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  IA US President - D Caucus
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
Office
TypePrimary Election
Filing Deadline February 03, 2020 - 12:00pm
Polls Open February 03, 2020 - 07:00pm
Polls Close February 03, 2020 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRP July 22, 2022 04:41pm
Data SourcesIDP: [Link]
First Alignment: [Link]
Final Alignment: [Link]
Description
This Race page and map reports the "Final Alignment" results.
"First Alignment" results appear on the "Ballot Round 0" line.

Closed Caucus.
49 pledged, 41 unpledged delegates.
15% viability threshold per precinct (to be able to receive support in the 'final realignment')

Three totals will be reported by the Iowa Democratic Party. The initial results ("first expression"), results after realignment ("final expression"), and the State Delegate Equivalent results (which determines delegate allocations)

State Delegate Equivalent (SDE) results:
Buttigieg563.207
Sanders563.127
Warren387.814
Biden339.632
Klobuchar263.827
Yang21.856
Steyer6.619
Gabbard0.114

LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes800,983 (51.15%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin147,314 (+9.41%)
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 9.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Bernie Sanders
Lean 1
Slight 11
Joe Biden
Slight 4
Elizabeth Warren
Slight 1
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

09/20/2018 02/02/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Uncommitted
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Votes45,831 (26.55%) 43,273 (25.06%) 34,932 (20.23%) 23,631 (13.69%) 21,120 (12.23%) 1,759 (1.02%) 1,451 (0.84%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,558 (-1.48%) -10,899 (-6.31%) -22,200 (-12.86%) -24,711 (-14.31%) -44,072 (-25.53%) -44,380 (-25.70%)
Predict Avg.27.14% 16.02% 12.38% 24.36% 7.80% 1.93% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Emerson College 
01/30-02/02		 28.00% (-2.0) 15.00% (+5.0) 14.00% (+3.0) 21.00% (+0.0) 11.00% (-2.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
01/28-02/02		 22.00% (+0.0) 18.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (+0.0) 18.00% (+0.0) 9.00% (+0.0) 6.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
David Binder Research 
01/28-01/30		 17.00% (+3.0) 19.00% (+3.0) 15.00% (-3.0) 15.00% (-9.0) 11.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
American Research Group 
01/27-01/30		 23.00% (+0.0) 9.00% (+0.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 17.00% (+0.0) 16.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
01/26-01/29		 28.00% (+4.0) 15.00% (-2.0) 21.00% (+2.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 8.00% (-3.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Park Street Strategies (PSS) 
01/24-01/28		 18.00% (+0.0) 17.00% (+0.0) 17.00% (+0.0) 20.00% (+0.0) 12.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
01/23-01/27		 21.00% (+3.0) 16.00% (-1.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 23.00% (-1.0) 10.00% (+2.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
01/23-01/27		 24.00% (+3.0) 17.00% (-7.0) 19.00% (+1.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 11.00% (+7.0) 5.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
01/23-01/26		 30.00% (+8.0) 10.00% (-8.0) 11.00% (-1.0) 21.00% (-2.0) 13.00% (+3.0) 5.00% (+3.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
01/23-01/26		 19.00% (+10.0) 18.00% (+5.0) 13.00% (-4.0) 25.00% (+7.0) 6.00% (+3.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Change Research 
01/22-01/26		 27.00% (+10.0) 19.00% (+6.0) 15.00% (-13.0) 18.00% (+1.0) 10.00% (+8.0) 4.00% (+3.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
01/20-01/23		 25.00% (+6.0) 18.00% (+0.0) 15.00% (-7.0) 17.00% (+0.0) 8.00% (+4.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Morningside College 
01/17-01/23		 15.00% (+0.0) 18.00% (+0.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (+0.0) 12.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
01/16-01/23		 26.00% (+5.0) 22.00% (+8.0) 15.00% (-7.0) 25.00% (+3.0) 7.00% (+5.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
David Binder Research 
01/15-01/18		 14.00% (+5.0) 16.00% (+4.0) 18.00% (-5.0) 24.00% (-1.0) 11.00% (+3.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
01/09-01/12		 18.00% (+5.0) 17.00% (-5.0) 15.00% (-3.0) 24.00% (+5.0) 8.00% (+3.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Selzer & Co. 
01/02-01/08		 20.00% (+4.0) 16.00% (+2.0) 17.00% (+2.0) 15.00% (-9.0) 6.00% (+4.0) 5.00% (+4.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
12/27-01/03		 23.00% (+1.0) 23.00% (+2.0) 16.00% (-2.0) 23.00% (+1.0) 7.00% (+2.0) 2.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
12/12-12/16		 21.00% (+3.0) 24.00% (-2.0) 18.00% (-1.0) 15.00% (+3.0) 4.00% (-1.0) 3.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
