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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | August 15, 2025 10:50pm |
He's certainly got the base eating out of his hand with his antics as of late. It'll come in handy in two years when the primaries start to get underway and they all remember him as being angry and uncompromising right with them and that'll be the most important thing to way too many primary voters. I think Newsom learned right away with his close call in his first mayoral run that he needs to learn how to handle those on his left flank since that would always be the risky side coming up in Cal. By now he's a master of how to pander and manipulate his way into the good graces of the typical blue state progressive stalwart voter.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | July 29, 2025 02:38pm |
Updated the polls to reflect the pollster (Change Research) rather than the sponsor (Northwest Progressive Institute). For what it's worth, in the more recent one these are the results without candidate descriptions:
Harrell 33
Wilson 31
Mallahan 3
Bliss 1
Everybody else 0
Not sure 27
Would not vote 2
Familiarity is rather pathetic on these candidates except for Harrell. Even Mallahan, who was the favorite to be mayor one time not that long ago, is about as unknown to these respondents (55%) as Armstrong (53%), who, no disrespect intended, is an also-ran. I think what we're seeing here is that Harrell is largely not seen as an effective mayor and under normal circumstances in Seattle that is a death knell. About all he has working in his favor is that there's a not insignificant bloc that will likely still support him to keep the city from going back to the activist class in charge, and that may well not be enough with his baggage.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | July 02, 2025 01:13pm |
I went to find out more about Deja Foxx to mostly find out if a name like that belongs to a drag queen and was disappointed it's not but at least filled out the profile. Curiosity is good for something.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | July 02, 2025 01:06pm |
In the tradition of George "1000 Judges" Deukmejian, I'd venture we should informally consider her Imelda "1000 Shoes" Marcos.
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Candidate
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | June 24, 2025 05:55pm |
Not a bad showing for the separatists in their ancestral homeland, really.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | June 10, 2025 04:09pm |
Joined the Republican Liberty Caucus: [Link]
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Candidate
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | June 10, 2025 03:45pm |
I sincerely hope he's a teetotaler if only for such a quality name also being a complete misnomer.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | June 03, 2025 05:37pm |
Stepping down effective July 7, citing "health and personal reasons." Any appointee would serve more than a year since we're a few weeks after filing for this year's elections.
[Link]
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 21, 2025 11:23am |
Seattle needs an Adonis...specifically this one...it's me, I'm the Adonis in question
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 17, 2025 06:58pm |
Also, I just don't get why people were sleeping on Spain so much. It's a catchy track that she performed superbly to the point I ended up tossing a vote towards just based on the quality relative to the field. I'm not sure why Eurofans worship the ground Chanel walks upon yet couldn't catch what Melody was putting out there.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 17, 2025 06:52pm |
A lot more public votes seemed to favor Estonia as the "fun entry" than Sweden to properly doom its chances and arguably the chanson vote split between France and Switzerland for Austria to put together a sizable public vote with his modest jury vote victory to snag the win. If Israel had carried the day by one vote you just know we'd be in for a very dramatic year so I'm pretty good with Austria winning even if the operatic thing isn't really for me (and nothing against Yuval, either). It turned out to be a varied and exciting contest in the end and that's what I want most from ESC.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 16, 2025 09:44pm |
Some big shocks in the semis with Belgium on Tuesday and Australia on Thursday failing to qualify and some dark horses making it instead. While Belgium was my favorite one I'm at least pleased that some of the longshots like Portugal and Latvia are making the music of the final a bit more diverse for it.
France really nailed her preliminary performance and is surging in the odds a bit, though seemingly remains largely a Sweden (fan vote) vs. Austria (jury vote) question. I'll probably part with a few bucks to vote Luxembourg because hers was my #2 going in and love the hat-tip to France Gall's winning entry 60 years ago. Also am hoping to see a deserved top 5 finish for Albania though am not quite sure it will be able to break through more than that being a small country without too many "friends" in the competition.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 10, 2025 10:32pm |
YES
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 07, 2025 11:43am |
I've been thinking Pizzaballa but admittedly am very much not Catholic and usually don't exactly have my finger on the pulse of what their most valued goals are.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | May 03, 2025 09:27pm |
Obvious conspiracy to take away all my against the grain, close call points!
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 30, 2025 11:33am |
Yeah, you know the Ottawa area was with Carney hard when even an outer seat like this ends up close.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 29, 2025 01:55pm |
And for my next magic trick, Rankin goes from twink to daddy in but one mouse click!
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 29, 2025 01:53pm |
All-in, Lib gain.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 29, 2025 12:25pm |
Now this is a strange swing, especially in comparison to the other rural Vancouver Island ridings.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 29, 2025 11:18am |
Eh, his votes would basically be made up of hater votes. I'd argue one can't really objectively call his performance a failure when the party got a record vote share and beat expectations while Trump was looming over the entire campaign. Enjoy the schadenfreude of him losing his own riding but there's a reason he's not stepping down today.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 29, 2025 11:09am |
Kamala somewhere surly that the joy method worked for someone else.
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Race
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 28, 2025 10:05pm |
The networks that called this earlier probably regretting that now.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 28, 2025 09:04pm |
Here was your one chance, Fancy, and you didn't let your mama down <3
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 28, 2025 08:35pm |
Conservatives appear to be doing somewhat better than expectations in the Atlantic provinces. I'm expecting more regional than national trends so I wouldn't read much of anything into that, though.
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| I:352 | Ralphie ( 17851.74 points) | April 27, 2025 07:22pm |
338 has this at a one-point margin and PoliWave a 24-point margin, both Conservative holds. Take your pick, I reckon?
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