Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A collaborative political resource." 
Email: Password:

  French President
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > France > President of the Republic
Office
TypeGeneral Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline March 17, 2017 - 12:00am
Polls Open April 23, 2017 - 01:00am
Polls Close April 23, 2017 - 01:00pm
Term Start May 14, 2017 - 12:00am
Term End May 07, 2022 - 12:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia May 15, 2022 03:55pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartySocialist Won05/06/2012
NameFrançois Hollande Votes18,000,668 (51.64%)
Term05/15/2012 - 05/14/2017 Margin1,139,983 (+3.27%)
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Marine Le Pen
Slight 3
Emmanuel Macron
Slight 5
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

05/13/2016 04/21/2017

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Emmanuel Macron Marine Le Pen François Fillon Jean-Luc Mélenchon St. Rep. Benoît Hamon Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Jean Lassalle
PartyEn Marche! National Front The Republicans La France Insoumise Socialist Debout la République Résistons!
Votes8,656,346 (24.01%) 7,678,491 (21.30%) 7,212,995 (20.01%) 7,059,951 (19.58%) 2,291,288 (6.36%) 1,695,000 (4.70%) 435,301 (1.21%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -977,855 (-2.71%) -1,443,351 (-4.00%) -1,596,395 (-4.43%) -6,365,058 (-17.65%) -6,961,346 (-19.31%) -8,221,045 (-22.80%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Odoxa 
04/21-04/21		 24.50% (+0.0) 23.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (+0.5) 19.00% (+0.0) 7.50% (-0.5) 4.50% (+1.0) 0.50% (-1.0)
IFOP 
04/17-04/20		 24.00% (+1.0) 22.50% (+0.0) 19.50% (+0.0) 18.50% (-1.0) 7.00% (-0.5) 4.00% (+0.0) 1.50% (+0.5)
Harris Interactive 
04/18-04/19		 25.00% (+1.0) 22.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (-1.0) 19.00% (+0.0) 7.50% (-0.5) 4.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0)
BVA 
04/18-04/19		 24.00% (+1.0) 23.00% (+1.0) 19.00% (-1.0) 19.00% (-1.0) 8.50% (+1.0) 3.50% (+0.5) 0.50% (-0.5)
Elabe 
04/16-04/17		 24.00% (+0.5) 23.00% (-0.5) 19.50% (+0.5) 18.00% (+1.0) 8.00% (-1.0) 4.00% (-0.5) 0.50% (-0.5)
IFOP 
04/13-04/17		 23.00% (+0.5) 22.50% (-0.5) 19.50% (+0.5) 19.50% (+0.5) 7.50% (-0.5) 4.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D EastTexasDem
PS Ségolène Royal [L]
HF Dominique de Villepin [L]
PRG Jean-Michel Baylet [L]
R Impy
I Lab Shady Morsi
R Kyle
UDI Jean-Christophe Lagarde [L]
I E Pluribus Unum
G BR_Green
PCF Pierre Laurent [L]
V Zackatron
SD BippidiBoppetyBoob
PRG Radical Party of the Left [L]
EELV Eva Joly [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Philippe Poutou François Asselineau Nathalie Arthaud Jacques Cheminade
PartyNew Anticapitalist Popular Republican Union Lutte Ouvrière Solidarity and Progress
Votes394,505 (1.09%) 332,547 (0.92%) 232,384 (0.65%) 65,586 (0.18%)
Margin-8,261,841 (-22.91%) -8,323,799 (-23.09%) -8,423,962 (-23.36%) -8,590,760 (-23.83%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Odoxa 
04/21-04/21		 1.00% (-0.5) 1.00% (+0.5) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
IFOP 
04/17-04/20		 1.50% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Harris Interactive 
04/18-04/19		 1.50% (+0.5) 0.50% (-0.5) 0.50% (+0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
BVA 
04/18-04/19		 1.50% (+0.0) 0.50% (-0.5) 0.50% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
Elabe 
04/16-04/17		 2.00% (+0.5) 0.50% (+0.5) 0.50% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
IFOP 
04/13-04/17		 1.50% (-0.5) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (14 Previous)]
 
D:8172La Fayette ( 613.05 points)March 01, 2017 03:51pm
Fillon has the required number of mayoral signatures (500 at least) to run, according to the constitutional council. Other updates will arriveon March 3rd, March 7th, March 10th, March 14th and March 18th. (The last day to send them to the Consitutional council will be March 17th. [Link]
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)March 01, 2017 08:14pm
The UDI (Union of Democrats and Independents) has suspended its endorsement of Fillon, and will meet next week to take a "collective decision." [Link]
 
D:1RP ( 5639.51 points)April 18, 2017 06:32pm
Whoa - a poll with Macron - Mélenchon as 1-2.
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)April 18, 2017 06:42pm
Macron and Le Pen are still the frontrunners, but a four-way race is slowly emerging. The inevitability of Macron-Le Pen may have given some French voters on the left the belief that they could vote for someone more similar to their views in the first round and then vote for Macron in the runoff. That's what happened in '02, when everyone thought it was Chirac-Jospin and enough left-wing voters peeled away from Jospin and voted for other candidates, giving the second spot to JMLP.
 
I:84eddy 9_99 ( 1859.20 points)April 18, 2017 08:47pm
The only thing that frightens me about this election is that if LaPen and Macron advance to the runoff then many voters will stay home which may help LaPen, especially Melenchon voters
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)April 18, 2017 09:39pm
Melenchon voters have been talking up how they are going to abstain in a Le Pen-Macron scenario. Runoff is going to be heavily influenced by who DOESN'T vote.
 
R:7114Kyle ( 706.96 points)April 19, 2017 12:35am
Would be fascinating to see what would happen in a Macron-Melenchon runoff. Seems like Le Pen voters may prefer Melenchon (one poll showed by about a 60-40 margin), while Fillon voters probably would lean towards Macron (over 90% of Sarkozy voters in the first round would vote for Macron) though there would be heavy abstentions.

Also, interesting to note that Le Pen voters prefer Melenchon over Fillon in the couple of runoff polls I've seen.

Still 85%+ chance that it's Le Pen-Macron. Fillon and Melenchon seemed to increase pretty significantly, but now are getting fairly consistent numbers during the past week. Something would have to change by Sunday for one of them to end up in the runoff.
 
R:7114Kyle ( 706.96 points)April 19, 2017 12:39am
Also, in the poll I saw, it's a 2-1 split of Sarkozy first round voters for Macron over Le Pen. Likewise, it's a 2-1 split for Hollande first round voters with Fillon over Le Pen.
 
R:7114Kyle ( 706.96 points)April 19, 2017 12:40am
With numbers like that, Le Pen's ceiling is 45% on an amazing day. If she makes it to the runoff, my guess is she wouldn't go lower than 35%, but no higher than 42%.
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)April 20, 2017 09:31pm
Melenchon has been endorsed by Pamela Anderson, Mark Ruffalo, and Danny Glover. Yep.

[Link]
[Link]
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)April 23, 2017 02:05pm
TV projections show Macron and Le Pen into the second round.
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4881.18 points)April 23, 2017 02:10pm
Get Firefox!