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  Kerry leads 2-1 with Arizona Hispanics
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ContributorArmyDem 
Last EditedArmyDem  May 09, 2004 05:49pm
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CategoryPoll
MediaNewspaper - Arizona Republic (Phoenix)
News DateSunday, May 9, 2004 06:00:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionBilly House
Republic Washington Bureau
May. 9, 2004 12:00 AM

WASHINGTON - Democrat John Kerry has a substantial lead over President Bush among Hispanics in Arizona, but both sides could gain or lose significant support by November, a new poll indicates.

The presumptive Democratic nominee holds a 59 percent to 30 percent lead over Bush among Arizona's enrolled Hispanic voters, according to the poll commissioned by the New Democrat Network, a Washington-based organization that says it is spending $5 million on TV ads supportive of Kerry and other Democrats. Of those surveyed, 11 percent were undecided.

"But there's a great deal of volatility," cautioned Sergio Bendixen, the Florida-based pollster who conducted the telephone survey released Thursday.

The poll of 400 likely Arizona Hispanic voters was part of a larger survey of 1,800 Hispanics that also gauged sentiment in three other critical swing states with fast-growing Hispanic populations: New Mexico, Florida and Nevada. The overall margin of sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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