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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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Pennsylvanian
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USER DETAILS |
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| Screen Name | Pennsylvanian |
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| Name | |
| Location | , , |
| Email | |
| Birthday | May 10, 0000 |
| Affiliation | Washington |
| First Login | May 03, 2012 06:36pm |
| Last Login | June 22, 2025 08:57am |
| Predictions |
Points: 406.1941
Predictions: 307/338 (90.83%)
Points Per: 406.1941/338 (1.20)
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| Messages Posted |
303
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| DISCUSSION |
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Regime change is beside the point. This is and was a made-for-television spectacle at the behest of the Reality TV President.
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RP: Can we call him Bob Pope?
Underappreciated comment. Not sure how many more times I'll need to hear "DA POPE".
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Race
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Gainey is in trouble here. He has been dogged by bad press throughout the past three years and a general sense of ineptitude precedes his administration. Whether through its own fault or not, the administration can't seem to hire and retain a police chief, can't seem to address continuing downtown crime (there have been shootings in broad daylight on weekdays as recently as this year) and, like its predecessor, seems keen to address citywide issues with comparatively superficial social programs that frankly spoof themselves, like the Pittsburgh Potty. On top of that, a campaign apparatus that seems simply unprepared for a serious challenge. I'm not yet convinced an O'Connor administration will readily find success--the odds don't favor it--but the Gainey administration felt amateurish from the start.
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Race
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LSjustbloggin: You're embracing an establishment swamp captain.
BigZuck08:
I think he means he's embracing the fact that McConnell is becoming irrelevant...
Read my comment as a flippant, half-assed congratulatory note to McConnell, who has long since reaped what he'd sewn and now bides his time spitting into a proverbial wind he played a substantial role in creating. Mitch thought he could play the hand in 2017 but, in the very end, has no hand left to play.
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Race
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Good to see Mitch McConnell has fully resigned himself to complete irrelevance. Embrace it.
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Race
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HB, Old LW!
BrentinCO:
Think you are the one that suggested the best book I've read in the last year (and which I still talk about and reference) - The Johnstown Flood by David McCullough. Not only was it a great history read, but McCullough retelling provides the amazing humanizing story telling that he uniquely is capable of doing. Thank you for that suggestion.
I have never been disappointed with McCullough. And that's not just because I'm a (shameless) homer. 1776 is an all timer for me, and just about due for a re-read. Enough of a popular historian to tell the story, yet enough of a sleuth to (really) dig into the history itself. To strike this balance is a remarkable feat of writing.
David Von Drehle has done this similarly, to some acclaim. Give Triangle: The Fire That Changed America a go if you enjoyed The Johnstown Flood.
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User
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What possessed me to watch the rally at Capital One Arena on Monday evening, I don't know - perhaps a morbid fascination.
If there's one thing this guy is good at, it's turning the Presidency into a spectator sport, and this was the most tangible manifestation. Trump actually throwing pens into a raving crowd as people trampled each other to grab at them. 33% campaign rally, 33% ceremony, 33% WWE Monday Night RAW. 100% most Trump thing I ever did see.
I honest-to-heaven thought he was gonna whip out the t-shirt cannon.
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Candidate
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BrentinCO: A great man who walked confidently into peace. He lived as a man of great faith everyday and served as an example to others.
Home with the Lord.
Well put. RIP President Carter.
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Candidate
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Candidate
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I have to be honest. At first, I thought the headline itself was from The Onion. This is better.
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News
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Maryland Republican93: A 30,000 vote margin heading to a recount? Sure weird things have happened, but realistically this isn’t changing. The Minnesota 2008 Senate race or the Virginia 2013 AG race changed a few vote totals here or there when the margin was under 1,000 votes, Casey isn’t coming back.
Agree. Within 0.5% in PA, however, is a statutorily mandated recount (unless Casey waives it, which we won't).
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Race
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My Congressman is a Weiner: <q 11727="">There won't be a U.S Senate election in Pennsylvania in 4 years because Class 2 is up next.
So there WILL be one in four years, because Class 2 is up in 2028.
Pennsylvania has a Class I seat and a Class III seat. Class II is up in '26, Class III is up in '28.
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Race
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LSjustbloggin: Schumer should just delay the Senate orientation until every senator-elect is a certified winner by their states.
The orientation is a formality. It's cocktails and elbow-rubbing for new initiants into the Club. I'm not concerned about orientation. It's optics, a Schumer power play. More concerned about the practical. The resources to set up an office, which McCormick should be availed of right now if he is not already.
LSjustbloggin: Don't worry, he'll get a better paying job than a U.S Senator.
Yes, Casey will get his recount (that is, if the margin falls within that set out by the applicable statute), will accept the inevitable, and will move on. Everyone else will, even if he doesn't. I have. He'll take his check and be just fine.
LSjustbloggin: Red to blue seat 2 years ago, Blue to red seat 2 years later. Interesting.
I'd seen that this one is the closest Senate race in PA since James Duff's loss in 1956. I'd have to eye that myself, but I don't doubt it. Toomey's re-election in 2016 was close, but not as close as 2024. That result surprised me as well. A Trump effect on both races. Not far behind was Genevieve Blatt's loss to Hugh Scott in 1964, by about 70,000 votes, in spite of the LBJ landslide.
