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  NY District 10 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > NY - District 10
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 10, 2022 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open August 23, 2022 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close August 23, 2022 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Turnout 30.82% Registered 10.91% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedNCdem January 04, 2024 12:17pm
Data Sources[Link]

de Blasio dropped out on July 19 but his name remained on the ballot
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJerrold L. Nadler Votes206,310 (74.49%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin139,421 (+50.34%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameDaniel Goldman Votes160,582 (83.49%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin131,524 (+68.38%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceNY District 10 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/16/2021 08/23/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Yuh-Line Niou 3 ------
Mondaire Jones 2 ------
Carlina Rivera 1 ------
Daniel Goldman 3 1 ----
Leaning Call: Daniel Goldman (45.45%)
Weighted Call: Yuh-Line Niou (60.38%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/24/2022 08/13/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Daniel Goldman St. Rep. Yuh-Line Niou (I) Rep. Mondaire Jones City Councillor Carlina Rivera St. Rep. Jo Anne Simon Comptroller Elizabeth Holtzman Jimmy Li
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 18,505 (25.92%) 16,826 (23.57%) 12,933 (18.12%) 11,810 (16.54%) 4,389 (6.15%) 3,140 (4.40%) 1,170 (1.64%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,679 (-2.35%) -5,572 (-7.80%) -6,695 (-9.38%) -14,116 (-19.77%) -15,365 (-21.52%) -17,335 (-24.28%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,080,482.25 $0.00 8/3 $1,958,061.00 8/3 $116,843.70 $0.00 8/3 $50,480.11 8/3 $20,171.58
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 06/01/2022 05/21/2022 05/21/2022 06/01/2022 06/02/2022 05/25/2022 06/10/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg17.10%-- 15.31%-- 10.58%-- 13.85%-- 7.04%-- 6.84%-- 0.41%--
Emerson College 
08/10/22-08/13/22
21.60% -- 17.20% 12.1 13.10% 6.5 13.20% 10.4 5.90% -- 4.10% -- 0.50% --
Impact Research 
07/22/22-07/26/22
18.00% -- 16.00% -- 10.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
07/19/22-07/23/22
14.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% --
Justice Research 
07/01/22-07/11/22
10.00% -- 16.00% -- 8.00% -- 16.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
07/07/22-07/10/22
12.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 17.00% -- 8.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
05/24/22-05/25/22
0.00% -- 5.10% -- 6.60% -- 2.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Yan Xiong Maud Maron Mayor Bill de Blasio Brian Robinson Pete Gleason Quanda S. Francis (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 742 (1.04%) 625 (0.88%) 519 (0.73%) 341 (0.48%) 162 (0.23%) 129 (0.18%) 100 (0.14%)
Margin-17,763 (-24.88%) -17,880 (-25.05%) -17,986 (-25.19%) -18,164 (-25.44%) -18,343 (-25.69%) -18,376 (-25.74%) -18,405 (-25.78%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $0.00 8/3 $22,422.80 $0.00 $0.00 $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 05/18/2022 05/26/2022 05/20/2022
Dropped Out
07/19/2022
04/14/2022 06/10/2022 06/10/2022 06/10/2022
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.65%-- 1.83%-- 2.99%-- 0.92%-- 0.49%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Emerson College 
08/10/22-08/13/22
0.80% -- 2.10% -- 2.90% 3.0 1.10% 0.6 0.60% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Impact Research 
07/22/22-07/26/22
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
07/19/22-07/23/22
0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Justice Research 
07/01/22-07/11/22
0.00% -- 2.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
07/07/22-07/10/22
0.00% -- 1.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
05/24/22-05/25/22
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.90% -- 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Patrick Dooley (D)
Apr 14, 2022 - Jun 10, 2022
Simcha Felder (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Kathryn A. Garcia (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Shahana K. Hanif (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Jonathan Herzog (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Corey D. Johnson (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Elizabeth Kim (D)
Apr 14, 2022 - Jun 10, 2022
Paperboy Love Prince (D)
Nov 24, 2021 - Jun 10, 2022
Lincoln Restler (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Ashmi Sheth (D)
Apr 14, 2022 - Jun 10, 2022
Dawn L. Smalls (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Brandon West (D)
Jun 10, 2022
Max N. Rose (D)
May 31, 2022
Robert C. Carroll (D)
May 21, 2022
Brad M. Hoylman (D)
May 17, 2022 - May 21, 2022
Cynthia Nixon (D)
May 21, 2022
Nydia M. Velázquez (D)
May 21, 2022
Scott M. Stringer (D)
May 18, 2022
Jerrold L. Nadler (D)
Nov 13, 2021 - May 15, 2022

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/12/2022 Mondaire Jones TVAd Biography eng Never Gave Up.  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 18, 2022 04:00pm News NY-10 debate is a lion's den for Daniel Goldman  Article WA Indy 

DISCUSSION
[View All
33
Previous Messages]
 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Sat, May 21, 2022 02:43:44 PM UTC0:00
What happens with Nydia Velazquez?

