Poll Average Details- WI US Senate - 2012-11-06 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Tammy Baldwin Tammy BaldwinTommy Thompson Eric D. Hovde Scattering Joseph Kexel Nimrod Y.U. Allen, III Riley J. Hood Diane E. Lorbiecki
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   48.0000 - 1.4134 bias 47.0000 - 0.0288 bias          
Public Policy Polling11/3X 1.00000   51.0000 - 1.1680 bias 48.0000 - -0.1800 bias          
We Ask America11/1X 0.96667   48.5000 - -0.1888 bias 46.3000 - 0.7934 bias          
Wenzel Strategies (R)10/31X 0.95000   45.0000 - -3.2645 bias 47.0000 - 4.5835 bias          
Feldman Group (D)10/30X 0.93333  X 1/2 48.0000 - 4.1262 bias 45.0000 - 0.8557 bias          
Pulse Opinion Research10/29X 0.91667   47.0000 - -0.2544 bias 48.0000 - 1.6194 bias          
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.91667   48.0000 - 0.4180 bias 48.0000 - 1.5977 bias          
St. Norbert College10/29X 0.91667   43.0000 - 2.4085 bias 46.0000 - -0.9458 bias          
Marist Institute10/29X 0.91667   48.0000 - 0.7635 bias 47.0000 - -0.4397 bias          
Marquette University Law School10/28X 0.90000   47.0000 - 1.0486 bias 43.0000 - 0.0598 bias          
Angus Reid10/20X 0.76667   50.0000 - 0.9842 bias 47.0000 - 1.4048 bias          
Mason-Dixon10/17X 0.71667   47.0000 - 0.4277 bias 45.0000 - 0.8543 bias          
Quinnipiac University10/9X 0.58333   48.0000 - 1.0754 bias 46.0000 - -0.2682 bias          
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)10/2X 0.46667  X 1/2 48.0000 - -2.2598 bias 45.0000 - 2.8390 bias          
TOTAL 46.992386 45.660080 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000