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  AZ US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
Office
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2018 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 07:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End December 09, 2022 - 05:00am
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia December 09, 2022 05:27am
Data Sources[Link]
DescriptionTerm End due to party switch
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameJeff Flake Votes1,104,457 (49.23%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin67,915 (+3.03%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - D Primary Kyrsten Sinema
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - R Primary Martha McSally
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - LBT Primary Adam Kokesh
Aug 28, 2018 AZ US Senate - G Primary Angela Green
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 9.7500000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Kyrsten Sinema
Lean 3
Slight 15
Martha McSally
Safe 2
Strong 1
Lean 3
Slight 4
Tossup
Slight 2
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

05/13/2016 11/05/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Kyrsten Sinema Martha McSally Angela Green (W) Barry J. Hess, II (W) Jonathan Ringham (W) Michael DeCarlo (W) Sheila Bilyeu
PartyDemocratic Republican Green Libertarian Old Republic No Party Affiliation Independent Democrat
Votes1,191,100 (49.96%) 1,135,200 (47.61%) 57,442 (2.41%) 365 (0.02%) 46 (0.00%) 45 (0.00%) 42 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -55,900 (-2.34%) -1,133,658 (-47.55%) -1,190,735 (-49.94%) -1,191,054 (-49.95%) -1,191,055 (-49.95%) -1,191,058 (-49.95%)
Predict Avg.47.72% 47.62% 2.40% 0.12% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Trafalgar Group 
11/04-11/05		 45.30% (-4.5) 47.40% (+0.3) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Harris Interactive 
11/02-11/04		 47.30% (+1.3) 46.40% (-1.6) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
OH Predictive Insights 
11/02-11/03		 48.00% (+3.0) 49.00% (-3.0) 0.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Research Co. 
11/01-11/03		 45.00% (+0.0) 44.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
11/01-11/03		 49.00% (+0.0) 48.00% (+0.0) 2.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Harris Interactive 
11/01-11/03		 46.00% (+2.0) 48.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I Pennsylvanian
D samir7243_ATL
R Kyle
G Angela Green [L]
BEER WSNJ
R Minnesota Populist
D BLUEDOGS
LBR Old LW
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (W) Robert Kay (W) Jeff Pearce (W) Edward Davida
PartyIndependent Republican Independent Anti-Terror Party
Votes37 (0.00%) 29 (0.00%) 2 (0.00%)
Margin-1,191,063 (-49.95%) -1,191,071 (-49.95%) -1,191,098 (-49.96%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Trafalgar Group 
11/04-11/05		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Harris Interactive 
11/02-11/04		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
OH Predictive Insights 
11/02-11/03		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Research Co. 
11/01-11/03		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Emerson College 
11/01-11/03		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Harris Interactive 
11/01-11/03		 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 09, 2018 12:25pm Strategy Republicans claim Arizona election fraud amid tight McSally-Sinema race for Senate  Article RP 
Nov 08, 2018 07:10am Strategy Arizona GOP sues to limit mail-in ballots in McSally-Sinema race  Article RP 
Oct 24, 2017 04:25pm Analysis How Does Jeff Flake’s Retirement Change The Arizona Senate Race?   Article RP 

DISCUSSION
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