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   from Poll Vaulter
USER DETAILS
Screen NamePoll Vaulter   
NameBrad Miller
LocationHolley, ,
Emaillambdaeta58@gmail.com
BirthdayNovember 27, 1969
AffiliationIndependent
First LoginJune 04, 2018 09:23am
Last LoginSeptember 14, 2021 12:02pm
Predictions Points: 324.2112
Predictions: 230/305 (75.41%)
Points Per: 324.2112/305 (1.06)
Emote Messages 13
DISCUSSION
 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)
November 01, 2018 06:33pm
the result here is gonna determine if the National Republicans pulled out due to overconfidence or lack of confidence.. should be a big election
Race

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.08 points)
October 31, 2018 05:02pm
The Lib endorsement may come to late to be of significance considering nearly 245k Montanans have already voted.
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5212.23 points)
October 23, 2018 10:23pm
kinda peculiar that we got Siena to poll MN08 twice and they likely won't poll MN01
Race

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.99 points)
October 23, 2018 02:10pm
This is one of four races that 538 thinks is competitive (lean R) which have not had any polls. [Link]
Race

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.99 points)
x2
October 23, 2018 12:21pm
How do I put this gently...

I think it is a small universe of voters who are not motivated to vote against an African-American woman but are motivated to vote against an African-American woman who protested the Confederate flag. It might increase the intensity of their feelings but they can only vote once.
News

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.62 points)
October 23, 2018 11:54am
CA Pol Junkie: Anyone who cares about this isn't a swing voter or an unlikely voter.

I don’t agree with the unlikely voter aspect of your comment.. The whole purpose of this story coming out now is to motivate complacent Republican leaning voters on a “heritage” wedge issue who might be thinking about skipping the mid-terms.

I will concede that it also might motivate Democrat-leaning voters that don’t see this as a “heritage” issue and see this as Stacy Abrams standing up to racism.
News

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.99 points)
October 23, 2018 09:19am
Poll Vaulter: I normally vote GOP, but I cannot support Collins. The charges against him are credible. I hate Wall Street cheaters. Voting McMurray

You will most likely get a better Republican than Collins in two years so you will have a Republican representing you in the end and the country will be better off if corruption isn't tolerated.
Race

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.36 points)
x4
October 22, 2018 12:21pm
Heitkamp's a goner
Race

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
October 18, 2018 07:17pm
I guess this is mainly targeted towards NV-04. Don't know if the NRCC has been advertising for Tarkanian.
Race

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4947.99 points)
x2
October 16, 2018 10:17am
This cycle has really demonstrated to me how horrible polling is these days, which I assume is a by-product of the pitiful response rate. The hope is that the average of horrible polls is about right, but when you add in the big uncertainty regarding who is going to vote what's left is about 1 step above useless.
Race

 
D:8255My Congressman is a Weiner ( -19.80 points)
October 16, 2018 09:13am
Richard Linklater is doing these ads. I wish movie directors would do more political ads. It would make election season much more bearable.
AdVideo

 
D:6086Jason ( 11889.02 points)
October 09, 2018 01:20pm
Poll Vaulter: For all of you California junkies... Has there ever been a candidate that received over 50% in the open primary but then lost the general election? If so, who.. and when? Thanks!

Mary Bono in 2012 comes to mind. She won the primary by around 15 points before losing to Raul Ruiz in the general election. Both the primary and the runoff featured only those two candidates.
Race

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.04 points)
September 17, 2018 04:31pm
He's done this before: [Link]
Race

  Discussion 0-25 of 13