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  Labour Dem
Screen NameLabour Dem   
LocationThousand Oaks, ,
BirthdayApril 23, 1986
First LoginSeptember 28, 2010 07:52pm
Last LoginNovember 29, 2020 06:19pm
Predictions Points: 152.8636
Predictions: 65/84 (77.38%)
Points Per: 152.8636/84 (1.82)
Messages Posted 109
D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)June 25, 2019 12:34am
Doug Jones is probably the most liberal Senator that Alabama has ever had. He has to walk a thin line on some things because he does represent Alabama, but that's how politics works.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)June 20, 2019 05:15pm
Reminiscent of when Democrats left the state of Texas over the Republican mid-decade redistricting plan. They were called the Killer Ds and got quite a bit of press.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)June 12, 2019 04:55pm
Once again he is proving that lies are his specialty.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)May 18, 2019 09:27am
While it's not ideal that Edwards signed that bill at least he is pro-Medicaid in a state that greatly needs it.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)May 01, 2019 09:57pm
If sportswear is going to be the main attack that Republicans have then they are in real trouble in this race.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)May 01, 2019 09:49pm
Apparently several of the statewide races being decided by single digits isn't enough to convince some people. And when I say demographics I mean the suburban, educated vote that Trump has heavily alienated.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)May 01, 2019 08:01pm
Colorado won't be competitive at all and Gardner probably loses by 6% minimum.

Texas will be quite competitive, because the demographics are changing fast and it doesn't always take an A List candidate (whatever that really means) to win.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)February 05, 2019 04:08pm
I can't find any polls with Collins up 20+? Thanks in advance for a citation. And yes, out of state money doesn't at all guarantee a win. There are plenty of right leaning people out of state willing to reward Collins, but she has to be re-elected by people who live in Maine.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)January 21, 2019 11:07am
Someone's wishful thinking ended up on the air.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)January 14, 2019 05:31pm
He did about as well as any Democrat would have been done in one of the most Republican (and evangelical) districts in California. A white Democrat running up and down the street screaming they loved Trump wouldn't have won either and would have actually done worse.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)November 30, 2018 11:27pm
After the antics in NC-9, Republicans need to back off the false claims of fraud against Democrats.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)November 19, 2018 09:50pm
Southwest Riverside County has a lot of evangelicals (at least by California standards.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)November 12, 2018 05:34pm
Valadao ran far behind his usual percentages this cycle so I would not be surprised if the remaining votes are less than favorable to him. There are almond growers in this district and tariffs are not good for them, so I suspect that and increased Latino turnout pulled Valadao down.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 23, 2018 07:30pm
Most of the people offended by this are already supporting Kemp. If anything it probably will help Abrams turn out black voters even more since black people hate the stars and bars.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 22, 2018 11:36am
This will be a non-factor especially considering that the same Miami-Dade GOP Chair criticizing Shalala was caught protesting with the Proud Boys. The district is heavily Clinton and Castro's impact on voting decisions is diminishing more and more every cycle (and that was before he died). Any voter voting based on this was already voting Republican anyway.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 20, 2018 07:51pm
Hernandez has been running ads saying that Kounalakis is merely trying to buy an office, so it's pretty much a race about profiles more than issues. Kounalakis has focused on securing the votes of women and that probably is a good strategy this year. Hernandez does have a ton of labor support though and that is a boost for him. I honestly could see it going either way.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 18, 2018 05:20pm

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 17, 2018 07:04pm
There has never really been a Bradley Effect. It's just a theory that always gets brought up whenever a black candidate is running in any race that isn't centered on a majority black area.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)October 09, 2018 06:52pm
Chris Norby got 59% in the primary for AD-65 in 2012, but went on to lose to Democrat Sharon Quirk-Silva by 4% in the general.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)September 27, 2018 11:45pm
That is quite explosive.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)September 20, 2018 05:36pm
Cox is an awful candidate. His comparing the DMV wait line to the Holocaust and his overall being too conservative for California make it unlikely for him to even make the race close.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)September 20, 2018 03:58pm
Winning a state race and winning a federal race are two different things. If Johnson was to start polling anywhere close to winning the question of who he would caucus with would arise and that would put him at odds with one part of the coalition of voters he needs to win.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)September 20, 2018 03:49pm
McLaughlin had Cantor leading Brat before Cantor went on to lose the primary so I don't think it's wise to put much stock in their polls. A district that Clinton won by 20% probably won't hold up for any Republican, but it might be narrower than expected.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)September 10, 2018 09:12pm
A 1% lead in a traditionally Republican state is hardly a sign of a guaranteed win for McSally and there isn't much that should be drawn from just one poll anyway. Sinema is far from being out of this and is still in a very good position.

D:7918Labour Dem ( 152.86 points)August 22, 2018 12:30pm
The idea that Campa-Najjar is should somehow be held responsible for what his dead grandfather did (who he never knew) is ludicrous. It's a Republican district but I think calling Campa-Najjar a terrorist will only make things worse for Republicans. Hunter is the one with the charges, not Campa-Najjar.

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