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  CaliforniaModerate
USER DETAILS
Screen NameCaliforniaModerate   
NameAaron James
LocationLos Angeles, ,
Emailroeaazz@yahoo.com
BirthdayAugust 25, 1997
AffiliationRepublican
First LoginNovember 15, 2019 02:38am
Last LoginJanuary 19, 2021 07:44am
Predictions Points: 56.9909
Predictions: 44/70 (62.86%)
Points Per: 56.9909/70 (0.81)
Messages Posted 22
DISCUSSION
 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)January 03, 2021 08:13pm
Off topic, Does anyone know how to update the district incumbent to the new members representative following today’s inaugurations? I wanted to begin changing a few members for some districts in my state.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)December 27, 2020 08:28pm
Thank you so much!! I used this and created a special election page and I am adding potential candidates based on local articles. Much appreciated.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)December 27, 2020 11:31am
Thanks! Yeah it’s for a real race actually. California’s 79th assembly district will be holding a special election in the coming months to fill a vacancy from a high profile appointment .
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)December 26, 2020 11:05pm
Off topic question, but how does one create a new race on here? There is a special election near where I am that will be coming in a few months and I wanted to make a page with hypothetical/openly considering candidates.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)November 08, 2020 08:41pm
Honestly I wouldn’t even consider this seat to be as suburban as people label it, this is really kind of a luxury coastal city. Very exclusive coastal neighborhoods with maybe only the far western portion of the district around Huntington Beach and fountain valley having middle class communities.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)November 08, 2020 05:56pm
From what I’ve read, Orange County has counted particularly fast and the remaining mail in ballots in this seat are likely around the 8,000 to 10,000 vote range. Very unlikely that Steel doesn’t win but networks are being very careful about calling seats in California.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)November 07, 2020 04:00am
Underrated/underestimated candidate. Will be interesting to see if this seat is contested heavily next time. That applies to the South Texas seats in general.
Candidate

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)October 29, 2020 08:45pm
Totally beat me to it! McBath is the perfect example. Suburban Southern seat with large African American population, white male candidate with big $$$ loses low turnout special, Dems give up. Young AA candidate runs good campaign that doesn’t get much national attention in a high turnout presidential race where suburban precincts flip From Trump to Biden and voila, she wins as well. Albeit narrowly, it’s super plausible and the DCCC should make a last minute $ drop.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)August 30, 2020 04:08pm
I don’t even think Guam knows at this point lol. It’s strange that they made this decision AFTER so many early votes had been cast.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)August 18, 2020 10:35pm
Completely agree. I think people root for those who get played really dirty like that. Likely was consultants more than the candidate themself, but still think they should be held accountable. If that isn’t illegal already, it should be something legislators look into.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)August 18, 2020 09:39pm
I didn’t have a horse in this race, but super happy Donalds won. That disgusting, fraudulent text sent to all district 19 residents falsely claiming he dropped out today made me feel so sorry for him. I’m glad he seems to have pulled it off anyways and I hope whoever’s campaign was behind that is held accountable.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)August 02, 2020 03:59am
This is the wrong Diane Martinez on this page, the candidate on this race was Diane Janet Martinez of the Paramount City Council who ran in the open 2012 seat won by Anthony Rendon.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)June 17, 2020 05:03pm
This is a rural district that gave Trump over 70% of the vote. There is no real urban/suburban base here. I think quite honestly that the establishment attacking Greene could cause a real Donald Trump/Roy Moore effect of being able to claim outsider status, which is easier for Greene as someone largely self funding. Her controversial comments are quite similar to many of the things Trump said in his early candidacy days.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)April 20, 2020 01:46am
Thank you both!
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)April 19, 2020 06:48pm
Does anyone know the rules for this convention? Does this mean the incumbent has lost or do they just not get a party endorsement?
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 26, 2020 12:53am
I made a duplicate! My apologies. It was my first time trying to add a candidate to a general election who had yet to be called. The ballots are finished counting in AD25.
Candidate

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 23, 2020 06:38pm
@IndyGeorgia Thank you so much! I live in CA and I’m fascinated by some of these races and how competitive this cycle has become.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 23, 2020 05:40pm
Fun fact: Since the creation of this district, every single general election prior to this cycle was an election between either two Republicans or two Democrats. This is the first time in the districts existence that voters will have one Democrat and one Republican in the general election ballot. This is surprising given the district is competitive, having voted narrowly for Obama in 2008, narrowly for Romney in 2012 and then moving sharply towards Clinton in 2016. Horvath is the leaning favorite for re-election in the final election of this district before redistricting, but Burkholder shouldn’t be counted out given the competitive nature of the seat.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 23, 2020 07:30am
Pretty sure at this point with less than 1,000 ballots countywide (Orange County) and only a fraction in this district, Diep has almost certainly lost re-election and it will be a general election between Nguyen - Nguyen.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 22, 2020 11:58pm
This was the most expensive primary of the CA state legislative races for 2020 (primaries). Over $3M was spent between the Calderons and Rubio’s in this race that pitted two political families against each other. Rubio was hot really hard with many attacks despite the Calderons having many legal issues themselves. One has to wonder who would have won if Martinez hadn’t run and the Rubio/Calderon race went to a one on one in November. Calderon has the progressive establishment support while Rubio was a moderate with strong business support.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)March 22, 2020 10:09pm
This is one of the most interesting results of the 2020 primaries. Valladares has most of the local party support while Volotzky seems to have an activist type of campaign. Being an affluent, educated district with an even amount of DEMs and REPs, it’ll be especially interesting to see how the candidates try to appeal to the democratic voters of the seat.
Race

 
R:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 56.99 points)November 15, 2019 02:40am
She’s actually running as a Republican.
Candidate