Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A collaborative political resource." 
Email: Password:

  WI US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline July 03, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 52.92% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedRBH November 29, 2012 07:25pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameHerb Kohl Votes1,439,214 (67.31%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin808,915 (+37.83%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 14, 2012 WI US Senate - D Primary Tammy Baldwin
Aug 14, 2012 WI US Senate - R Primary Tommy G. Thompson
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 7.4000000954 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/01/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tammy Baldwin 38 11 1 5
Tommy G. Thompson 20 5 ----
Leaning Call: Tammy Baldwin (73.45%)
Weighted Call: Tammy Baldwin (84.10%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/10/2010 11/03/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Tammy Baldwin Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy G. Thompson Joseph Kexel Nimrod Y.U. Allen, III (W) Scattering (W) Party Leader Riley J. Hood (W) Diane E. Lorbiecki
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Independent No Party Affiliation Constitution Independent
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes1,547,104 (51.41%) 1,380,126 (45.86%) 62,240 (2.07%) 16,455 (0.55%) 3,373 (0.11%) 70 (0.00%) 43 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -166,978 (-5.55%) -1,484,864 (-49.34%) -1,530,649 (-50.86%) -1,543,731 (-51.30%) -1,547,034 (-51.41%) -1,547,061 (-51.41%)
Predict Avg.49.55% 48.77% 0.54% 0.31% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 7/25 $3,152,402.00 7/25 $352,915.00 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (55 from 14 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg48.15%-- 44.74%-- 0.00%-- 1.17%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 1.17%--
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12
48.00% -- 47.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/02/12-11/03/12
51.00% 2.0 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
10/30/12-11/01/12
48.50% 3.5 46.30% 6.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Wenzel Strategies (R) 
10/30/12-10/31/12
45.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Feldman Group (D) 
10/28/12-10/30/12
48.00% -- 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/29/12-10/29/12
47.00% -- 48.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Norbert College 
10/25/12-10/29/12
43.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/29/12-10/29/12
48.00% 1.0 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/28/12-10/29/12
48.00% 1.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
10/25/12-10/28/12
47.00% 2.0 43.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/25/12-10/25/12
47.00% 1.0 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
10/18/12-10/20/12
50.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/18/12-10/18/12
46.00% 5.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/15/12-10/17/12
49.00% 1.0 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/15/12-10/17/12
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Feldman Group (D) 
10/14/12-10/16/12
48.00% 2.0 44.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/15/12-10/15/12
47.00% -- 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
10/11/12-10/14/12
45.00% 3.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12
48.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/09/12-10/09/12
51.00% 2.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/04/12-10/09/12
48.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/08/12-10/08/12
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/04/12-10/06/12
49.00% -- 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WPA Research 
10/01/12-10/02/12
48.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
09/27/12-09/30/12
48.00% 2.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
09/20/12-09/23/12
52.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/18/12-09/19/12
49.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/16/12-09/18/12
48.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/11/12-09/17/12
47.00% 3.0 47.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/17/12-09/17/12
49.00% 6.0 46.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
09/13/12-09/16/12
50.00% 9.0 41.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12
42.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/12/12-09/13/12
48.00% 4.0 45.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Feldman Group (D) 
09/09/12-09/12/12
50.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
08/15/12-08/21/12
44.00% 3.0 50.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/16/12-08/19/12
44.00% 1.0 49.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
08/16/12-08/19/12
41.00% -- 50.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/15/12-08/15/12
43.00% 5.0 54.00% 13.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/31/12-08/06/12
47.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/25/12-07/25/12
48.00% 12.0 41.00% 11.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/05/12-07/08/12
45.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
07/05/12-07/08/12
41.00% -- 45.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
06/13/12-06/16/12
41.00% 1.0 49.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
06/12/12-06/12/12
36.00% 2.0 52.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/11/12-05/13/12
43.00% 1.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/09/12-05/09/12
38.00% 6.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/13/12-04/15/12
45.00% 1.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
03/27/12-03/27/12
44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/23/12-02/26/12
46.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
02/16/12-02/19/12
42.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/20/11-10/23/11
44.00% 2.0 46.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/12/11-08/14/11
42.00% -- 50.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/19/11-05/22/11
44.00% -- 45.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/24/11-02/27/11
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/10/10-12/12/10
0.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
SAP Gaear Grimsrud
D Qbanito
  Milwaukee Courier
  Green Bay Press-Gazette
  Wisconsin State Journal
  Wausau Daily Herald
  Wisconsin Pork Association
AENM Angry Russian
LBT Jed Ziggler
LBT Smart
LBT Silver Dime
Veg Nothing wrong, just gone

