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NI Assembly - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United Kingdom
>
Northern Ireland
>
NI Assembly
>
Popular Vote
Office
Assembly
Honorific
Assembly - Abbr: Assembly Member
Type
Control Indicator
Filing Deadline
April 01, 2027 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
May 06, 2027 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close
May 06, 2027 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start
June 01, 2027 - 12:00am
Term End
June 01, 2032 - 12:00pm
Contributor
IndyGeorgia
Last Modified
Wnettles03
August 28, 2025 01:07pm
Data Sources
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/08/2025
09/12/2025
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Sinn Féin
2
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Sinn Féin (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Sinn Féin (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
10/27/2023
08/11/2025
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
LucidTalk
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Sinn Féin
Democratic Unionist Party
Traditional Unionist Voice
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland
Social Democratic and Labour Party
Ulster Unionist Party
Green Party of Northern Ireland
Note: Candidates that appear in
italics
are speculative and have not officially announced
Party
Sinn Féin
Democratic Unionist
Traditional Unionist Voice
Alliance
Social Democratic and Labour
Ulster Unionist
Green NI
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
Entry Date
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
26.52%
--
18.88%
--
13.59%
--
12.06%
--
9.36%
--
7.86%
--
2.52%
--
LucidTalk
08/08/25-08/11/25
26.00%
--
17.00%
1.0
13.00%
1.0
12.00%
1.0
11.00%
--
11.00%
1.0
3.00%
--
LucidTalk
05/16/25-05/19/25
26.00%
2.0
18.00%
1.0
12.00%
1.0
13.00%
1.0
11.00%
--
12.00%
1.0
3.00%
1.0
LucidTalk
02/14/25-02/17/25
28.00%
3.0
19.00%
5.0
11.00%
5.0
14.00%
--
11.00%
4.0
11.00%
1.0
2.00%
1.0
LucidTalk
02/09/24-02/12/24
31.00%
--
24.00%
4.0
6.00%
2.0
14.00%
2.0
7.00%
1.0
10.00%
2.0
1.00%
1.0
LucidTalk
10/27/23-10/30/23
31.00%
--
28.00%
--
4.00%
--
16.00%
--
6.00%
--
8.00%
--
2.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I
E Pluribus Unum
S
Zackatron
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Aontú
People Before Profit Alliance
Progressive Unionist Party
Note: Candidates that appear in
italics
are speculative and have not officially announced
Party
Aontú
People Before Profit
Progressive Unionist
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
--
--
--
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
1.92%
--
1.73%
--
0.00%
--
LucidTalk
08/08/25-08/11/25
2.00%
--
2.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
LucidTalk
05/16/25-05/19/25
2.00%
1.0
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
LucidTalk
02/14/25-02/17/25
1.00%
1.0
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
LucidTalk
02/09/24-02/12/24
2.00%
1.0
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
LucidTalk
10/27/23-10/30/23
1.00%
--
1.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
CPCC
Zeus the Moose
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