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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | October 02, 2020 09:28pm |
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | October 02, 2020 12:40am |
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | September 29, 2020 11:35pm |
About to get hyper-partisan: I think it's simply impossible to have a constructive and informative debate with Donald Trump present. There were times where Biden definitely got frustrated and fired back at Trump, and he did interrupt Trump, a couple of times, but most of the chaos was clearly coming from Trump.
As much as I dislike him, if you put Pence in his Trump place, the voters would have a much more likely chance of deciphering both candidates' policies in a Biden-Pence debate because Pence is a much more "normal" politician. Trump's bombastic personality doesn't allow for a serious and constructive debate. Wallace did a poor job and certainly couldn't get control over the debate, but honestly there's not much you can do without a mute button.
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | September 27, 2020 12:39am |
Max Rose is going to get re-elected on the strength of pure hatred of James Dolan and Bill de Blasio alone.
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | September 19, 2020 08:48pm |
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | September 09, 2020 09:57pm |
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| D:9642 | EastTexasDem ( 1194.22 points) | September 04, 2020 04:04pm |
The internal poll with Williams up 12 is 65% landline. I think he's still favored, but it'll be a lot closer than this.
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There was one in Denver: [Link]
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I can't wait until this primary is over so I can stop hearing about it.
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It's a Republican for a Republican, but would this be considered significant enough to mark down as an endorsement? ?s=20
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I'd be extremely surprised if they won nearly all of their targeted seats, but it is possible that their internal polling shows that they can flip the House. But they likely won't flip it by twice the seats they need. If they flipped 18 seats, then Biden would win Texas by a pretty comfortable margin, which I don't see happening (I think he can win by 1-3%, but no more than that).
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I think the convention has been going well so far given the circumstances. There have definitely been some awkward moments, but I kinda like the format and I like how creative they have gotten. I'm glad that a lot of the speeches have been given on-location somewhere in their home states (rather than a "Zoom" convention from each speaker's living room, although we have seen that in some of the taped speeches such as Michelle and Bill's. I liked how they did the roll calls on-location, which kinda showcased the differences among each states. I think that's something they should do in future conventions.
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Any guesses on who it might be? ?s=20
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I never saw him as a formidable candidate anyway. Despite being pretty popular for awhile before the Coronavirus hit, he's not the most charismatic or well-known nationally.
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Terri Sewell is a name I haven't seen brought up before: ?s=20
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He's probably just a big Marianne Williamson fan.
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I would want to see a likely voter poll, but that would still be a pretty big shift if it even got into the lower double digits (the final vote margin would probably be ~20%, maybe 15%). I could possibly see Kenton and Campbell Counties going into single digits, and Biden will likely flip Franklin County. He'll probably do better in Elliott County than Hillary, but I think they have reached the point where they've finally stopped voting Democratic at the presidential level.
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At this point, I'm wondering if she was ever being seriously considered in the first place. Like maybe some close to him were pushing for him and he appeased those voices by saying he'd consider her, and these "sources close to Biden" just kinda put that story out there. But I'm just speculating.
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The ad that writes itself: ?s=20
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Well if the Castro stories weren't enough, hopefully this counts her out:
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Also, this is from The Daily Caller. If there was any merit to this, I'm surprised they didn't hang on to this story. Just gives Biden a less likely chance of picking her.
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Almost hoping at this point Biden picks someone whose name hasn't been put out there at all. Keep everyone debating who it's going to be and then Tammy Baldwin for example gets picked out of nowhere.
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The funny thing is that the more "urban" Smith County was thrown in because they assumed the rural counties would vote Democratic. Sandlin obviously ended up losing many of those rural counties that he won in years prior, but Smith was definitely the most Republican of the TX-01 counties back then. In 2018, Smith was the third *least* Republican.
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