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  WI Supreme Court Justice
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > WI Supreme Court > Supreme Court Justice ('05)
OfficeSupreme Court
HonorificSupreme Court - Abbr: Supreme Court Justice
TypeNonpartisan General Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2025 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open April 01, 2025 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close April 01, 2025 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start July 31, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End July 31, 2035 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev April 02, 2025 07:44pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyNonpartisan Won04/07/2015
NameAnn Walsh Bradley Votes471,866 (58.03%)
Term07/31/2015 - 07/31/2025 Margin131,234 (+16.14%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/04/2024 04/01/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Brad Schimel 3 ------
Susan Crawford 4 3 ----
Leaning Call: Susan Crawford (76.92%)
Weighted Call: Brad Schimel (63.06%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/17/2025 03/31/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Susan Crawford Attorney General Brad Schimel (W) Write-In  
PartyNonpartisan Nonpartisan Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 1,301,128 (55.00%) 1,063,244 (44.94%) 1,473 (0.06%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -237,884 (-10.05%) -1,299,655 (-54.93%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 06/10/2024 11/30/2023 01/01/2025  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.34%-- 44.14%-- 0.00%--  
AtlasIntel 
03/27/25-03/31/25
53.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
03/28/25-03/30/25
51.00% -- 49.00% -- 0.00% --
SoCal Research 
03/25/25-03/26/25
46.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% --
SoCal Research 
03/25/25-03/26/25
50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Tyson Group (TelOpinion Research) (R) 
03/17/25-03/18/25
48.00% 1.0 43.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Tyson Group (TelOpinion Research) (R) 
03/10/25-03/11/25
47.00% 1.0 39.00% 4.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Pedro Colón (N)
Apr 26, 2024
Chris Taylor (N)
Apr 18, 2024
Ann Walsh Bradley (N)
Apr 11, 2024

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DISCUSSION
[View All
14
Previous Messages]
 
W:11230Arthur ( 520.6107 points)
Wed, April 2, 2025 11:37:39 AM UTC0:00
Campari_007: I get to explain to Republicans how bad this is for them.
Explain away LOL.

I have to wonder when Dems will realize that winning/overperforming in low-turnout specials and random off-year elections isn't as impressive as they make it seem. They've been bragging about it for years but the second a general election that people actually vote in comes around they don't do nearly as well as they do in specials (2022) or they end up underperforming expectations (2024). It's the exact same situation Republicans faced a decade ago, they won elections few people turned out for but bombed in higher-turnout environments. In other words, it's a turnout issue.

As for this race: If Wisconsin Rs want to win elections like these they need to make an effort to move them so they coincide with midterm/presidential elections. I believe this can be done if voters approve of it in a referendum but don't quote me on that. The electorate that turns out for these random April elections are obviously too hostile for Republicans to win over, they lost three times in a row by the exact same margin. At the very least Kinser would have won if a 2022-type of electorate turned out.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Wed, April 2, 2025 03:38:26 PM UTC0:00
Arthur: As for this race: If Wisconsin Rs want to win elections like these they need to make an effort to move them so they coincide with midterm/presidential elections.

This election had over 80% of the turnout of the 2022 midterm. If Republicans want to win Supreme Court races, maybe they should try running candidates who aren't party stooges.

 
W:11230Arthur ( 520.6107 points)
Wed, April 2, 2025 04:11:12 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: This election had over 80% of the turnout of the 2022 midterm.
Exactly, still a lower turnout than a midterm. Who do you suppose a majority of the remaining 20% that didn't vote would break for?
Also, saying 2022 and 2025 had a similar enough amount of voters doesn't prove that the electorate that turned out yesterday wasn't more D-favorable than the one that turned out in 2022.

CA Pol Junkie: If Republicans want to win Supreme Court races, maybe they should try running candidates who aren't party stooges.
Perhaps, but Democrats have run party stooges the past 3 court elections and it's worked out wonderfully for them. A squishy moderate R might have done better but I struggle to see how this hypothetical dream candidate could close a 10-point deficit.

 
LPP:10973Patrick ( 6.5582 points)
Wed, April 2, 2025 05:56:15 PM UTC0:00
Arthur: Exactly, still a lower turnout than a midterm. Who do you suppose a majority of the remaining 20% that didn't vote would break for?

Ah yes, the silent MAGA.