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  Tarrance Group (R)
POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttp://www.tarrance.com/
Polls Conducted187
Points125.8552
AffiliationRepublican
Last ModifiedScott³ September 07, 2006 12:53pm
DescriptionFounded in 1977 by Lance Tarrance, The Tarrance Group is one of the most successful full-service polling and strategic research firms in the United States.

Our clients include political candidates, trade associations, and major corporations. Eleven U.S. Senators, three Governors, and over thirty Members of Congress currently rely on The Tarrance Group for their research needs, as does Miller Brewing, Papa John's, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists.

Ed Goeas and his partners, Brian Tringali, and Dave Sackett, have built a team with diverse political and corporate research experience, both domestically and abroad. The members of The Tarrance Group combine years of experience in the disciplines of research design, questionnaire development, sampling, computer processing and analytical report writing.

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2020-11-03 20:00:00
MI US Senate
  Gary Peters 2,734,568 49.90%
  John James 2,642,233 48.22%
  Valerie L. Willis 50,597 0.92%
  Marcia Squier 39,217 0.72%
  Doug Dern 13,093 0.24%
  Leonard Paul Gadzinski 7 0.00%
  Bob Carr 5 0.00%
10/22/2020-10/27/2020 (6.30% Undecided)
  Gary Peters 47.5000 50.49  +0.59 +4.3500
  John James 46.2000 49.11  +0.89 +4.0216
TOTAL +8.3716
10/03/2020-10/05/2020 (6.00% Undecided)
  Gary Peters 48.0000 50.88  +0.98
  John James 46.0000 48.76  +0.54
09/01/2020-09/03/2020 (7.00% Undecided)
  Gary Peters 47.0000 50.29  +0.39
  John James 46.0000 49.22  +1.00
08/10/2020-08/13/2020 (7.20% Undecided)
  Gary Peters 48.7000 52.21  +2.30
  John James 44.1000 47.28  -0.94
2020-11-03 20:00:00
MN District 07
  Michelle L. Fischbach 194,066 53.39%
  Collin Peterson 144,840 39.85%
  Slater Johnson 17,710 4.87%
  Rae Hart Anderson 6,499 1.79%
  Write-In 362 0.10%
08/02/2020-08/05/2020 (6.00% Undecided)
  Michelle L. Fischbach 52.0000 55.12  +1.73 +3.8521
  Collin Peterson 42.0000 44.52  +4.67 +0.8743
TOTAL +4.7263
2020-11-03 18:00:00
VA District 02
  Elaine Luria 185,733 51.55%
  Scott W. Taylor 165,031 45.81%
  David Foster 9,170 2.55%
  Write-In 343 0.10%
07/14/2020-07/16/2020 (4.00% Undecided)
  Elaine Luria 48.0000 49.92  -1.63 +3.7779
  Scott W. Taylor 48.0000 49.92  +4.11 +1.6933
TOTAL +5.4712
2020-09-08 19:00:00
NH US Senate - R Primary
  Bryant "Corky" Messner 69,801 50.17%
  Donald C. Bolduc 58,749 42.23%
  Anthony R. "Andy" Martin 6,443 4.63%
  Gerard Beloin 3,098 2.23%
  Jeanne Shaheen 771 0.55%
  Write-In 241 0.17%
  Tom Alciere 7 0.01%
  Paul J. Krautmann 7 0.01%
07/12/2020-07/14/2020 (34.00% Undecided)
  Bryant "Corky" Messner 39.0000 52.26  +2.09 +3.3726
  Donald C. Bolduc 27.0000 36.18  -6.05 +0.1340
TOTAL +3.5066
2020-11-03 21:00:00
IA District 03
  Cindy Axne 219,205 48.94%
  David Young 212,997 47.55%
  Bryan Jack Holder 15,361 3.43%
  Write-In 384 0.09%
07/07/2020-07/09/2020 (7.00% Undecided)
  David Young 44.0000 47.08  -0.47 +4.2532
  Cindy Axne 43.0000 46.01  -2.93 +2.7198
  Bryan Jack Holder 6.0000 6.42  +2.99 -0.7367
TOTAL +6.2363
2020-11-03 19:00:00
NM District 02
  Yvette Herrell 142,283 53.70%
  Xochitl Torres Small 122,546 46.25%
  Steve Jones 117 0.04%
09/26/2020-09/29/2020 (5.00% Undecided)
  Yvette Herrell 48.0000 50.40  -3.30 +2.8259
