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Bush’s Drive for Re-Election
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Candidate
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| Contributor | ArmyDem |
| Last Edited | ArmyDem Sep 03, 2004 01:42am |
| Category | General |
| News Date | Sep 03, 2004 12:00am |
| Description | How his prospects look in historical perspective
by Frank Newport, Jeffrey M. Jones, Lydia Saad, and Joseph Carroll
GALLUP NEWS SERVICE
PRINCETON, NJ -- Two significant milestones in this year's campaign are being reached within days of each other -- the end of the Republican convention and Labor Day, the unofficial start of the fall campaign period. Both provide important reads on President George W. Bush's election prospects. Post-convention polling will measure whether a "bounce" in voter support creates some distance between Bush and his challenger, Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry. Bush's standing versus Kerry on Labor Day could also define his re-election prospects, as historical Gallup polling shows that a candidate ahead by more than five points at this point usually wins.
While Gallup cannot answer questions about what the ballot will look like on Labor Day until new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll results are released after the holiday, Gallup's historical polling record provides context for what the post-convention results might mean for Bush's re-election prospects. |
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