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AZ US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Arizona
>
Senate Class III
Office
Senate
Honorific
Senator - Abbr: Sen.
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2016 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open
August 30, 2016 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close
August 30, 2016 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
IndyGeorgia
November 12, 2016 05:35pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/02/2010
Name
John McCain
Votes
1,005,615 (58.86%)
Term
01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017
Margin
413,604 (+24.21%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2016
Name
John McCain
Votes
1,359,267 (53.71%)
Term
01/03/2017 - 08/25/2018
Margin
328,022 (+12.96%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
AZ US Senate 11/08/2016
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
05/13/2015
08/30/2016
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
John McCain
3
1
3
--
Leaning Call: John McCain (100.00%)
Weighted Call: John McCain (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
05/01/2015
08/27/2016
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Behavior Research Center
Data Orbital
Gravis Marketing
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
Public Policy Polling
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Sen.
John McCain
St. Sen.
Kelli Ward
Alex Meluskey
Clair Van Steenwyk
(W)
Sean Webster
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
302,532 (51.16%)
235,988 (39.91%)
31,159 (5.27%)
21,476 (3.63%)
175 (0.03%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-66,544 (-11.25%)
-271,373 (-45.89%)
-281,056 (-47.53%)
-302,357 (-51.13%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
00/00/2015
07/00/2015
00/00/2016
00/00/2016
06/01/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
46.82%
--
30.53%
--
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
Gravis Marketing
08/27/16-08/27/16
37.00%
1.0
33.00%
12.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)
08/18/16-08/23/16
55.00%
--
29.00%
--
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
Data Orbital
08/06/16-08/08/16
50.00%
--
29.00%
--
0.00%
--
4.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
05/13/16-05/15/16
39.00%
--
26.00%
--
4.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
05/13/16-05/15/16
41.00%
--
41.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Behavior Research Center
01/07/16-01/17/16
47.00%
6.0
11.00%
--
1.00%
--
1.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Newt Gingrich
🔗
R
Doug Ducey
🔗
R
CincinnatiReds1990
R
John R. Bolton
🔗
R
Kyle
R
Bensq1
Grasshopper
R
Richard H. "Dick" Black
🔗
R
Jim Bridenstine
🔗
R
Thomas Massie
🔗
R
Louie Gohmert
🔗
R
Jim Gilchrist
🔗
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Christine Jones (R)
00, 2016
Scott McBean (R)
00, 2016
David Pizer (R)
00, 2016
David Schweikert (R)
00, 2016
Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon (R)
Sep 29, 2015
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
08/09/2016
John McCain
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Border Patrol Union Endorses John McCain
00:00:30
RP
08/08/2016
vs Kelli Ward
TVAd
Attack
eng
What If...
00:00:30
RP
01/11/2016
John McCain
TVAd
Issue
eng
Protect
00:00:30
RP
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Aug 26, 2016 09:20am
News
John McCain's primary opponent suggests he might die in office
Article
IndyGeorgia
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION
[View All
2
Previous Messages]
R:9356
RiponJackson1854
( 0.0000 points)
Sun, August 23, 2015 11:37:48 PM UTC0:00
If ward has announced, then McCain is toast.
If ward has announced, then McCain is toast.