This is a model of the 1964 Presidential race in Alabama had Lyndon Johnson been permitted to remain on the ballot, and you have to know Alabama politics of the time and operators, but generally in large part derived from looking at the gubernatorial race in 1962, general election for Senate in 1962, the Senate race between Battle and Sparkman in 1954 two years after Sparkman was running mate for Stevenson.



In 1964, Governor Wallace approached Senator Goldwater seeking to be his running mate but was rebuffed, Wallace had been a Truman loyalist in 1948 but generally in 1964 Wallace led the drive to keep LBJ off the ballot and it was about control of the state party.



Both Lyndon and Lady Bird had family roots in Alabama and Lady Bird more substantially as she spent summers there into the 1920's, but basically this is my contention that the Wallace opponents would have joined together to try and deal a defeat to the Governor and in fact many would run saying they were segregationists, but were against Goldwater for whatever reason as this generally is what held Arkansas, Tennessee, North Carolina etc and Arkansas in 1964 still had strong pro-segregation sentiment and Faubus won another term as Governor but LBJ had the highest percentage for a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since Truman in 1948.

This model shows that generally in that time and throughout most of Alabama history, voter power was weighted to North Alabama, which is why Whigs never ca

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This is a model of the 1964 Presidential race in Alabama had Lyndon Johnson been permitted to remain on the ballot, and you have to know Alabama politics of the time and operators, but generally in large part derived from looking at the gubernatorial race in 1962, general election for Senate in 1962, the Senate race between Battle and Sparkman in 1954 two years after Sparkman was running mate for Stevenson.



In 1964, Governor Wallace approached Senator Goldwater seeking to be his running mate but was rebuffed, Wallace had been a Truman loyalist in 1948 but generally in 1964 Wallace led the drive to keep LBJ off the ballot and it was about control of the state party.



Both Lyndon and Lady Bird had family roots in Alabama and Lady Bird more substantially as she spent summers there into the 1920's, but basically this is my contention that the Wallace opponents would have joined together to try and deal a defeat to the Governor and in fact many would run saying they were segregationists, but were against Goldwater for whatever reason as this generally is what held Arkansas, Tennessee, North Carolina etc and Arkansas in 1964 still had strong pro-segregation sentiment and Faubus won another term as Governor but LBJ had the highest percentage for a Democratic presidential nominee in the state since Truman in 1948.

This model shows that generally in that time and throughout most of Alabama history, voter power was weighted to North Alabama, which is why Whigs never carried Alabama in any presidential race.

Basically LBJ being permitted on the ballot would have been a defeat for the Governor and I think a number of circumstances would favor LBJ.

Mobile County favored Martin i 1962 but the registrar there began registering African-Americans and they were a third of the vote by 1953 in the city of Mobile but also the fact that former Frank Boykin had been on good terms when he was a Congressman, what would have steered the race in that county was that Brookley AFB was on the BRAC closure list and so there the vote would basically have been an effort to save Brookley and so this race in many ways mimics 1962 Hill-Martin but Mobile County breaks as it does mainly over trying to save the air force base, which was closed in Johnson's elected term.



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