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  ON Parliament - Durham - By-election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Canada > Ontario > ON House of Commons > Durham
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type By-election
Filing Deadline November 01, 2012 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 26, 2012 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 26, 2012 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start November 26, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End October 19, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorCampari_007
Last ModifiedCampari_007 November 02, 2020 10:57am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won05/02/2011
NameBev Oda Votes31,431 (54.01%)
Term05/02/2011 - 07/31/2012 Margin18,880 (+32.44%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won10/19/2015
NameErin O'Toole Votes28,967 (45.13%)
Term10/19/2015 - 10/21/2019 Margin6,018 (+9.38%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
10/25/2012 11/26/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Erin O'Toole 2 3 2 1
Leaning Call: Erin O'Toole (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Erin O'Toole (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/26/2012 11/12/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Erin O'Toole Mayor Larry O'Connor Grant Humes Virginia Mae Ervin Andrew Moriarity Michael Nicula  
PartyConservative New Democratic Liberal Green Christian Heritage Online Party  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 17,281 (50.72%) 8,947 (26.26%) 5,887 (17.28%) 1,386 (4.07%) 437 (1.28%) 132 (0.39%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,334 (-24.46%) -11,394 (-33.44%) -15,895 (-46.65%) -16,844 (-49.44%) -17,149 (-50.33%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 07/01/2012 10/25/2012 10/01/2012 10/27/2012 11/01/2012 00/00/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.47%-- 24.50%-- 23.97%-- 5.14%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Forum Research 
11/12/12-11/12/12		 42.00% 4.0 26.00% 2.0 22.00% 2.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Forum Research 
10/26/12-10/26/12		 46.00% -- 24.00% -- 20.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBR Old LW
LBT Smart
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Corinna Traill (CHP)
 00, 2012 -  00, 0001

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