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"A collaborative political resource." |
French President
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| Parents |
> France > President of the Republic
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| Office | |
| Type | General Election - Requires Run-Off |
| Filing Deadline | March 04, 2022 - 12:00am |
| Polls Open | April 10, 2022 - 02:00am |
| Polls Close | April 10, 2022 - 09:00am |
| Term Start | May 15, 2022 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | May 15, 2027 - 12:00pm |
| Contributor | IndyGeorgia |
| Last Modified | NCdem March 17, 2024 12:37pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description | dates updated as per Wikipedia |
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CANDIDATES |
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| Photo | |
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| Name |
(I) Emmanuel Macron |
Marine Le Pen |
Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
Éric Zemmour |
Valérie Pécresse |
Yannick Jadot |
Jean Lassalle |
| Party | En Marche! |
National Rally |
La France Insoumise |
Reconquest |
The Republicans |
Europe Ecology – The Greens |
Résistons! |
| Votes |  9,783,058 (27.85%) |
8,133,828 (23.15%) |
7,712,520 (21.95%) |
2,485,226 (7.07%) |
1,679,001 (4.78%) |
1,627,853 (4.63%) |
1,101,387 (3.14%) |
| Margin | 0 (0.00%) |
-1,649,230 (-4.69%) |
-2,070,538 (-5.89%) |
-7,297,832 (-20.77%) |
-8,104,057 (-23.07%) |
-8,155,205 (-23.21%) |
-8,681,671 (-24.71%) |
| Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| Finances | $0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
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Ipsos
04/08-04/08 |
26.50% (-0.5) |
22.50% (+0.5) |
17.50% (+0.5) |
9.00% (+0.5) |
8.50% (+0.5) |
5.00% (-1.0) |
2.00% (-0.5) |
BVA
04/06-04/07 |
26.00% (+0.0) |
23.00% (+0.0) |
17.50% (+0.0) |
9.50% (+0.0) |
8.50% (+0.0) |
4.50% (+0.0) |
2.50% (+0.0) |
Ipsos
04/05-04/07 |
26.50% (-0.5) |
23.00% (+1.0) |
16.50% (-0.5) |
8.50% (+0.0) |
8.50% (+0.5) |
5.50% (-0.5) |
2.50% (+0.0) |
IFOP
04/04-04/07 |
26.50% (-1.5) |
24.00% (+3.5) |
17.50% (+3.5) |
8.50% (-2.5) |
9.00% (-2.5) |
4.50% (-0.5) |
2.50% (+0.5) |
OpinionWay
04/04-04/07 |
26.00% (-2.0) |
22.00% (+0.0) |
17.00% (+3.0) |
9.00% (+0.0) |
9.00% (+0.0) |
5.00% (-1.0) |
3.00% (+0.0) |
Odoxa
04/05-04/06 |
28.00% (+0.0) |
24.00% (+0.0) |
16.00% (+0.0) |
8.00% (+0.0) |
7.00% (+0.0) |
5.00% (+0.0) |
3.00% (+0.0) |
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| Endorsements | |
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MORE CANDIDATES |
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| Name |
National Assembly Fabien Roussel |
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
Anne Hidalgo |
Philippe Poutou |
Nathalie Arthaud |
| Party | French Communist |
Debout la République |
Socialist |
New Anticapitalist |
Lutte Ouvrière |
| Votes | 802,422 (2.28%) |
725,176 (2.06%) |
616,478 (1.76%) |
268,904 (0.77%) |
197,094 (0.56%) |
| Margin | -8,980,636 (-25.56%) |
-9,057,882 (-25.78%) |
-9,166,580 (-26.09%) |
-9,514,154 (-27.08%) |
-9,585,964 (-27.28%) |
| Predict Avg. | 0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| Finances | $0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
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Ipsos
04/08-04/08 |
3.00% (-0.5) |
2.50% (+0.5) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
0.50% (+0.0) |
BVA
04/06-04/07 |
2.50% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
2.50% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
0.50% (+0.0) |
Ipsos
04/05-04/07 |
3.50% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
0.50% (+0.0) |
IFOP
04/04-04/07 |
2.50% (-1.0) |
1.50% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.5) |
0.50% (+0.0) |
OpinionWay
04/04-04/07 |
3.00% (+0.0) |
2.00% (-1.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+1.0) |
Odoxa
04/05-04/06 |
3.00% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
2.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
1.00% (+0.0) |
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| Endorsements | |
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| DISCUSSION |
| [View Previous Messages In This Discussion (49 Previous)] |
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| D:8172 | La Fayette ( 613.05 points) | February 27, 2022 04:32pm |
IndyGeorgia: Would Bayrou give those signatures to Le Pen or Zemmour in order to split their vote, or is this a principled position against the signature requirement?