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Race
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If Casey has the statutory right to a recount, he should be able to exercise it. But McCormick, much as I dislike him, ought be afforded transitional resources as Senator-elect. I see Schumer's made a show of not inviting McCormick (and Gallego) to orientation. My hope is that the back-end support for setting up an office is not withheld, lest either or both states' representation is hamstrung by a short-changed freshman senator's inability to hit the ground running.
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Race
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Pennsylvanian: I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this.
And I thought I was joking. Guess Dave really couldn't stand to be away any longer after a long and hard-fought campaign so far from home.
Flight records show a private plane previously connected to McCormick left Pittsburgh the morning of Nov. 9 bound for Bridgeport
[Link]
Back in PA last night after his daughter's soccer match, according to his comms director. But I am sure there will be many more such sojourns for Dave "definitely lives in PA" McCormick.
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Race
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Rosen, Baldwin, and Slotkin all won Senate races despite Trump having flipped each. Have to admit that I did not imagine Casey being the exception. I imagine McCormick flew back to his residence in Connecticut promptly after his victory speech Friday. That is the most grating aspect of this. Oh, and the touting of the creation of jobs in Pittsburgh that no longer exist at a company that no longer has a presence. That one got to me too.
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Race
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CA Pol Junkie: Political polarization by gender isn't necessarily a long-term trend. Abortion will of course be a key issue until it is settled in favor of the pro-choice side, but alot of the gender imbalance this year also comes from Trump being creepy as f***. If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time some of the women's vote will come back to them and some of Trump's bro cult will stay home.
No disagreement from me. Though "creepy as f***" is and will be an apt description for many a current and forthcoming male candidate seeking to emulate Trump's brand of comical hypermasculinity, even absent the abortion issue and even discounting the classic and recurring foot-in-mouth-Todd Akin social conservative. The trend very well may not be long-term...
CA Pol Junkie: If Republicans manage to nominate someone half way normal next time
...but I'm sure the Republicans will do their level best to make it so.
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Race
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Unseasonably warm for trick-or-treat this year here in Western PA. Runs 6-8 in our neighborhood, but typically stems quickly after nightfall about 6:45 or so. But the mid-70s temps meant a steady stream of trick-or-treaters all the way until the end of the evening. Ran out of candy for the first time in years. I may have had some part in this. Two variety bags worth of Three Musketeers, Hershey's Milk Chocolate, Reese's, Kit-Kat, Whoppers, Milk Duds. Obviously, a (shameless) Hershey's homer.
Mallow Cups are a local favorite as well, among an older demographic.
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Issue
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Trump and Harris will be holding rallies, with about an hour of crossover, just a few miles apart in downtown Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon/evening. Needless to say, I shall be avoiding that giant cluster by all means necessary.
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Race
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Jason: My question is how real Trump's appeal is among disaffected young men, and the extent to which they show up. It's a gamble in a space we don't have obvious precedent for, but if it pays off then Trump may have also unlocked a key demographic for the GOP in future elections as well.
I suspect support among disaffected young men is quite soft, particularly into future elections. The cult-like, comically exaggerated hyper-masculinity of a Donald Trump might have specific appeal to a Nelk Boys-consuming "bro" voter demographic whose political inclination is otherwise disengaged cynicism, but other Republicans' attempts to harness such absurd quasi-bravado has had disastrously comedic result, if any at all. The interesting, broader trend, of course, is the increasing genderification of the voting-eligible populace more generally, whether the young men otherwise perhaps inclined to vote Trump show up or not.
Luzerne County Historian: I have a feeling Harris is underperforming in the polls in PA. Young people are not going to answer polls but they are engaged and, as long as they actually go vote, it'll be heavily in Harris's favor.
Not an unreasonable take two years after most polls had Oz narrowly beating Fetterman. Though the presence of jackass fringe lunatic Doug Mastriano at the top of the ticket had some effect as well. Occam's razor and all.
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Race
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"Oh, I am, I'm up on your bankruptcy too, sir."
Stone cold zinger from a 12 year old.
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Candidate
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BigZuck08: It's a sign we live in a negative political environment when any sign of bipartisan political cooperation is seen as the "elite" working against the American people. This makes it significantly harder to get anything meaningful done, because now most politicians are afraid of their own base.
The commodification of political division is one of the more compelling explanatory factors in the appeal of a two-bit TV pitchman to a cult-like following, a symptom that now exacerbates the cause.
I like to think there's a parallel universe wherein Donald Trump is an eccentric rando doing Oxi-Clean paid infomercials that you'd wake up to on TV Land at 3am.
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Race
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Trump may make a run at this, the way his "pivot" post-Biden exit has gone...
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Race
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Certainly puts a new spin on "childless cat ladies".
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Candidate
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He doesn't have to be a dictator. After four more years, one could convincingly argue the courts he'll have stacked will do it for him. At least in terms of policy implementation.
He seems to have been, if anything, emboldened by the (failed, for which I'm glad) attempt on his life. Unsurprising, given such pathological egomania.
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Race
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