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  Guatemala President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Guatemala > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 26, 2023 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open June 25, 2023 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close June 25, 2023 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 15, 2024 - 12:05am
Term End January 14, 2028 - 05:00pm
# Winners2
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedBojicat January 15, 2024 08:46am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]

[Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyVamos Won08/11/2019
NameAlejandro Giammattei Votes1,907,801 (57.95%)
Term01/14/2020 - 01/15/2024 Margin523,689 (+15.91%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySemilla Won08/20/2023
NameBernardo Arévalo Votes2,441,661 (60.90%)
Term01/15/2024 - 01/14/2028 Margin874,189 (+21.80%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceGuatemala President - Runoff 08/20/2023
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/08/2023 06/25/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Zury Mayté Ríos Sosa 1 ------
Sandra Torres 1 ------
Leaning Call: Zury Mayté Ríos Sosa (50.00%)
Weighted Call: Zury Mayté Ríos Sosa (-82.40%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/09/2022 06/06/2023

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name Sandra Torres Bernardo Arévalo Manuel Conde Orellana Armando Castillo Edmond Mulet Zury Mayté Ríos Sosa Manuel Villacorta
PartyNational Unity of Hope Semilla Vamos Vision with Values Cabal Valor Will, Opportunity and Solidarity
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.12% in) 881,435 (20.98%) 654,435 (15.58%) 435,562 (10.37%) 403,954 (9.61%) 371,760 (8.85%) 364,987 (8.69%) 238,655 (5.68%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -227,000 (-5.40%) -445,873 (-10.61%) -477,481 (-11.36%) -509,675 (-12.13%) -516,448 (-12.29%) -642,780 (-15.30%)
Estimated Final1,229,542 (44.90%) 660,182 (24.11%) 1,508,894 (55.10%) 407,501 (14.88%) 375,024 (13.70%) 368,192 (13.45%) 240,750 (8.79%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 01/08/2023 01/22/2023 01/07/2023 02/11/2023 12/11/2022 12/11/2022 02/26/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg10.50%-- 0.00%-- 5.84%-- 0.00%-- 0.12%-- -2.12%-- 4.92%--
TResearch International 
05/31/23-06/06/23
19.20% -- 0.00% -- 8.30% -- 0.00% -- 16.00% -- 19.80% -- 1.40% --
TResearch International 
05/31/23-06/06/23
15.90% -- 4.60% -- 2.50% -- 2.10% -- 11.60% -- 17.30% -- 0.00% --
ConDatos 
06/00/23-06/00/23
13.90% -- 6.80% -- 5.50% -- 4.30% -- 13.60% -- 11.10% -- 11.30% --
Massive Caller 
12/07/22-12/07/22
6.00% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 14.50% 0.4 13.10% 2.4 0.00% --
Massive Caller 
10/09/22-10/09/22
5.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 14.10% -- 15.50% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Giovanni Reyes Amílcar Rivera Amílcar Pop Ricardo Sagastume Rudy Guzmán Isaac Farchi Sultán Julio Rivera Clavería
PartyBienestar Nacional Victory Winaq–URNG–MAIZ TODOS Popular Party We Blue Mi Familia
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.12% in) 141,699 (3.37%) 135,587 (3.23%) 87,670 (2.09%) 76,564 (1.82%) 66,082 (1.57%) 61,458 (1.46%) 46,090 (1.10%)
Margin-739,736 (-17.61%) -745,848 (-17.75%) -793,765 (-18.89%) -804,871 (-19.16%) -815,353 (-19.41%) -819,977 (-19.52%) -835,345 (-19.88%)
Estimated Final142,943 (5.22%) 136,777 (5.00%) 88,439 (3.23%) 77,236 (2.82%) 66,662 (2.43%) 61,997 (2.26%) 46,494 (1.70%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 02/12/2023 01/15/2023 01/29/2023 10/23/2022 01/22/2023 12/04/2022 03/19/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
TResearch International 
05/31/23-06/06/23
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TResearch International 
05/31/23-06/06/23
1.80% -- 1.60% -- 0.40% -- 0.30% -- 0.00% -- 1.20% -- 0.00% --
ConDatos 
06/00/23-06/00/23
3.90% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.50% -- 0.00% --
Massive Caller 
12/07/22-12/07/22
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Massive Caller 
10/09/22-10/09/22
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 8 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Carlos Pineda (PC)
Feb 05, 2023 - May 20, 2023
Óscar Castañeda (PODER)
Mar 18, 2023 - Mar 31, 2023
Roberto Arzú (PODEM)
Dec 11, 2022 - Feb 07, 2023
Antonio Malouf (PC)
Jan 29, 2023
Thelma Cabrera (MLP)
Dec 28, 2022 - Jan 27, 2023

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