12/07-12/10		 22.00% (-2.0) 18.00% (+7.0) 12.00% (+3.0) 23.00% (-2.0) 10.00% (+8.0) 2.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
11/15-11/19		 18.00% (+0.0) 26.00% (+6.0) 19.00% (-9.0) 12.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+1.0) 4.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
11/06-11/13		 22.00% (-4.0) 21.00% (+14.0) 18.00% (+1.0) 22.00% (-7.0) 5.00% (+3.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Selzer & Co. 
11/08-11/13		 15.00% (+4.0) 25.00% (+16.0) 16.00% (-6.0) 15.00% (-5.0) 6.00% (+3.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
11/07-11/11		 13.00% (+4.0) 22.00% (+14.0) 18.00% (-1.0) 19.00% (-9.0) 5.00% (+2.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
10/30-11/05		 17.00% (+0.0) 19.00% (+0.0) 20.00% (+0.0) 15.00% (+0.0) 5.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
10/25-10/30		 19.00% (+0.0) 18.00% (+0.0) 22.00% (+0.0) 17.00% (+0.0) 4.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Jon Green
D Stacey Walker [L]
D Beverly A. Hannon [L]
D Thomas L. "Tom" Fiegen [L]
D Phyllis Thede [L]
D Bruce Teague [L]
D Quentin Hart [L]
D Dave Loebsack [L]
D Jennifer Konfrst [L]
D Heather Matson [L]
D Deidre DeJear [L]
D Robert Dvorsky [L]
D Amy Nielsen [L]
D Pam Jochum [L]
D Ras Smith [L]
  Sioux City Journal
D Karin Derry [L]
I David Johnson [L]
D Robert M. Hogg [L]
D Chris Hall [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Tom Steyer Others Mayor Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bennet John K. Delaney Gov. Deval L. Patrick
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Votes413 (0.24%) 205 (0.12%) 20 (0.01%) 16 (0.01%) 4 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin-45,418 (-26.31%) -45,626 (-26.43%) -45,811 (-26.53%) -45,815 (-26.54%) -45,827 (-26.54%) -45,831 (-26.54%) -45,831 (-26.54%)
Predict Avg.1.52% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Emerson College 
01/30-02/02		 4.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-4.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Data for Progress 
01/28-02/02		 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
David Binder Research 
01/28-01/30		 3.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
American Research Group 
01/27-01/30		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
01/26-01/29		 2.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Park Street Strategies (PSS) 
01/24-01/28		 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
01/23-01/27		 4.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-1.0) 1.00% (+0.5) 0.00% (-0.5) 0.50% (+0.5)
Civiqs 
01/23-01/27		 4.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 2.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
01/23-01/26		 5.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-2.0) 5.00% (+3.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Suffolk University 
01/23-01/26		 2.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Change Research 
01/22-01/26		 4.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 1.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
01/20-01/23		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Morningside College 
01/17-01/23		 6.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
01/16-01/23		 1.00% (-2.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
David Binder Research 
01/15-01/18		 4.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
01/09-01/12		 4.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-0.5) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Selzer & Co. 
01/02-01/08		 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
12/27-01/03		 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
12/12-12/16		 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
12/07-12/10		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Civiqs 
11/15-11/19		 2.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
11/06-11/13		 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Selzer & Co. 
11/08-11/13		 3.00% (+1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+1.0) 1.00% (+0.5) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Monmouth University 
11/07-11/11		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 2.00% (+1.0) 0.50% (+0.0) 0.50% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
Quinnipiac University 
10/30-11/05		 3.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 3.00% (+0.0) 1.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
10/25-10/30		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Charles Isenhart [L]
I Ed Fallon [L]
D Roger Thomas [L]
D Fred Hubbell [L]
R Joan F. Bolin [L]

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 22, 2020 10:20am Election Guide Iowa Democrats will recount more than 20 caucus precincts  Article WA Indy 
Mar 06, 2019 02:00pm Speculative Iowa Dems could upend caucus tradition, consider letting delegates vote by app or phone  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
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