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  IA US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > Senate Class II
Office
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2020 - 04:30pm
Polls Open November 03, 2020 - 07:00am
Polls Close November 03, 2020 - 09:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Last ModifiedRBH November 30, 2020 04:03pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameJoni Ernst Votes588,575 (52.10%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin94,205 (+8.34%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 02, 2020 IA US Senate - D Primary Theresa Greenfield
Jun 02, 2020 IA US Senate - R Primary Joni Ernst
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 8.6667003632 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Theresa Greenfield
Slight 20
8
Joni Ernst
Strong 2
Lean 3
Slight 14
2
Tossup
Slight 2
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

10/13/2019 11/02/2020
Graph MoE
 Ignore Pollsters:
Change Research
Civiqs
Data for Progress
Emerson College
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)
Hart Research (D)
Insider Advantage
Monmouth University
Opinion Insight, LLC
Public Policy Polling
Quinnipiac University
RABA Research
RMG Research
Selzer & Co.
Siena Research Institute
Spry Strategies
YouGov

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Joni Ernst Theresa Greenfield Rick Stewart Suzanne Herzog (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Independent Nonpartisan
Votes864,997 (51.74%) 754,859 (45.15%) 36,961 (2.21%) 13,800 (0.83%) 1,211 (0.07%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -110,138 (-6.59%) -828,036 (-49.53%) -851,197 (-50.91%) -863,786 (-51.67%)
Predict Avg.48.55% 48.25% 1.38% 0.75% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Public Policy Polling 
11/01-11/02		 47.00% (+2.0) 48.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Change Research 
10/29-11/01		 47.00% (+0.0) 48.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
10/29-11/01		 47.00% (+1.0) 50.00% (+1.0) 1.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
10/27-11/01		 45.00% (+2.0) 49.00% (+2.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+2.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
10/29-10/31		 44.20% (-6.2) 48.10% (+1.7) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0) -0.00% (+0.0)
Insider Advantage 
10/30-10/30		 50.70% (+7.3) 45.10% (-3.0) 0.50% (-4.6) 0.50% (+0.5) -0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bensq1
D Tristy100
BEER WSNJ
R Maryland Republican
  Sioux City Journal
SNP Progressive Scot
  Des Moines Register
  Cedar Rapids Gazette

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 02, 2020 07:25pm Commentary Joni Ernst’s “Bruce Braley Moment”  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jun 22, 2020 08:30am Strategy Ernst challenges Greenfield to six debates in Iowa Senate race   Article RP 
Sep 05, 2019 12:00pm Strategy Sen. Ernst says lawmakers should discuss fixing Social Security ‘behind closed doors’  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
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