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  FL District 06 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > FL - District 06
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline December 06, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open April 01, 2025 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close April 01, 2025 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start April 02, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Turnout 33.65% Registered 30.58% Total Population
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedMr. Matt April 02, 2025 08:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Special election due to the resignation of Michael Waltz
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameMichael Waltz Votes284,414 (66.53%)
Term01/03/2025 - 01/20/2025 Margin141,364 (+33.07%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jan 28, 2025 FL District 06 - Special R Primary
Randy Fine
R 40,837
Jan 28, 2025 FL District 06 - Special D Primary
Josh Weil
D 16,004
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/28/2025 04/01/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Randy Fine 6 3 1 4
Josh Weil 2 ------
Leaning Call: Randy Fine (93.94%)
Weighted Call: Randy Fine (100.22%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/19/2025 03/25/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name St. Sen. Randy Fine Josh Weil Andrew Parrott Randall A. Terry (W) Charles "Chuck" Sheridan  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 110,764 (56.66%) 83,485 (42.71%) 701 (0.36%) 525 (0.27%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -27,279 (-13.96%) -110,063 (-56.31%) -110,239 (-56.40%) -110,764 (-56.66%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $0.00 $0.00 $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website]  
Entry Date 01/28/2025 01/28/2025 12/02/2024 12/06/2024 12/07/2024  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.56%-- 43.58%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
St. Pete Polls 
03/22/25-03/25/25
48.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Fabrizio Lee (R) 
03/19/25-03/21/25
41.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
03/27/2025 Josh Weil vs Randy Fine Web Only Ad Attack eng Randy Fine: Unhinged, Un-American  00:00:30 E Pluribus Unum 
03/14/2025 Josh Weil vs Randy Fine Web Only Ad Attack eng Olympic  00:00:30 E Pluribus Unum 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 25, 2025 08:00am News GOP leaders raise alarm bells over a Florida special election in a deep-red district  Article CA Pol Junkie 

DISCUSSION
 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Fri, April 4, 2025 01:02:00 PM UTC0:00
IDMN: If every Republican candidate runs behind Trump as much as Fine did, Democrats will hold 276 seats in the House come 2026.

If every current Republican seat is an open seat, then yes 276 for the Dems is possible. The odds of no Republican House member running for reelection are minimal.