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USER DETAILS
Screen NameMr. Politics   
Name
LocationBoone County, ,
Emailpilejohn2003@yahoo.com
BirthdayNovember 06, 1969
AffiliationRepublican
First LoginMarch 02, 2003 03:20pm
Last LoginApril 19, 2024 08:58am
Predictions Points: 190.1725
Predictions: 84/103 (81.55%)
Points Per: 190.1725/103 (1.85)
Emote Messages 486
DISCUSSION
 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
April 18, 2024 05:02pm
Mr. Politics: Van Orden called Gaetz "Tubby" not the Speaker. Van Orden is against any motion to vacate.

That really flips that whole tweet on its head. More fine reporting from NBC News.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
April 11, 2024 03:30pm
Someone needs to work a little harder for re-election because it looks like the judgment of the sins of the father are being visited upon the son.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
April 11, 2024 10:20am
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
April 10, 2024 11:13am
Top ten counties based on net migration between the 2020 and 2023. Florida, Texas, and Arizona.

Polk County FL (Central FL / Lakeland)
Pasco County FL (Central FL / North of Tampa)

Collin County TX (North of Dallas)
Denton County TX (North of Dallas)
Montgomery County TX (Metro Houston)
Fort Bend County TX (Metro Houston
Harris County TX (Houston)
Williamson County TX (Metro Austin)

Pinal County AZ (Metro Phoenix)
Maricopa County AZ (Phoenix)


Container

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
April 02, 2024 06:11pm
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
x2
March 31, 2024 11:19am
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: The movie is actually about Rudolf Höss, but it's an easy mistake to make.

Ahhh. Thank you for clarifying. I didn't realize that Rudolf Hess and a Rudolf Höss were different people. I have a little reading to do. Explains a few things.

Issue

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
March 28, 2024 10:10pm
Thank you for the voluminous Allred votes in Dallas, Bexar, Harris, Travis, and Tarrant counties.
Race

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.45 points)
x2
March 23, 2024 10:57am
Overview of Vandenberg's 1940 campaign for his birthday yesterday.
News

 
R:11605Buckeye Man ( 0.00 points)
x2
March 23, 2024 12:43am
The current Ohio Senate President Matt Huffman is running unopposed for a house seat and is expected to challenge the current House speaker Jason Stephens who was elected speaker with 22 Republican votes as well as all the Democratic members so he was trying to oust some of the Pro-Stephens Republicans.

15 of these Republicans got primary challengers and only 4 of them lost so Stephens speakership looks safe for now unless Huffman can convince some of them to switch over.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
March 18, 2024 08:17pm
The date for the special election selection caucus is now set for Thursday, March 28.

This will be followed by the Sat April 5 nominating assembly for the June Primary. Both contests will inevitable whittle down the large number of Republican candidates who are actively running and / or make the the ballot. Boebert is the FIRST candidate to be guaranteed a spot on the June Primary ballot as she has returned enough signatures. Her competing in the April 5 nominating convention will certainly prevent other names from earning the 30% required to make it on the ballot from the nominating convention.

What we will find out from this race is who is the anti-Boebert candidate is. My money is on Sonnenberg winning both contest. But if Sonnenberg doesn't win here Lynch, Harvey, Flora or Holtorf might come out victorious.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
x2
March 06, 2024 01:16pm
Patrick: ...I guess the appetite for a generic unknown Republican in CA is larger than I thought.

In fairness he's not really an unknown. He has a name recognition in California from his distinguished baseball career - particularly because he played for both the LA Dodgers and SD Padres (helping the latter win a WS). He's no Arnold Schwarzenegger, but I'm sure his name recognition helped separate him from other Republicans and probably garnered him some D votes.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
March 02, 2024 10:28pm
Good point. I keep forgetting TX has run-offs end of May for races that there is not a primary winner of 50% + 1 vote. Could be several run-offs in both parties.
Race

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.00 points)
January 30, 2024 02:06pm
LOL. Imagine Trump told someone this...


[Link]
Candidate

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
December 09, 2023 10:05pm
New Congressional, State Senate, and State House maps passed by the General Assembly this week have been added. A hearing has been scheduled for December 20th in US District Court.

