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  How do I get points?
FAQ DETAILS
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Answer You win or lose points by predicting race outcomes correctly or incorrectly. There are two types of predictions you can make:

Leaning Predictions

The current calculation for each leaning race prediction is:
WinStep is set to the margin of the win 1=slight to 4=safe

WPts=(30/((Margin)+.95))*(1+(((Number of Members Predicting Against)+.001)/(Sum of Prediction Leaning Calls))*2)
LPts=((Margin)/5)*(((Number of Members Predicting Against)+.001)/(Sum of Prediction Leaning Calls))*4+20

If winner: Pts=(WPts)/(abs((WinStep)-1)*.5+1)*(((WinStep)==(PredictLevel))*.25+(PredictLevel))/(((WinStep)==4)*10+1)
If loser: Pts=-((LPts)*((WinStep)+(PredictLevel-1))/4)


Percentile Predictions

The current calculation for each candidate score predicted is:
(1+([Vote Percentage]*0.075))-(abs([Predicted Percentage]-[Vote Percentage])/1.5)

You must have access to be able to make predictions, and this access is generally given after a small amount of contribution to the discussion areas.

Calculations for predictions currently have to be run manually periodically. If you do not receive points immediately after a race, it is because a recalc has not been run.
ContributorChronicler 
Last ModifiedRP  - July 07, 2010 07:32pm


DISCUSSION
[View All
193
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 04:04:17 AM UTC0:00
Yeah, the data was accurate and had proper OffDates (prior prediction).

I changed the queries on the User Detail page to ignore non-current predictions.

 
R:1153J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 04:18:23 AM UTC0:00
Like Like Like Like Like

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 290.2565 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 10:49:49 PM UTC0:00


Wait...how are you bringing that screen up?

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 11:15:31 PM UTC0:00
It's on your User Detail page. Albeit usually just the right column and not that wide.

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 11:48:58 PM UTC0:00
Oh wait, that's the page you go to if you click on "Predictions" on your User Detail page.

 
R:1153J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
Thu, July 26, 2012 11:58:30 PM UTC0:00
Oh yes. Does that clarify my second question?

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 12:00:44 AM UTC0:00
My predictions up to 2012 are shown, so just check what would be the last page of your predictions.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 12:05:12 AM UTC0:00
Never mind, I guess J.R.'s problem is an individual glitch.

Mine seem to work though: [Link]

 
R:1153J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 12:09:55 AM UTC0:00
I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 12:20:12 AM UTC0:00
I don't know about other people, but I would consider keeping up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure the right things are shown to be site building. I've done quite a bit of site-building, and if I happen upon a container that hasn't been updated in some time or isn't showing current seat totals, I try to fix it.

I'll readily admit to being a bit obsessive-compulsive with Term Start and Term End dates, as well as seating changes and totals in legislative bodies.

 
R:194ScottĀ³ ( 8016.0796 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 02:51:52 AM UTC0:00
J.R.: I'm not much of a site-builder like others; I consider my role to be sort of an interior decorator. I keep up the Senate, Governor, state senate, state house, etc. pages to make sure there are the right number shown and, if not, why not. I also try to bring aesthetic issues to Randy's attention, especially on pages I find interesting.

I also view you as the soft and cuddly gay Republican, Ralphie is the Libertarian/Cub Gay Republican. And I'm the older mean Gay Republican!

 
R:8516Spen ( 128.4489 points)
Fri, July 27, 2012 04:06:41 AM UTC0:00
I guess that makes me the token straight guy.