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AZ District 08 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Arizona
>
AZ - District 08
Office
House of Representatives
Honorific
Representative - Abbr: Rep.
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2024 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open
July 30, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close
July 30, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
RBH
April 20, 2024 12:22am
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Debbie Lesko
Votes
197,555 (96.50%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025
Margin
192,410 (+93.99%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
AZ District 08 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/15/2023
04/27/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Blake Masters
--
1
1
--
Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh
4
--
1
1
Leaning Call: Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh (68.75%)
Weighted Call: Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh (79.89%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
10/19/2023
10/24/2023
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Data Orbital
National Public Affairs
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Blake Masters
Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh
Speaker of the House
Ben Toma
St. Sen.
Anthony Kern
Rep.
Trent Franks
Patrick "Pat" Briody
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
10/26/2023
10/17/2023
11/02/2023
10/30/2023
11/01/2023
03/05/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
28.48%
--
24.86%
--
8.95%
--
5.50%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
National Public Affairs
10/23/23-10/24/23
24.00%
--
31.00%
--
11.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
National Public Affairs
10/23/23-10/24/23
27.00%
--
36.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
National Public Affairs
10/23/23-10/24/23
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
15.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
National Public Affairs
10/23/23-10/24/23
0.00%
--
41.00%
--
12.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Data Orbital
10/19/23-10/21/23
33.20%
--
18.40%
--
6.80%
--
5.50%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R
J.D. Vance
🔗
R
Paul Gosar
🔗
R
Kimberly Guilfoyle
🔗
R
Bernard B. Kerik
🔗
R
Rudy Giuliani
🔗
R
Claudia Tenney
🔗
R
Matt Gaetz
🔗
R
Cory Mills
🔗
R
Donald J. Trump
🔗
R
Donald J. Trump
🔗
R
Sigal Chattah
🔗
R
Kari Lake
🔗
R
Bryan E. Leib
🔗
R
Sonny Borrelli
🔗
R
Janae Shamp
🔗
Republicans for National Renewal
R
Bernard B. Kerik
🔗
R
Joshua Barnett
🔗
R
Justine Wadsack
🔗
R
Rachel Jones
🔗
R
Adam Laxalt
🔗
R
Robert O'Brien
🔗
R
Patrick Morrisey
🔗
R
Cory McGarr
🔗
R
Richard Grenell
🔗
R
Alexander Kolodin
🔗
R
Kelli Ward
🔗
R
Wendy J. Rogers
🔗
R
Bensq1
R
Adam Kwasman
🔗
R
Jim Lamon
🔗
R
John Shadegg
🔗
R
Justin Wilmeth
🔗
R
Beverly Pingerelli
🔗
R
John Kavanagh
🔗
R
Jean McGrath
🔗
Americans for Prosperity (Koch Brothers)
R
David Livingston
🔗
R
Frank Carroll
🔗
R
Jan Brewer
🔗
R
Kyle
R
Jon Kyl
🔗
R
Debbie Lesko
🔗
R
David Marshall, Sr.
🔗
N
Gary "Ian" Hugh
🔗
R
Jacqueline Parker
🔗
R
Barbara Rowley Parker
🔗
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kimberly Yee (R)
Oct 18, 2023
Debbie Lesko (R)
Oct 17, 2023
Kari Lake (R)
Oct 12, 2023
EVENTS
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Prediction
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DISCUSSION
[View All
2
Previous Messages]
D:1989
RBH
( 5212.2285 points)
Thu, April 25, 2024 02:32:06 AM UTC0:00
Kern was indicted today for a fake electors scheme, so adjust predictions accordingly
Kern was indicted today for a fake electors scheme, so adjust predictions accordingly
I:6738
IndyGeorgia
( 3906.0425 points)
Thu, April 25, 2024 02:42:24 AM UTC0:00
Safe Kern?
Safe Kern?