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Sep 28, 2012 08:00pm Sep 28, 2012 09:00pm Debate WI Sen First Debate  RP 
Oct 18, 2012 01:00pm Oct 18, 2012 03:00pm Debate WI-Sen Second Debate  RP 
Oct 26, 2012 08:00pm Oct 26, 2012 09:00pm Debate Wi-Sen Third Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/30/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Endorsement eng President  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
10/26/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Needs It  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
10/24/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Boss  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
10/24/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Mixed eng Mustard  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
10/23/2012 Tommy G. Thompson vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Dangerous Path  00:00:33 Homegrown Democrat 
10/15/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Contrast eng Expert  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/15/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Pill  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/10/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Difference  00:00:34 Homegrown Democrat 
10/09/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Contrast eng Priorities  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/09/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Tommy Thompson's Gets Rich While His Special Interest Clients Send American Jobs Overseas  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/03/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Attack eng Tommy Thompson: Exhausted  00:00:55 Homegrown Democrat 
10/03/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Trust  00:00:31 RP 
10/02/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng looking out for Special Interests  00:00:33 RP 
10/02/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Return of Serve  00:00:32 RP 
10/02/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Tommy Inc   00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2012 Tommy G. Thompson vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng TOO LIBERAL   00:00:30 RP 
09/27/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Tommy Thompson isn't thinking about you  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
09/26/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Stamp  00:00:31 RP 
09/26/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Biography eng Tommy Thompson wants to end Medicare  00:00:22 Homegrown Democrat 
09/24/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Wallet  00:00:33 RP 
09/21/2012 Tommy G. Thompson vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng EXTREME  00:00:33 RP 
09/20/2012 Tommy G. Thompson vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Contrast eng Decision   00:00:35 RP 
09/20/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Contrast eng Rules -- Tammy Baldwin for Senate   00:00:31 RP 
09/20/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Tammy Baldwin voted to cut Medicare  00:00:30 RP 
09/13/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Buildings  00:00:31 RP 
09/12/2012 Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Mixed eng Accomplished  00:00:35 RP 
09/12/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Tommy Thompson Admits He Went to Washington and Never Looked Back   00:00:35 RP 
09/10/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Boy Did He   00:00:32 RP 
08/28/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Dollar Signs   00:00:30 RP 
08/25/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Issue eng The Choice on Taxes  00:00:28 Homegrown Democrat 
08/22/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng No  00:00:30 RP 
08/17/2012 Tammy Baldwin vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Contrast eng Choice  00:00:30 RP 
08/17/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson TVAd Attack eng Riding High  00:00:32 RP 
08/14/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng With a T  00:00:31 RP 
07/30/2012 Tammy Baldwin TVAd Issue eng Engines  00:00:32 RP 
07/25/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Tammy Baldwin - Failure  00:00:30 RP 
07/23/2012 TVAd Attack eng Street Signs  00:00:32 RP 
03/27/2012 vs Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Issue eng THANK YOU TOMMY THOMPSON FOR THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT!  00:01:13 Homegrown Democrat 
02/08/2012 vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Meet Tammy Baldwin  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
11/06/2011 vs Tommy G. Thompson Web Only Ad Attack eng Tommy Thompson's DC Fundraiser  00:00:50 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 09, 2012 05:00pm News Tammy Baldwin To Ron Johnson: 'I'm Quite Confident' I Understand The Federal Budget   Article COSDem 
Nov 04, 2012 01:00pm News Tammy Baldwin: On the brink of victory?  Article Qbanito 
Oct 26, 2012 04:45pm General Giuliani: [Tammy] Baldwin ‘so far to the left … that she can’t think straight’  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Oct 17, 2012 10:40am Opinion Kuhner: Radical lesbian knocking on Senate door  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Oct 14, 2012 09:05pm News Tommy Thompson's son calls for sending Obama back 'to Kenya'  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Oct 13, 2012 08:00pm News [WI] State No. 2 in outside spending for Senate race   Article Homegrown Democrat 

DISCUSSION
[View All
124
Previous Messages]