| DISCUSSION |
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | November 01, 2022 03:32pm |
Exit polls see a smother route to Balfour this time around for Netanyahu. His bloc gets 61-62 (and governance). Lapid 54-55 (and that's if Meretz and/or Ra'am and/or Labor break above the 3.25% threshold)
The star of the night appears to be Religious Zionism, zooming to a projected 15 seats. [Link]
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | November 02, 2022 12:59pm |
Wow. Prognosis bigger than expected with 90% in: Netanyahu bloc 65 seat majority [Link]
The Lapid bloc hurt to no small extent by the collapse of Meretz: [Link]
It'll be a small, very manageable four-party bloc - Likud, Religious Zionist, Shas and United Torah Judaism. This means no more snap elections for a while. Thanks to Jehovah for that at least!
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 822.51 points) | November 02, 2022 02:12pm |
Still tentative above, but a round of hard-to-swallow Bruichladdich X4 to the Lapid bloc: Meretz out, the once mighty Labor party hits a historic all-time low at 4 seats, Lieberman's Yisrael Beitenu sinks to 5 seats, Jewish Home (and Yamina) evaporates, the Arab vote splintered due to the launch of Balad (also out). That leaves a startling 46 seats for Lapid and Ganz to work with. The polls leading up to this were wildly off.
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| N:10739 | Max Rohtbart ( 1156.56 points) | November 02, 2022 02:27pm |
Right now if all the votes were in Bibi would have 65 seats and the current government would have 50 seats, could still have Labor fall below the threshold and if Meretz and Balad have a surge that puts them over the threshold Israel will probably have another election. Right now it is looking good for Bibi.
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| N:10739 | Max Rohtbart ( 1156.56 points) | November 02, 2022 02:29pm |
Also with a lead of 200k votes over Yesh Atid it is clear Likud will have the most seats.
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IDK why Balad left the Joint List; but worst mistake imho
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| N:10739 | Max Rohtbart ( 1156.56 points) | November 02, 2022 05:38pm |
Labor could lose its seats, very close to the threshold
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | November 02, 2022 06:02pm |
No other way to spin this than huge win for Bibi and Likud.
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All he needed was to bide his time until people wanted normalcy....then they'd come crawlin back
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| N:10739 | Max Rohtbart ( 1156.56 points) | November 02, 2022 06:44pm |
votes (about 10% left) are still being counted, it could get even better for Bibi if Labor fails to get above the threshold or could be much worse if Meretz and Balad get above the threshold. Changes of just half a percentage point could change the entire discussion
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