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There is going to be a ton of Trump/Brown voters.
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| R:11605 | Buckeye Man ( 0.00 points)
| March 23, 2024 12:53am |
I Still think this race leans towards Brown but he is certainly in for the fight of his life.
He’ll outperform Biden especially in Appalachia, Northeast Ohio, and the rust belt on the Lake but it just depends if it is by enough.
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| D:11204 | NCdem ( 912.28 points)
| March 19, 2024 07:45pm |
Lean D in November for Brown now thanks to R's shooting themselves in the foot yet again and nominating a MAGA crazy in a tossup seat
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First and foremost, I do sincerely hope McConnell is ok, despite these incidents, though they certainly do not signal whole wellness. But the pause and disconcerted gaze here summed up my thoughts about the question posed quite well.
I can appreciate the political consideration in any event of resignation, though such is the hazard of seeking re-election to a six-year term (or voting for an incumbent in such a position) as a then near-octogenarian.
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
 x3
| August 30, 2023 08:27pm |
Luzerne County Historian: At what point is it considered elder abuse to keep people who are clearly suffering from mental health issues in office?
You assume it's staff and not the senator themselves, in more lucid moments, refusing to go. In my (admittedly limited) experience working in legislatures, it's the elected official who chooses to hold out until the bitter end.
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| Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
| July 15, 2023 09:39pm |
Well, not exactly what I expected. But essentially rather than waiting for the next election, they created an election day to game the system.
I don't think constitutional amendments should pass by simple majority. Most states require a higher threshold for constitutional matters vs. simple referendum. I'm also pro-life.
Still I hate even more trying to game the system for political outcomes - taking advantage of people not voting on a non standard election day during summer holidays.
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Jackasses selling out. Also, I love how they try to use Massie and Rand Paul as examples of races they don't want to spoil, despite the fact that neither of them are from Colorado and they win their elections with the majority of the vote anyway.
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Well lets look at historical trends and look at the combined total of Democratic Primary opponents (AND VOTES FOR UNCOMMITTED) to an incumbent Dem Prez:
1936: 7.1%
1940: 28.07%
1944: 20.8%
1948: 36.1%
1964: 12.3%
1968: 94.9% (LBJ Withdrew after NH)
1980: 48.9%
1996: 11%
2012: 11.1%
A lot of the hardcore Marianne Supporters truly seem to think that her bid will be a repeat of 1968 or 1980 harping on Biden's unpopularity, but that is mostly for people outside of the Democratic Party and not Democrats themselves. Yes a lot of them did not WANT him to run, but now that he is most Dems are just going along with it. Whereas LBJ and Carter were seen as detriments through and through, even by their own party.
It's not unprecedented that they could possibly get higher, but realistically it is going to be in the low double digits if at all. 15% is the peak, RFK only doing it out of Name Rec and Marianne only getting the most hardcore of the "Bernie or Bust" types
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
| May 08, 2023 01:48pm |
I saw the one with him at 14% and Marianne at 5%. I don't know that I trust these polls yet. I don't see him getting 21% in any primary, but 1/5 people believing or supporting things he says sounds about right to me.
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
| May 08, 2023 12:42pm |
RP: Do people really support this idiot?
Do you even have to ask anymore? Of course there are people who support him, fewer than news coverage might suggest but more than sane people would like.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
| May 08, 2023 12:20pm |
Do people really support this idiot?
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You win this round, Romney.
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| Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
| October 31, 2022 10:01pm |
Celebrating the holiday
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| R:7114 | Kyle ( 752.36 points)
| September 07, 2022 09:27am |
The MA and MD GOP watched as Charlie Baker and Larry Hogan were two of the most popular governors in the country & Donald Trump lost their states by over 30 points twice & said “let’s follow that Trump path.”
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Republicans get a chance to have a credible candidate in a LGBT moderate Republican and instead choose the conservative that will get at most 30%.
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
x4
| August 19, 2022 03:22pm |
A lot of D pollsters are painting a picture of the environment that I'm not buying.
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| D:8509 | DylanSH99 ( 1716.13 points)
| August 06, 2022 08:58pm |
Yeah man! Huge Reds fan here. My dad's from Cincy so I was born and raised a Reds fan. Been a tough couple of years but there has to be a light at the end of the tunnel!
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The Dems better hope Scholten wins. Otherwise they sacrificed a reasonable R ally for a lunatic.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
x4
| August 01, 2022 05:11pm |
I really do disapprove of this. Let's not prop up people who want to destroy democracy in this country.
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| Un:9757 | BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
| July 29, 2022 10:38pm |
HB. Hope its a special day for you.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
x2
| July 29, 2022 01:47pm |
Happy Birthday!
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| D:8509 | DylanSH99 ( 1716.13 points)
x2
| July 29, 2022 01:39pm |
Happy Birthday to a fellow Reds fan!
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| D:1 | RP ( 5506.72 points)
x2
| July 26, 2022 09:51am |
Let's not miss that gas prices have recently been going down while Democratic prospects have improved. Hard to separate that effect from Dobbs. A plus for Ds, but also a risk if gas prices go up again.
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Ordinarily I would agree that nothing matters and Vance will win but not this time. Candidate quality does apparently matter some and there is a yawning gulf in candidate quality in this case. That might not be enough on its own in Ohio but combined with Dobbs I think Ryan has at least a 50/50 shot.
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The machine always wins
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