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Screen NameSouthern_Moderate2   
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Birthday 00, 0000
AffiliationRepublican
First LoginMarch 11, 2020 09:26am
Last LoginAugust 28, 2022 04:41pm
Predictions Points: 62.9320
Predictions: 12/17 (70.59%)
Points Per: 62.9320/17 (3.70)
Emote Messages 142
DISCUSSION
 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
x6
August 24, 2022 11:44am
I still am skeptical that Democrats will keep a neutral environment through November. Just this time last year, Afghanistan just happened & Biden’s approval plummeted. I still think Democrats win the senate, based on R candidate quality. But, the house is still probably going to flip.
Race

 
D:1RP ( 5505.33 points)
x2
August 22, 2022 10:56am
Party switch.

Candidate

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -119.08 points)
x5
August 03, 2022 10:57am
If this backfires, we should make sure Dems never live this down
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
x2
August 01, 2022 08:50pm
CA Pol Junkie: I would actually like to see someone try to defend the current system for reasons other than "my party can't win the support of a plurality of voters right now".

Our founding fathers created the electoral college for the very circumstances we are in right now.

We purposefully designed our democracy to not have a popularly elected President even if that is what has happened most times. The electoral college was designed to prevent large states from over-influencing the federal government. And its doing that.

I would contend that the circumstances we are in now and in seven of the last eight presidential elections are precisely why the system is working. The union is kept together, especially now, by having the electoral college. One culture does not dominate.

As much as we like to think we are a homogeneous country or even a two party country, there is a lot of evidence to suggest we aren't. We only need to point to history to see we are a nation of peoples with entirely different cultures. I've come to realize this living in Colorado, New Mexico, and California over the last six months. Sure there are many things we commonly enjoy, but there are subtle to stark differences.

The electoral college prevents one culture or one nation of people dominating the others.

Here are couple of interesting books that shed some light on our different cultural pasts.

American Nations: A History of the Eleven Rival Regional Cultures of North America
[Link] (summary article)
[Link] (Goodreads Book Link)

Albion's Seed: Four British Folkways in America
[Link] (Goodreads Book Link)

Understanding the history of our differences as a people is very relevant to how different regions of America have developed their cultures and laws. These cultures and laws persist today defining what we are experiencing where we live today.

Puritan law does influence the nature of today's New England culture. Ben Frankin and the Quakers have had a tremendous influence on the mid-Atlantic states. The Spanish in the west. The French in Louisiana. There is a good list and the American Nations book covers someof those cultures.

If its fair criticism that Republicans have not had a majority of the vote in seven of the last eight elections, its also fair criticism to say that Democrats are losing support outside the cities and coasts.

I'm not saying the system is perfect, but the electoral college does insure that the winning candidate has the popular support in most American States. And in the end this insures that the cultures of our many nations and people are balanced even when sometimes it doesn't seem like it is.
News

 
D:1RP ( 5505.33 points)
x3
August 01, 2022 05:12pm
Issue

 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
July 27, 2022 05:58pm
E Pluribus Unum: Do you know: NOTHING about Wisconsin? Barnes is literally right at home in the state of Russ Feingold, William Proxmire, Gaylord Nelson, and the Lafollettes...

I really don't think citing Russ Feingold is your best evidence, since he lost the two most recent senate elections to Johnson.

Tammy Baldwin and Tony Evers are fairly mundane, generic Democrats. Ron Kind fits that mold. Mandela Barnes is a flame-thrower, which will hurt him among the crowd who wants Johnson out, but are unwilling to vote for someone too far to the left (see: Feingold in 2016).
Race

 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
July 27, 2022 01:46pm
Incredible how things consolidated so quickly here.

Also, Barnes is an incredibly weak candidate and Johnson will beat him handily. Kind of disappointing for Democrats—a Tim Ryan type candidate here would have a strong chance.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
July 22, 2022 09:28pm
From his personal website:

Most candidate pages are heavy on pretty pictures but light on detail.
I have tried to include as much detail as you could possibly ever want, with daily changes.

No kidding. Check it out.
Candidate

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1676.60 points)
June 25, 2022 11:26pm
I'll be the first to admit a mistake. I can see what he really meant and it was that Plessy v. Ferguson and Brown v. Board of Education reversed decades of precedent too, but he could have worded it much differently in a way that doesn't look like he was endorsing segregation.
Candidate

 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
June 25, 2022 09:43am
Jason: Your party nominated the f*cker.