  Xochitl Torres Small 47.0000 49.35  +3.10 +2.4045
TOTAL +5.2304
07/07/2020-07/09/2020 (8.00% Undecided)
  Yvette Herrell 46.0000 49.68  -4.02
  Xochitl Torres Small 46.0000 49.68  +3.43
2020-08-06 19:00:00
TN US Senate - R Primary
  Bill Hagerty 331,267 50.75%
  Manny Sethi 257,223 39.41%
  George S. Flinn, Jr. 22,454 3.44%
  Jon Henry 8,104 1.24%
  Natisha Brooks 8,072 1.24%
  Byron Bush 5,420 0.83%
  Clifford Adkins 5,316 0.81%
  Terry Dicus 2,279 0.35%
  Tom Emerson, Jr. 2,252 0.35%
  David Schuster 2,045 0.31%
  John E. Osborne 1,877 0.29%
  Roy Cope 1,791 0.27%
  Kent A. Morrell 1,769 0.27%
  Aaron L. Pettigrew 1,622 0.25%
  Glen L. Neal, Jr. 1,233 0.19%
06/28/2020-06/30/2020 (20.00% Undecided)
  Bill Hagerty 46.0000 55.20  +4.45 +1.8407
  Manny Sethi 29.0000 34.80  -4.61 +0.8838
  George S. Flinn, Jr. 5.0000 6.00  +2.56 -0.4486
TOTAL +2.2759
2020-03-03 19:00:00
AL District 02 - R Primary
  Jeff Coleman 39,804 38.06%
  Barry Moore 21,392 20.45%
  Jessica Taylor 20,789 19.88%
  Troy King 15,171 14.50%
  Terri Hasdorff 5,216 4.99%
  Thomas W. Brown, Jr. 1,395 1.33%
  Bob Rogers 826 0.79%
09/26/2019-09/29/2019 (22.00% Undecided)
  Troy King 34.0000 41.48  +26.98 -15.8956
  Barry Moore 18.0000 21.96  +1.51 +1.5290
  Will Dismukes 17.0000 20.74  +20.74 -12.8267
  Jeff Coleman 5.0000 6.10  -31.96 -17.4498
  Bob Rogers 2.0000 2.44  +1.65 -0.0410
  Jessica Taylor 2.0000 2.44  -17.44 -9.1334
TOTAL -53.8174
2020-03-03 22:00:00
CA District 50 - Open Primary
  Ammar Campa-Najjar 74,121 36.47%
  Darrell Issa 47,036 23.15%
  Carl D. DeMaio 40,347 19.85%
  Brian W. Jones 21,495 10.58%
  Marisa Calderón 11,557 5.69%
  Nathan "Nate" Wilkins 4,276 2.10%
  José Cortés 1,821 0.90%
  Helen L. Horvath 1,249 0.61%
  Henry Alan Ota 908 0.45%
  Lucinda KWH Jahn 410 0.20%
06/24/2019-06/26/2019 (19.00% Undecided)
  Ammar Campa-Najjar 36.0000 42.84  +6.37 -0.5090
  Carl D. DeMaio 24.0000 28.56  +8.71 -3.3151
  Duncan D. Hunter 21.0000 24.99  +24.99 -15.6600
TOTAL -19.4840
06/24/2019-06/26/2019 (15.00% Undecided)
  Ammar Campa-Najjar 37.0000 42.55  +6.08
  Carl D. DeMaio 28.0000 32.20  +12.35
  Darrell Issa 20.0000 23.00  -0.15
2018-11-06 20:00:00
NM District 02
  Xochitl Torres Small 101,489 50.93%
  Yvette Herrell 97,767 49.07%
09/30/2018-10/02/2018 (6.00% Undecided)
  Yvette Herrell 49.0000 51.94  +2.87 +2.7640
  Xochitl Torres Small 45.0000 47.70  -3.23 +2.6641
TOTAL +5.4280
2018-11-06 19:00:00
TX District 31
  John R. Carter 144,680 50.59%
  Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar 136,362 47.68%
  Jason Hope 4,965 1.74%
09/22/2018-09/25/2018 (13.00% Undecided)
  John R. Carter 54.0000 61.02  +10.43 -2.1619
  Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar 33.0000 37.29  -10.39 -2.3494
TOTAL -4.5113
2018-11-06 20:00:00
CO District 06
  Jason Crow 187,639 54.10%
  Mike Coffman 148,685 42.87%
  Kathryn Martin 5,886 1.70%
  Dan Chapin 4,607 1.33%
  Christopher Allen 5 0.00%
09/11/2018-09/13/2018 (9.00% Undecided)
  Jason Crow 42.0000 45.78  -8.32 -0.4906
  Mike Coffman 40.0000 43.60  +0.73 +3.7291
  Kathryn Martin 9.0000 9.81  +8.11 -4.2813
TOTAL -1.0428
2018-11-06 19:00:00
MI US Senate
  Debbie Stabenow 2,214,478 52.26%
  John James 1,938,818 45.76%
  Marcia Squier 40,204 0.95%
  George E. Huffman III 27,251 0.64%
  John Howard Wilhelm 16,502 0.39%
  Tom Bagwell 10 0.00%
  Valerie L. Willis 5 0.00%
  Tim Yow 3 0.00%
  William F. White 0 0.00%
10/20/2018-10/22/2018 (11.00% Undecided)
  Debbie Stabenow 48.0000 53.28  +1.02 +4.2409
