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  Romania President - First-Round Re-run
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Romania > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open May 03, 2025 - 11:00pm Central
Polls Close May 04, 2025 - 01:00pm Central
Term Start June 22, 2025 - 04:00am
Term End January 01, 2030 - 04:00am
# Winners2
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedBojicat May 05, 2025 11:34am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyNational Liberal Won02/10/2025
NameIlia Bolojan Votes1 (100.00%)
Term02/12/2025 - 06/30/2025 Margin1 (+100.00%)
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/21/2025 05/04/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
George Simion 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: George Simion (100.00%)
Weighted Call: George Simion (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/17/2025 04/17/2025

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name Party President George Simion Mayor Nicușor Dan Crin Antonescu PM Victor Ponta Elena Lasconi Lavinia Sandru Daniel Funeriu
PartyAlliance for the Union of Romanians Independent Romania Forward Alliance Independent Save Romania Union Social Liberal Humanist Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 3,862,761 (40.96%) 1,979,767 (20.99%) 1,892,930 (20.07%) 1,230,164 (13.05%) 252,721 (2.68%) 60,682 (0.64%) 49,604 (0.53%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,882,994 (-19.97%) -1,969,831 (-20.89%) -2,632,597 (-27.92%) -3,610,040 (-38.28%) -3,802,079 (-40.32%) -3,813,157 (-40.44%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/12/2025 12/17/2024 12/23/2024 03/12/2025 03/12/2025 01/31/2025 12/26/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg33.61%-- 21.27%-- 19.82%-- 15.20%-- 7.35%-- 0.70%-- 1.66%--
SocioPol 
04/14/25-04/17/25		 35.00% -- 14.00% -- 17.00% -- 22.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
04/10/25-04/13/25		 34.40% -- 21.80% -- 25.50% -- 10.00% -- 5.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Noi, Cetățenii 
03/28/25-04/08/25		 30.00% -- 29.60% -- 19.60% -- 8.30% -- 7.80% -- 0.00% -- 2.10% --
Verifield 
03/24/25-03/28/25		 35.00% -- 20.80% -- 16.40% -- 21.10% -- 4.30% -- 0.70% -- 1.10% --
SocioPol 
03/17/25-03/18/25		 32.00% -- 17.00% -- 15.00% -- 23.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
POT Party of Young People 🔗
PV Green Party 🔗
PRA Romania in Action 🔗
REPER Renewing Romania's European Project 🔗
DREPT Justice and Respect in Europe for All Party 🔗
USR Save Romania Union 🔗
FD Force of the Right 🔗
PMP People's Movement Party 🔗
UDMR Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania 🔗
PSD Social Democratic Party 🔗
PNL National Liberal Party 🔗
OTH Ethnic Minorities 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Cristian-Vasile Terheș Sebastian Popescu John Ion Banu Muscel Silviu Predoiu  
PartyRomanian National Conservative New Romania Independent National Action League  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 36,445 (0.39%) 25,994 (0.28%) 22,020 (0.23%) 17,186 (0.18%)  
Margin-3,826,316 (-40.57%) -3,836,767 (-40.69%) -3,840,741 (-40.73%) -3,845,575 (-40.78%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 03/13/2025 03/17/2025 03/17/2025 03/17/2025  
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.30%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
SocioPol 
04/14/25-04/17/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
04/10/25-04/13/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Noi, Cetățenii 
03/28/25-04/08/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Verifield 
03/24/25-03/28/25		 0.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SocioPol 
03/17/25-03/18/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Anamaria Gavrilă (POT)
Mar 12, 2025 - Mar 19, 2025 		Oana Cretu (PSDU)
Feb 28, 2025 - Mar 17, 2025 		Dragoș-Adrian Șterpu (POLUL)
Feb 28, 2025 - Mar 17, 2025 		Diana Iovanovici-Șoșoacă (SOSRO)
Mar 12, 2025 - Mar 15, 2025 		Anton Pisaroglu (I)
Mar 12, 2025 - Mar 15, 2025 		Cristian Sima (I)
Dec 08, 2024 - Mar 15, 2025 		Gabriel Paun (I)
Feb 10, 2025 - Mar 14, 2025 		Ana Birchall (I)
Dec 26, 2024 - Mar 13, 2025
Gigi Becali (AUR)
Feb 28, 2025 - Mar 09, 2025 		Călin Georgescu (I)
Mar 09, 2025 		Cătălin Avramescu (I)
Jan 17, 2025 - Jan 21, 2025

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DISCUSSION
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2
Previous Messages]
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 947.0690 points)
Sun, May 4, 2025 09:20:13 PM UTC0:00
Simion a full seven points more than the poll averages predicted. Nicușor Dan coming on strong to place down the homestretch.
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 947.0690 points)
Sun, May 4, 2025 09:41:51 PM UTC0:00
Dan's large portion of the Romanian diaspora vote [Link] , calculated at the very tail-end, may be just enough to squeeze him into second place.
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 947.0690 points)
Sun, May 4, 2025 10:38:33 PM UTC0:00
In an eerie echo of Lasconi's last-second shove-off of Marcel Ciolacu late last year, Dan jostles Antonescu for second place!

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 947.0690 points)
Sun, May 4, 2025 10:42:30 PM UTC0:00
Crin Antonescu - the establishment's last great hope and white horse, now a meat-monkey ready for the knacker.