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There is going to be a ton of Trump/Brown voters.
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Am I correct in assuming that this is an interesting assortment of plaintiffs and defendants?
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Happy Birthday to you!
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He is Running for Senate.
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Filing just closed. Trump filed at the last minute.
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Jason: Only reason to think this was competitive before was because of Boebert being a known and controversial figure. Frisch now has to run against "generic Republican", a much more formidable opponent.
This. And Frisch fundraising will dry-up.
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BrentinCO: I think the point is that in the context of the entire Election 2023, the LA Gov win is a Republican success and should be considered when evaluating the narrative of who won the election.
I forgot about it. And its a Republican pickup that moves the GOP up to a 27 - 23 advantage in Governors houses.
That's correct. Thank you for correcting a mis-interpretation.
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BrentinCO: I'll say I think it was overall a better night for Dems than Reps, but there were some bright spots for Republicans on the local level.
And keep in mind the GOP picked up a Governorship a few weeks ago.
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BrentinCO: This looks to be a key race if not the key race.
Is it your best estimate that this race is the tipping point race for State Senate control?
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Among other things this is serving to debunk the myth that has been pervasive in recent years that Americans are clamoring for younger leaders.
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Spoiler Alert: They will vote for Biden.
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| R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 190.17 points) | September 29, 2023 07:44am |
She has passed.
Now it gets interesting.
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| R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 190.17 points) | September 18, 2023 06:39am |
The real story here is that a random theater in Denver has significantly better security cameras than most banks.
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| R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 190.17 points) | September 11, 2023 09:29pm |
BrentinCO: I bet Newsome wishes he could take it back. He got no political gain from it and its only caused problems.
Yes. Barbara Boxer would be an ideal caretaker for the next 14 months, but she is white.
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| R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 190.17 points) | September 01, 2023 03:50pm |
For those of you who have an interest in WW2, now is a good time to start following twitter account @RealTimeWWII It just reset to September 1st, 1939.
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E Pluribus Unum:
I'm not a member of the Trump Campaign, and thus site is not a Trump Campaign Page: its not our jobs to make Trump or any candidate to look flattering.
Major slippery slope. Someone needs to have their access lowered if that is their understanding.
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IndyGeorgia: That’s the point. Putin doesn’t want to be subtle. Hacking servers, pushing people out of windows. He wants to be caught. The idea is that everyone knows the government did it and they can do it again (and maybe to you).
Agreed. I think he wants to say it. I think he's pissed off that he's got to hide it from us. I think he wants to say that he made a command decision and that's the end.
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Impressive.
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Great film. I had it in my top 5 for 2022. Does a good job of portraying the realities of war and also the seeds of WW2.
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Luzerne County Historian: It's amazing that this guy went from Green Party to Republican in 5 years.
I take it you've never heard of this family?
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[Not in Public Domain] extended family update.
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This election is the best reminder for Republicans who think Trump can beat Biden in a rematch.
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At one point on here there was quite a bit.
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Runoffs that happen after the new session of Congress starts (like Jan of 2021) deserve dunking. Otherwise runoffs are forces for good in the world.
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Could he appoint Boxer as a caretaker?
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Ehhh this district still has the city of Lexington and the University of Kentucky in it. 33% is pretty close to the floor for a Dem in this district.
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WSNJ: It's either the KY Gov primary, or the Lakers game
AP has called everything of note in KY at 7:15 PM EDT. Still got more than an hour before tip-off.
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WSNJ: It's either the KY Gov primary, or the Lakers game
Results from KY should be known prior to Laker game. At least most of them.
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The Fixer: Proxy war between: DeSantis and Trump going on right now.
The media / blogosphere / election twitter will no doubt play up that angle, but I would absolutely recommend ignoring all of that for reasons including:
1. There isn't one single true Trump candidate in this race. Cameron has Trump's endorsement, but he is way downplaying it, and has quite a bit of establishment support. He is not running a Trump style campaign. Deters is really the "Trump" style candidate in this race and is going to get most of the hard core Trump voters. Deters will overperform as a result. Especially in Northern KY.
2. The DeSantis vote is split between Craft and Quarles. I think she will do well in the Jefferson County country club vote, but is going to get decimated in most of the rest of the state. Every DeSantis person I know is either supporting Quarles or Cameron.
If Cameron wins this, Trump will no doubt take credit and his supporters will eat it up, but that is disconnected from reality.
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There is an account on the twitter that regularly posts screen grabs from this site. Maybe there should be some reciprocity.
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BrentinCO: Bowman is grandstanding.
Absolutely and unfortunately, we seem to have people who seem want to turn the comments section of this site into an Election-twitter level of commentary.
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E Pluribus Unum: Massie fr thought he could get on Bowman's level
Massie would need a self-lobotomy to do that.
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Resigning.
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She's what you get when the GOP shores up MO-2 and MO-3 (basically carving up the old Gephart district).
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This won't pass.
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Any insights on what happened here?
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Barbara Lee is oddly somewhat popular among Ron Paul type of Republicans.
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To win every county in California, and only take 56% of the vote is actually very impressive.
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This person is younger than this site.
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For open State Senate seats in VA, is there an appointment or does it remain vacant until an election?
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Reports are that Cillizza is out.
Once someone figured out a bot or a college sophomore could do his job for a fraction of the cost it was all over.
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[Link]
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Unofficial but as of now it looks like NY-17 was the tipping point district:
#222 CO-03: R+0.2
#221 CA-13: R+0.3 (Estimate)
#220 MI-10: R+0.5
#219 IA-03: R+0.7
#218 NY-17: R+0.8
#217 AZ-01: R+0.9
#216 NY-22: R+0.98
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Campari_007: Chabot finally fell. It just about took forever
The last of the GOP members from the class of 1994 (although with the asterisk). Three Democrats remain.
RBH: considering Ohio's dedication to redistricting over and over, Chabot might be back in 2024
Chabot really has no allies, and my suspicion is in the next round this becomes a Dem vote sink. Better targets are 9 and 13.
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President Pro Tempore-elect.
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Some Macro election predictions:
1. GOP ends up with 232 U.S. House seats
2. Most close Senate seats break toward Dems but GOP manage to get to 51.
3. GOP net plus 2 Governor races
4. Post-Election spin is GOP underperformed relative to historical mid-term norms. And it shouldn't Biden
derail Biden agenda.
5. Feb, 2023 media realizes Biden agenda is effectively derailed.
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Chronicler: I live near Daniel Boone's birthplace, and you live in Boone County - was it just named for him or did he live there?
It was just named after him.
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