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"A historical political resource."
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How do I get points?
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About Website
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| Answer |
You win or lose points by predicting race outcomes correctly or incorrectly. There are two types of predictions you can make:
Leaning Predictions
The current calculation for each leaning race prediction is:
WinStep is set to the margin of the win 1=slight to 4=safe
WPts=(30/((Margin)+.95))*(1+(((Number of Members Predicting Against)+.001)/(Sum of Prediction Leaning Calls))*2)
LPts=((Margin)/5)*(((Number of Members Predicting Against)+.001)/(Sum of Prediction Leaning Calls))*4+20
If winner: Pts=(WPts)/(abs((WinStep)-1)*.5+1)*(((WinStep)==(PredictLevel))*.25+(PredictLevel))/(((WinStep)==4)*10+1)
If loser: Pts=-((LPts)*((WinStep)+(PredictLevel-1))/4)
Percentile Predictions
The current calculation for each candidate score predicted is:
(1+([Vote Percentage]*0.075))-(abs([Predicted Percentage]-[Vote Percentage])/1.5)
You must have access to be able to make predictions, and this access is generally given after a small amount of contribution to the discussion areas.
Calculations for predictions currently have to be run manually periodically. If you do not receive points immediately after a race, it is because a recalc has not been run.
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| Contributor | Chronicler |
| Last Modified | RP - July 07, 2010 07:32pm |
| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 193 Previous Messages] |
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 D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Thu, July 26, 2012 04:04:17 AM UTC0:00
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Yeah, the data was accurate and had proper OffDates (prior prediction).
I changed the queries on the User Detail page to ignore non-current predictions.
Yeah, the data was accurate and had proper OffDates (prior prediction).
I changed the queries on the User Detail page to ignore non-current predictions.
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| R:1153 | J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
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Thu, July 26, 2012 04:18:23 AM UTC0:00
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Like Like Like Like Like
Like Like Like Like Like
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image://img694.imageshack.us/img694/6625/57011082.jpg
Wait...how are you bringing that screen up?
Wait...how are you bringing that screen up?
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| D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Thu, July 26, 2012 11:15:31 PM UTC0:00
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It's on your User Detail page. Albeit usually just the right column and not that wide.
It's on your User Detail page. Albeit usually just the right column and not that wide.
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| D:1 | RP ( 3311.3784 points)
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Thu, July 26, 2012 11:48:58 PM UTC0:00
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Oh wait, that's the page you go to if you click on "Predictions" on your User Detail page.
Oh wait, that's the page you go to if you click on "Predictions" on your User Detail page.
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| R:1153 | J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
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Thu, July 26, 2012 11:58:30 PM UTC0:00
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Oh yes. Does that clarify my second question?
Oh yes. Does that clarify my second question?
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| D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 12:00:44 AM UTC0:00
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My predictions up to 2012 are shown, so just check what would be the last page of your predictions.
My predictions up to 2012 are shown, so just check what would be the last page of your predictions.
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| D:6086 | Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 12:05:12 AM UTC0:00
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Never mind, I guess J.R.'s problem is an individual glitch.
Mine seem to work though: http://www.ourcampaigns.com/UserPredictions.html?UserID=6086&PageStart=7842
Never mind, I guess J.R.'s problem is an individual glitch.
Mine seem to work though: [Link]
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| R:1153 | J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 12:09:55 AM UTC0:00
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I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.
I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.
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| D:2109 | Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 12:20:12 AM UTC0:00
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I don't know about other people, but I would consider keeping up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure the right things are shown to be site building. I've done quite a bit of site-building, and if I happen upon a container that hasn't been updated in some time or isn't showing current seat totals, I try to fix it.
I'll readily admit to being a bit obsessive-compulsive with Term Start and Term End dates, as well as seating changes and totals in legislative bodies.
I don't know about other people, but I would consider keeping up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure the right things are shown to be site building. I've done quite a bit of site-building, and if I happen upon a container that hasn't been updated in some time or isn't showing current seat totals, I try to fix it.
I'll readily admit to being a bit obsessive-compulsive with Term Start and Term End dates, as well as seating changes and totals in legislative bodies.
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| R:194 | Scott³ ( 8016.0796 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 02:51:52 AM UTC0:00
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I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.
I also view you as the soft and cuddly gay Republican, User#352 is the Libertarian/Cub Gay Republican. And I'm the older mean Gay Republican!
J.R.: I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.
I also view you as the soft and cuddly gay Republican, Ralphie is the Libertarian/Cub Gay Republican. And I'm the older mean Gay Republican!
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| R:8516 | Spen ( 128.4489 points)
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Fri, July 27, 2012 04:06:41 AM UTC0:00
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I guess that makes me the token straight guy.
I guess that makes me the token straight guy.
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