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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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 to CaliforniaModerate
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USER DETAILS |
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| Screen Name | CaliforniaModerate |
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| Name | |
| Location | Los Angeles, , |
| Email | roeaazz@yahoo.com |
| Birthday | August 25, 1997 |
| Affiliation | Nonpartisan |
| First Login | November 15, 2019 02:38am |
| Last Login | March 21, 2024 09:14pm |
| Predictions |
Points: 388.7347
Predictions: 135/191 (70.68%)
Points Per: 388.7347/191 (2.04)
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| Emote Messages |
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| DISCUSSION |
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I think I’m one of the few people who’d rather be Ellzey than Wright at this point (hence my Slight Ellzey rating). I think that it’s important to remember the dynamics here. This is a seat that voted for Trump with only 50% of the vote in contrast to about 47% for Biden. This seat has a lot of democrats, and regardless of how many democrats choose to actually vote in this runoff, there’s no doubt they’ll side with the more moderate one who is likely to work with them on some issues. Ellzey has been accused of being a “nevertrumper” by Ted Cruz and other Trump loyalists. Despite this, he has a strong conservative base in Ellis county and they’ve consistently showed up for him in this district. Susan Wright on the other hand is an underwhelming fundraiser and has made her entire campaign about being endorsed by Trump. She has arguably not made a real case to independents and democrats in the seat who have a negative opinion of Trump. She lacks funds and crossover appeal and is relying on the trump endorsement and democrats not showing up. Ellzey has his rural district base combined with moderate republicans and possibly democrats who choose to vote here. He’s also a stronger fundraiser. I’d put my money on him albeit *slightly* and will say that Wright has serious work cut out for her.
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