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  WY At-Large - R Primary
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wyoming > WY - At-Large
Office
TypePrimary Election
Filing Deadline May 27, 2022 - 12:00am
Polls Open August 16, 2022 - 08:00am
Polls Close August 16, 2022 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00am
ContributorDylanSH99
Last Modifiedev August 26, 2022 10:04pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameElizabeth "Liz" Cheney Votes185,732 (68.56%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin119,156 (+43.99%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Elizabeth "Liz" Cheney
Lean 2
Slight 3
Anthony Bouchard
Lean 1
Slight 1
Harriet M. Hageman
Safe 2
Strong 2
Lean 1
Slight 5
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

01/25/2021 08/06/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Harriet M. Hageman (I) Elizabeth "Liz" Cheney Anthony Bouchard Denton Knapp Robyn M. Belinskey (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Votes113,079 (66.26%) 49,339 (28.91%) 4,508 (2.64%) 2,258 (1.32%) 1,306 (0.77%) 175 (0.10%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -63,740 (-37.35%) -108,571 (-63.62%) -110,821 (-64.93%) -111,773 (-65.49%) -112,904 (-66.16%)
Predict Avg.55.33% 30.33% 10.00% 0.62% 0.38% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center 
07/25-08/06
57.00% (+0.0) 28.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Mason-Dixon 
07/07-07/11
52.00% (+0.0) 30.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Fabrizio Lee (R) 
06/01-06/02
56.00% (+22.0) 28.00% (+2.0) 8.00% (-5.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Fabrizio Lee (R) 
12/14-12/15
34.00% (+0.0) 26.00% (+0.0) 13.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
01/25-01/26
0.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (+0.0) 29.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
W Arthur
R Ted Cruz [L]
R Mark E. Amodei [L]
  Club for Growth
S Zuckatron
R Danny Eyre [L]
R Clark Stith [L]
D Al Franken [L]
R Jewish conservative
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 23, 2022 09:35pm News Liz Cheney Encourages Wyoming Democrats to Change Parties to Vote for Her  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (17 Previous)]
 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.93 points)August 03, 2022 12:11am
I entered the wrong Mike Sullivan endorsement for Cheney and am not sure how to fix it

 
D:1RP ( 5639.51 points)August 03, 2022 08:13am
Southern_Moderate2: I entered the wrong Mike Sullivan endorsement for Cheney and am not sure how to fix it

Deleted

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.97 points)August 04, 2022 04:47pm


Well, if you're gonna lose your primary.

 
NPA:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -171.94 points)August 11, 2022 07:12pm
Ah crap, now I find myself agreeing with Dick Cheney. This is a terrible timeline.

 
R:7114Kyle ( 706.96 points)August 16, 2022 06:13pm
The one positive about this race is that I won’t be as shattered as the JHB and Meijer losses. Anything other than a 35-point loss for Liz is a victory in my book.

 
D:1RP ( 5639.51 points)August 16, 2022 10:06pm

 
NPA:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -171.94 points)August 16, 2022 10:40pm
Just wait 5-8 years when all the new Trump Republicans are the RINOs for whatever new brand of conservatism comes along. Just like when the Tea Party Republicans called the Gingrich Republicans RINOs or when the Gingrich Republicans called the Reagan Republicans RINOs and so on and so on.

 
?:801400 ( 307.10 points)August 17, 2022 07:17am
She also compared herself to Abraham Lincoln and Ulysses S. Grant.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 735.02 points)August 17, 2022 09:59am
Anything other than a 35-point loss for Liz is a victory in my book.

37

Anyhoo, I've had some concerns she might try to run as an independent in the 2024 Presidential rce...but it's unlear from which ticket she'd subtract a greater number of votes.


 
D:1RP ( 5639.51 points)August 17, 2022 10:21am
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: Anyhoo, I've had some concerns she might try to run as an independent in the 2024 Presidential rce...but it's unlear from which ticket she'd subtract a greater number of votes.

Yeah. I have no idea how many of her voters would hold their breath and vote for Trump and how many would defect to the Democratic nominee. Might be a wash.

 
D:1RP ( 5639.51 points)August 23, 2022 12:58pm
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: Anyhoo, I've had some concerns she might try to run as an independent in the 2024 Presidential rce...but it's unlear from which ticket she'd subtract a greater number of votes.

Worse than I thought:

A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in a one-on-one rematch by four points among registered voters, 46% to 42%.

But in a three-way race with Rep. Liz Cheney on the ballot as an independent, Trump would suddenly vault to an 8-point lead over Biden, 40% to 32%.

In that scenario, Cheney trails with just 11% of the vote. The problem for Biden is that nearly all of Cheney’s votes come at his expense — and there are enough of them, in theory, to put Trump over the top. - [Link]

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.97 points)August 24, 2022 05:58pm
bad move by Liz Cheney to not boost two different alternate candidates so that she could possibly win with 28.9%

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.97 points)August 25, 2022 06:59pm
Teton County voter registration stats
January 2022: 6059 Democrats, 5484 Republicans, 15162 total voters
Primary Day 2022: 4479 Democrats, 7987 Republicans, 15586 total voters

So a little bit of foot traffic going on.

 
VMan:10380Politicoomer ( -203.26 points)August 26, 2022 08:02pm
Should just took the senate seat

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