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  TX US Senate - D Runoff
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Texas > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open July 14, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close July 14, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH August 28, 2020 01:50pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameJohn Cornyn Votes2,861,531 (61.56%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin1,264,144 (+27.20%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameJohn Cornyn Votes5,962,983 (53.51%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin1,074,219 (+9.64%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceTX US Senate 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/05/2020 07/14/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar 4 5 1 2
Leaning Call: Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/18/2020 07/07/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar St. Sen. Royce West  
PartyDemocratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 502,516 (52.24%) 459,457 (47.76%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -43,059 (-4.48%)  
Predict Avg.60.60% 39.40%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 01/01/2020 01/01/2020  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg32.00%-- 20.00%--  
University of Texas - Tyler 
06/29/20-07/07/20
32.00% -- 20.00% 4.0
University of Texas - Tyler 
04/18/20-04/27/20
32.00% -- 16.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
13
Previous Messages]
 
D:10409Tar Heel Conservative Dem ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, March 6, 2020 08:44:44 PM UTC0:00
Hegar's favored to be the nominee due to several factors:

1.) Military veteran

2.) Support & backing from the DSCC

3.) Coming very close to defeating Carter in 2018.

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0786 points)
Sat, March 7, 2020 07:16:07 PM UTC0:00
Has another non-incumbent, post WWII, lost a House race and won a senate seat the very next cycle? I can't think of any right off.

 
D:10409Tar Heel Conservative Dem ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, March 12, 2020 12:17:10 AM UTC0:00
We're going to find out in 2 months.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Thu, March 12, 2020 02:02:16 AM UTC0:00
Old Dominion Democrat: Has another non-incumbent, post WWII, lost a House race and won a senate seat the very next cycle? I can't think of any right off.

Obama, but not the very next cycle.

 
D:10409Tar Heel Conservative Dem ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, March 12, 2020 04:30:21 PM UTC0:00
George HW Bush lost 2 Senate contests (1964, 1970) before winning a seat in the House in 1966 & again in 1968. We all know how the rest of the story went...

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Thu, April 16, 2020 01:23:33 AM UTC0:00
Seems like Hegar has a better argument for electability.

 
D:10560Quincy Kelley ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, April 17, 2020 05:09:09 PM UTC0:00
Add my endorsement for Hegar.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, April 17, 2020 07:30:27 PM UTC0:00
Quincy Kelley: Add my endorsement for Hegar.

I see you created yet another account for me to remove access from.

 
D:391Qbanito ( 3054.5449 points)
Sat, June 6, 2020 06:32:56 PM UTC0:00
I was hoping for some polling on this runoff to see the state of the race.

 
I:10696BigBlake ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, July 3, 2020 08:23:05 PM UTC0:00
There is one poll from April by the University of Texas at Tyler

 
D:391Qbanito ( 3054.5449 points)
Sat, July 4, 2020 08:03:59 PM UTC0:00
Added, thanks.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Sun, July 12, 2020 04:22:04 PM UTC0:00
Dallas Morning News is not the Polling Firm, it is University of Texas - Tyler.