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MB House of Commons - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents
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Canada
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Manitoba
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MB House of Commons
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MB House of Commons - Popular Vote
Office
Parliament
Honorific
Member of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type
Control Indicator
Filing Deadline
00, 0000 - 02:00pm Central
Polls Open
April 28, 2025 - 08:30am Central
Polls Close
April 28, 2025 - 08:30pm Central
Term Start
April 29, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
May 01, 2029 - 12:00pm
Contributor
IndyGeorgia
Last Modified
Campari_007
April 29, 2025 06:57pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
04/22/2025
04/28/2025
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Conservative Party
1
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Conservative Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Conservative Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
02/03/2025
03/16/2025
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Angus Reid
Probe Research
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
(I)
Conservative Party
Liberal Party
New Democratic Party
People's Party of Canada
Green Party
Communist Party
United Party of Canada
Party
Conservative
Liberal
New Democratic
People's
Green
Communist
United
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
296,166 (46.33%)
260,610 (40.77%)
70,574 (11.04%)
6,103 (0.96%)
4,678 (0.73%)
426 (0.07%)
413 (0.07%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-35,556 (-5.56%)
-225,592 (-35.29%)
-290,063 (-45.37%)
-291,488 (-45.60%)
-295,740 (-46.26%)
-295,753 (-46.26%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
43.09%
--
40.30%
--
11.54%
--
2.00%
--
0.15%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Angus Reid
03/13/25-03/16/25
41.00%
--
40.00%
--
15.00%
--
0.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Probe Research
03/04/25-03/16/25
42.00%
--
44.00%
--
9.00%
--
2.00%
--
2.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Probe Research
02/03/25-02/06/25
45.00%
--
28.00%
--
22.00%
--
2.00%
--
3.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Animal Protection Party
Independent
Party
Animal Protection
Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
213 (0.03%)
99 (0.02%)
Margin
-295,953 (-46.29%)
-296,067 (-46.31%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
--
--
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Angus Reid
03/13/25-03/16/25
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Probe Research
03/04/25-03/16/25
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Probe Research
02/03/25-02/06/25
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION