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  UK Parliament - Thornbury & Yate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > England > South West > South West > Thornbury & Yate
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 20, 2010 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRalphie May 06, 2010 06:53pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description BBC Profile:
This is a new seat, drawn predominantly from the constituency of Northavon. The Tory vote in South Gloucestershire was relatively secure until 1997, when they were defeated by the Liberal Democrat Steve Webb.

Webb more than quadrupled his majority over the Tories to almost 10,000 in the 2001 election. In 2005 he secured 52% of the vote and a majority of 11,033.

The new seat of Thornbury and Yate will be very similar to the old Northavon seat, but without Almondsbury, Pilning and Severn Beach wards, and part-wards Bradley Stoke Bowsland and Winterbourne, which are now in Filton and Bradley Stoke. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result below.

Much of the workforce in this middle class, suburban constituency is employed in what is known as the "north fringe" of Bristol.

Rallings & Thrasher Notional:
LD 25,622 (54.33%)
C 14,562 (30.88%)
Lab 5,122 (10.86%)
Green 922 (1.96%)
UKIP 818 (1.73%)
Others 114 (0.24%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyConservative Won05/07/2015
NameLuke Hall Votes19,924 (41.02%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin1,495 (+3.08%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/05/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Webb 1 1 --1
Leaning Call: Steve Webb (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Steve Webb (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) MP Steve Webb Matthew Riddle Roxanne Egan Jenny Knight Thomas Beacham Anthony Clements  
PartyLiberal Democrats Conservative Labour UK Independence Independent Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 25,032 (51.91%) 17,916 (37.15%) 3,385 (7.02%) 1,709 (3.54%) 126 (0.26%) 58 (0.12%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -7,116 (-14.76%) -21,647 (-44.89%) -23,323 (-48.36%) -24,906 (-51.64%) -24,974 (-51.79%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 -- -- --  
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