I’m a Republican because Utah primaries are closed and I want to vote for Cox and Romney in 2024. But it’s a totally fair criticism.

WA Indy: But it's 2022 and the GOP doesn't exactly have a ton of people trying to be serious. But, sure, it's the Democrats' fault for making primary voters vote for him.


They didn’t make them vote for him, of course. And he would have won anyway, in all likelihood. But, the gamesmanship they demonstrated showed an unserious view about the urgency of American democracy.
Race

 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
x2
June 24, 2022 02:38pm
Kyle: If they had really been serious about democracy being in crisis, Democrats wouldn't have propped up a bat**** conspiracy theorist during a Republican wave year.

To clarify this: spending hundreds of thousands to support Mastriano was an unserious move by Democrats.
Race

 
R:7114Kyle ( 757.46 points)
June 24, 2022 01:38pm
If they had really been serious about democracy being in crisis, Democrats wouldn't have propped up a bat**** conspiracy theorist during a Republican wave year.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
June 21, 2022 08:38pm
Charlie Bailey to OurCampaigns predicted lean:

Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5117.37 points)
June 19, 2022 11:46am
Morales being an election denier thing will get some eyeballs on this race.

Morales being fired from government jobs by multiple Indiana Republicans (Rokita/Charlie White) might make him stick out from the less controversial election denier candidates.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
June 18, 2022 04:06pm
Impressed he attended Bonnaroo. Unimpressed he got a DUI.
News

 
D:6454Mr. Matt ( 1762.93 points)
x2
June 15, 2022 12:30pm
I saw some of that today with Washington Reps. Adam Smith and Rick Larson having it today and the guys who preceded and succeeded Rep. Bernie Sisk from California.
Candidate

 
D:1RP ( 5505.33 points)
x2
June 15, 2022 06:36am
“Herschel Walker (R), the Republican nominee for Senate from Georgia, who has often spoken out against absentee fathers, particularly in Black households, on Tuesday publicly acknowledged having fathered a second son with whom he is not in contact, - [Link]

If Walker wasn't such a train wreck, this seat would already be a Republican pick-up.
Race

 
I:8766Pennsylvanian ( 402.01 points)
June 14, 2022 07:18pm
Speaking of dual realities, what always got me about the whole thing is how the Democratic Party supposedly went from a bunch of hapless, incompetent imbeciles who apparently couldn't so much as pull the Iowa caucuses together to eleven months later pulling together the sort of organized, widespread, and systematic fraud needed to change the result of a national election, with the backing of an elaborate network of corporate, media, and judicial conspirators, and apparently getting away with it.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
June 12, 2022 10:26pm
Been reading up a bit on Johnston. His victory in this appointment was quite impressive. This seat (or at least this area of Denver) had been represented in the Senate by an African American for almost 50 years prior. He did skillfully build alliances prior to the election. But given that he was a young white guy, no previous elective experience, Ivy leaguer born in the wealthy ski town of Vail. He seemed like such a mismatch.

For context, this district contained the Five Points, which was the "Harlem of the West" where many black artists were "allowed" to perform. The area contained several hotels and venues on the Green Book list. The district also contained some very good soul food restaurants and supper clubs.

One of the reasons Johnston was able to win was to get very involved with the local community on issues related to crime and gangs.
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
x2
June 11, 2022 06:54pm
Was?
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5117.37 points)
x3
June 10, 2022 05:30pm
WA Indy: Why bother then? I mean, massive shame either way, having her public service career be over at such a young age.

She could take a break for 30 years and still be younger than several elected officials during her 2052 Senate candidacy. The Rick Nolan "take a 32 year break between terms in Congress" method.

But it wouldn't be the first time that someone went into some career and then decided in their 30s to go into something else. Or she could run for the City Council in Dubuque and hang around there forever.
Race

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 543.13 points)
June 07, 2022 11:04pm
It's been 48 years.
Don't you think it might be time to forgive & forget?
Race

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 5669.36 points)
x2
May 25, 2022 04:43pm
This still seems like a fail to me for Cisneros. She had the momentum and raised more money since the primary.
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5117.37 points)
May 25, 2022 04:35pm
Cisneros won every county that got TV from San Antonio and lost every county that got TV from anywhere else. This is similar to the Cuellar/Ciro Rodriguez primaries of 2004/2006.
Race

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3702.58 points)
May 24, 2022 10:04pm
May need to cue up another year-end nomination...
Race

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