It is some kind of middle of the road position. He is not against the signature requirement, but thinks that it shouldn't lead to remove candidates who are polling above 10% of the votes (until last week Mélenchon was also having more trouble than usual to get his signatures).
He said that he was giving his own signature to Le Pen, not as an endorsement, but as a guarantee for a democratic vote, and since she was having more trouble than Zemmour (she baiscally has 414 signatures and Zemmour 415) he picked her.
Poutou criticized Bayrou sharply about securing signatures only for candidates who are polling high, saying that it would reduce an already small field of potential signatures.
Technically, there are about 36 000 elected officials who could give their signatures, but last time only 12 000 did. Most are mayors of small towns, who do not want to face trouble for signing for one or another candidate.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points) | February 27, 2022 04:34pm |
Got it, appreciate the information!
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| D:8172 | La Fayette ( 613.05 points) | February 27, 2022 04:45pm |
On the endorsement side, I have to say that I was surprized that Jean-Pierre Chevènement decided to endorse Emmanuel Macron, given their antagonistic positions on the European Union.
On the Marine Le Pen / Eric Zemmour feud, there have been many rumors that Marion Maréchal, Le Pen's niece, might be endorsing Zemmour in the end. So far she has refused to support either of the candidates.
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Marion Marechal-Le Pen's endorsement is technically not being issued until Sunday...but the fact it's been leaked to the press in advance, seems adequate for our purposes.
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Macron versus Le Pen appears all but certain here...but there's still a remote chance for Melenchon to place in the top two. I'd write off the others at this stage.
Melenchon versus Le Pen would be interesting, I think we'd all agree.
Zemmour has dutifully played his role, and by so doing, has artfully widened the Francophone Overton Window.
And for that, we thank him.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points) | April 09, 2022 11:23pm |
I'm thinking we'll see a three-color map tomorrow, with Mélenchon taking Seine-Saint-Denis and Bouches-du-Rhône at a minimum.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | April 10, 2022 01:42pm |
Macron vs. Le Pen in the second round
Estimated final out already:
Macron 28.5%
Le Pen 23.6%
[Link]
Roussel, Pécresse, Jadot and Hidalgo concede, rallying their supporters behind Macron:
[Link]
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | April 10, 2022 02:20pm |
Third-place finisher Mélenchon did very well. We'll see more of him. More surprising is how Zemmour stretched (or appears to have stretched) ahead of Pécresse, a darling of the LR and one-time sensation. Disappointing for me. Thought she was 'au taquet'.
That vowed comeback for the Socialists under Hidalgo? Well, non. 'C’est grillé' for the party.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points) | April 10, 2022 02:53pm |
Map of results down to the local level: [Link]
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | April 10, 2022 03:27pm |
More astonishing news from these results: the Socialists and the Republicans, France's monster parties since Mitterand v. Giscard d'Estaing in 1974, had their worst performances...ever [Link] Prepare for desperation and despair at party hdqs to bring about mass resignations, party merging and re-namings this year.
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | April 10, 2022 03:39pm |
Mélenchon does have a point. If the left had rallied behind him (Hidalgo,Roussell, et al), he would be the run-off and not Le Pen.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5694.97 points) | April 10, 2022 06:00pm |
imagine how the left could find ways to undermine each other if they had RCV in France
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BrentinCO: Mélenchon does have a point. If the left had rallied behind him (Hidalgo,Roussell, et al), he would be the run-off and not Le Pen.
My theory is that what the 2017 election did for the Right, this will do to the Left.
The Anti-Liberal brand of the Left surrounding Mélenchon will finally become the new face, while the Liberal Left run by the Socialist Party will fade to the background (Presumedly to be swallowed up into the Greens)
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points) | April 18, 2022 08:19am |
Fun Fact: per this map, ten of the twelve candidates won at least one commune. Playing the game "Where's Hidalgo" at the moment; it's tough!
[Link]
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