  John James 41.0000 45.51  -0.25 +4.2675
TOTAL +8.5084
08/11/2018-08/14/2018 (13.00% Undecided)
  Debbie Stabenow 49.0000 55.37  +3.11
  John James 38.0000 42.94  -2.82
2018-11-06 20:00:00
NM US Senate
  Martin Heinrich 376,998 54.09%
  Mick Rich 212,813 30.53%
  Gary Johnson 107,201 15.38%
07/31/2018-08/02/2018 (6.00% Undecided)
  Martin Heinrich 41.0000 43.46  -10.63 -2.0286
  Mick Rich 34.0000 36.04  +5.51 -0.3820
  Gary Johnson 19.0000 20.14  +4.76 -1.0198
TOTAL -3.4303
2018-08-14 20:00:00
WI US Senate - R Primary
  Leah Vukmir 217,230 48.90%
  Kevin Nicholson 191,276 43.06%
  George C. Lucia 18,786 4.23%
  Griffin Jones 8,699 1.96%
  Charles E. Barman 7,959 1.79%
  Write-In 303 0.07%
05/31/2018-06/04/2018 (35.00% Undecided)
  Leah Vukmir 36.0000 48.60  -0.30 +4.4688
  Kevin Nicholson 29.0000 39.15  -3.91 +1.6254
TOTAL +6.0942
2018-11-06 19:00:00
ND US Senate
  Kevin Cramer 179,720 55.11%
  Heidi Heitkamp 144,376 44.27%
  Write-In 2,042 0.63%
02/18/2018-02/20/2018 (7.00% Undecided)
  Kevin Cramer 49.0000 52.43  -2.68 +3.3492
  Heidi Heitkamp 44.0000 47.08  +2.81 +2.4457
TOTAL +5.7950
2018-06-05 19:00:00
AL Governor - R Primary
  Kay Ivey 331,739 56.11%
  Tommy Battle 147,207 24.90%
  Scott Dawson 79,546 13.46%
  Bill Hightower 29,367 4.97%
  Michael McAllister 3,340 0.56%
08/28/2017-08/30/2017 (17.00% Undecided)
  Kay Ivey 66.0000 77.22  +21.11 -8.8629
  Tommy Battle 11.0000 12.87  -12.03 -5.1523
  Scott Dawson 3.0000 3.51  -9.95 -4.6209
  Bill Hightower 3.0000 3.51  -1.46 +0.4010
TOTAL -18.2352
2018-05-08 18:30:00
OH Governor - R Primary
  Mike DeWine 499,639 59.84%
  Mary Taylor 335,328 40.16%
07/24/2017-07/26/2017 (24.00% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 42.0000 52.08  -7.76 +0.3150
  Jon Husted 18.0000 22.32  +22.32 -13.8800
  Mary Taylor 11.0000 13.64  -26.52 -13.6684
  Jim Renacci 5.0000 6.20  +6.20 -3.1333
TOTAL -30.3667
01/23/2017-01/26/2017 (21.00% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 47.0000 56.87  -2.97
  Jon Husted 18.0000 21.78  +21.78
  Mary Taylor 10.0000 12.10  -28.06
  Jim Renacci 4.0000 4.84  +4.84
2018-11-06 20:00:00
NM Governor
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 398,368 57.20%
  Steve Pearce 298,091 42.80%
04/09/2018-04/12/2018 (8.00% Undecided)
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 47.0000 50.76  -6.44 +0.9972
  Steve Pearce 45.0000 48.60  +5.80 +0.3440
TOTAL +1.3413
05/20/2017-05/23/2017 (10.00% Undecided)
  Democratic Primary Winner 47.0000 51.70  +51.70
  Steve Pearce 43.0000 47.30  +4.50
2016-11-08 18:00:00
VA US President
  Hillary Clinton 1,981,473 49.73%
  Donald J. Trump 1,769,443 44.41%
  Gary Johnson 118,274 2.97%
  Evan McMullin 54,054 1.36%
  Write-In 33,749 0.85%
  Jill Stein 27,638 0.69%
  Robert L. Buchanan 0 0.00%
  Scott Cubbler 0 0.00%
  Cherunda Fox 0 0.00%
  Ben Hartnell 0 0.00%
  Michael B. Puskar 0 0.00%
  Robert D. Rice 0 0.00%
  Mike Smith 0 0.00%
  Kora Vakil 0 0.00%
  Barbara Whitaker 0 0.00%
  Darrell L. Castle 0 0.00%
  Michael A. Maturen 0 0.00%
  Chris Keniston 0 0.00%
  Luis Alberto Ramos, Jr. 0 0.00%
  Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 0 0.00%
  Tom Hoefling 0 0.00%
  Laurence Kotlikoff 0 0.00%
10/12/2016-10/15/2016 (15.00% Undecided)
  Hillary Clinton 47.0000 54.05  +4.32 +1.8482
  Donald J. Trump 38.0000 43.70  -0.71 +3.8594
TOTAL +5.7076
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Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
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