I mean this state did just elect J.D. Vance. There are states where being MAGA is a liability but I'm not sure Ohio is one of them. I agree, Moreno being tied to Trump, who will likely easily carry this state in November, is a net positive. He might crash and burn in the suburbs but they don't make up much of the electorate in this state anyway. This isn't Arizona or Georgia. The bigger problem for Rs is that Moreno is an untested candidate that never would have gone anywhere without Trump's support. Does he have some potential scandals we don't know about yet that will rear their ugly heads in the lead-up to November? Will he prove so repulsive as a candidate that not even Trump could drag him across the finish line? We'll find out soon enough, Moreno has many potential flaws as a candidate, but being a "MAGA crazy" is not one of them.

I Still think this race leans towards Brown but he is certainly in for the fight of his life. He’ll outperform Biden especially in Appalachia, Northeast Ohio, and the rust belt on the Lake but it just depends if it is by enough.

There is going to be a ton of Trump/Brown voters.

I have an idea or two about how Moreno was a Trump endorsed candidate who didn't top his statewide average in the parts of Ohio where Trump won by a billion in other words, the deviation map makes seem like LaRose did more than finish with 16.7% and last place