If the maps keep changing, I'll keep updating.
Container

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
December 09, 2023 07:22pm
Race

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
November 20, 2023 04:37pm
Union por la Patria for Crappy Politician of the Year? Nominating your Economy Minister while your economy is a dumpster fire?
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
x3
November 07, 2023 05:26pm
Tonight's Timeline All in ET

KENTUCKY:
Polls close at 6 p.m. for most voters in the state, and at 7 p.m. for some counties in western Kentucky. In 2019, the Associated Press reported its first results at 6:09 p.m.

VIRGINIA:
Polls close at 7 p.m. Results will start rolling in almost immediately, but the AP warned that a call could be delayed in competitive races if there are “significant differences” between Election Day, early in-person and mail-in ballots.

OHIO:
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. During an August special election, the AP reported its first results 5 minutes after polls closed.

MISSISSIPPI:
Polls close at 8 p.m. In 2019, the AP reported its first results at 8:12 p.m.

PENNSYLVANIA:
Polls close at 8 p.m. In last year’s general election, the AP reported its first results two minutes after polls closed.

RHODE ISLAND:
Polls close at 8 p.m. In last year’s election, the AP reported its first results at 8:13 p.m.

TEXAS:
Polls close at 8 p.m. In 2022, the AP reported first results as polls closed at 8 p.m.

NEW JERSEY:
Polls close at 8 p.m., and first results are expected within minutes of polls closing.
Event

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.97 points)
November 06, 2023 12:26pm
My Congressman is a Weiner: Hey "The Fixer", care to address Zinke's bill?

Block 'em, it makes life much less annoying.
News

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.45 points)
November 06, 2023 09:51am
Happy Birthday, old friend!
User

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
November 06, 2023 09:33am
Happy Birthday. Great birthday for someone on a elections website. May it be a great year for you.
User

 
D:1RP ( 5506.72 points)
x4
November 04, 2023 02:50pm
Would you two like a separate room?
News

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
October 27, 2023 06:30pm
Mr. Politics:
Is it your best estimate that this race is the tipping point race for State Senate control?

Yes. If they don't win this they have no shot of controlling the State Senate. But the pivot race is probably SD 31 since by the numbers it looks like the most competitive.

There are 5 races that seem to be "highly competitive" based on past election results. If the races that favor Dems (19) go as expected and the races that favor Reps (16) go as expected; these 5 races will determine the outcome for control.

Republicans need to win 4 to gain a tie in the Senate to win control with the vote of the Lt. Gov and all 5 to win outright control. Of course, I'm just looking at money, past results, and newspaper articles. I'd love to hear from someone in Virginia on this.

Here's my take:

SD 16 | VPAP.org Analysis [Link] | OC Race [Link] | Republican incumbent; McAullife won it for Governor in 2021 (Probably a loss)
SD 17 | VPAP.org Analysis [Link] | OC Race [Link] | Youngkin won by 5% in 2021; Dem US House Candidate won by 0.2% in 2022; Dem candidate has issues (Probably a victory)
SD 24 | VPAP.org Analysis [Link] | OC Race [Link] | Democrat incumbent; Youngkin won it for Governor in 2021 by 3.4% (Maybe a victory)
SD 27 | VPAP.org Analysis [Link] | OC Race [Link] | Youngkin won by 7% in 2021; US House Dem candidate won by 2.2% in 2022; Third party candidate could draw from Dem (Probably a Victory)
SD 31 | VPAP.org Analysis [Link] | OC Race [Link] | Youngkin got exactly 50% beating McAuliffe by about 0.6% in 2021; D US House Candidate won by 5.6% (Probably a loss)
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
October 24, 2023 11:07am
Race

 
D:1RP ( 5506.72 points)
x3
October 23, 2023 12:56pm
And if he hadn't sided with Israel he would have lost a lot more all over the country. Lose-lose.
News

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
October 20, 2023 03:24pm
A vote my simple majority isn't working. Hope someone suggests they raise the "winner" margin.
Race

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