts)
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
--
--
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (16 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
52.64%
--
41.46%
--
Zogby International
11/02/02-11/04/02
56.00%
1.0
43.00%
1.0
Gallup
10/30/02-11/02/02
51.00%
--
43.00%
--
Zogby International
10/31/02-11/02/02
55.00%
9.6
44.00%
1.2
Stephens Media Group
10/16/02-10/19/02
48.00%
3.0
43.00%
2.0
Zogby International
10/09/02-10/11/02
45.40%
0.4
45.20%
2.2
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
09/16/02-09/20/02
50.00%
1.0
40.00%
1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
CincinnatiReds1990
D
Ashley
D
Some say...
D
Bob
D
InspectorMorse
Arkansas Times
F
Blue Republican
Club for Growth
Arkansas Democrat Gazette
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Nov 07, 2002 06:12pm
General
Drudge allegations against Pryor proved...true!
Article
*crickets chirp*
Nov 04, 2002 03:01pm
General
Drudge Report Allegations Proved False!
Article
Stephen Yellin
Aug 23, 2002 12:15pm
General
An Unwelcome Arkansas Traveler?
Article
RP
Jun 25, 2002 03:00pm
General
Do as I say, not as I do...
Article
Chronicler
Apr 25, 2002 04:00pm
General
Hutchinson E-Mail Prompts Review of Rules
Article
Ashley
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