 
DFL:9560IDMN ( 355.6826 points)
Sat, May 21, 2022 09:29:59 PM UTC0:00
She's running in NY-07

 
VMan:10380Politicoomer ( -94.0649 points)
Mon, May 23, 2022 01:55:07 PM UTC0:00
everone runs for congress now it seems

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 446.1584 points)
Wed, May 25, 2022 09:59:26 PM UTC0:00
No clue what is reasoning is here...

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, May 25, 2022 10:02:15 PM UTC0:00
Mondire's reasoning is simple: he's used to running in open seats, this seat is open

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Wed, May 25, 2022 10:48:55 PM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: Mondire's reasoning is simple: he's used to running in open seats, this seat is open

LOL - he has only run one other time. Am I missing something did he run in some other open seat we don't have listed here?

I think his reasoning is this district is probably more open to electing a person from outside the district. Park Slope and Lower Manhattan - if there are ppl there are are "natives" they are certainly vastly outnumbered by non-natives.

He also said it in his announcement - he is a gay man and this is the home of Stonewall. He is hoping a built in LGBT constituency gives him some automatic base.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Wed, May 25, 2022 11:01:56 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: LOL - he has only run one other time. Am I missing something did he run in some other open seat we don't have listed here?

The seat he ran for was open.

He originally planned to primary Nita Lowey, but she retired not that long after he jumped in: thus giving him the advantage of running in an open seat.

Mondaire's not used to primarying people, so this is the path of least resistance

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Thu, June 2, 2022 07:33:30 PM UTC0:00
How many candidates are we getting here?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Thu, June 2, 2022 08:36:08 PM UTC0:00
Such disrespect for Mondaire....

Really treatin this like it is an open seat lol

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Thu, June 2, 2022 08:36:18 PM UTC0:00
And nowhere near 50% of the vote required..

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Thu, June 2, 2022 08:59:19 PM UTC0:00
Watch Simcha Felder sneak through.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Tue, July 5, 2022 12:48:25 AM UTC0:00
Winner of this race may not crack 30%, and they'll grab a congressional seat.

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Fri, July 15, 2022 01:38:17 AM UTC0:00
This is quite a race

 
LBT:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -406.9550 points)
Sat, July 16, 2022 08:28:02 PM UTC0:00
Poor Jones

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1716.1335 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 03:59:24 AM UTC0:00
Councilwoman Rivera is currently a slight betting odds favorite over Representative Niou. Should be an interesting race.

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 04:30:02 AM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: Poor Jones

Seems worse for De Blasio for me.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 06:36:07 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Seems worse for De Blasio for me.

But who gives a **** about him.... Jones has it worse cuz he was robbed from his seat

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 08:32:52 PM UTC0:00
Heh, robbed. No one is guaranteed or owns a seat in Congress.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 08:48:46 PM UTC0:00
WA Indy: Heh, robbed. No one is guaranteed or owns a seat in Congress.

Yes robbed.

 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 388.7347 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 08:56:07 PM UTC0:00
I mean to be fair, nothing was stopping Jones from running against Maloney in his own district. Maloney isn’t some kind of electoral juggernaut, it would’ve been competitive. He made an extremely poorly thought out decision to carpetbag to NYC and it looks like he’ll likely be a one termer because of it.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Sun, July 17, 2022 09:42:42 PM UTC0:00
CaliforniaModerate: I mean to be fair, nothing was stopping Jones from running against Maloney in his own district. Maloney isn’t some kind of electoral juggernaut, it would’ve been competitive. He made an extremely poorly thought out decision to carpetbag to NYC and it looks like he’ll likely be a one termer because of it.

The plan was actually gonna be in his favor. Since NY Dem Party was trying to run him against Bowman, where they'd back him.

But he chose this route thinking he'd have a path...guess he was wrong

 
Un:9757BrentinCO ( 6338.6216 points)
Tue, July 19, 2022 03:35:25 AM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: But who gives a **** about him.... Jones has it worse cuz he was robbed from his seat

My point isn't who is gives a **** about him, more that it seems to me he should be pulling more than 3 - 5% in polls.

For a guy that served 2 terms as Mayor and ran for President, to only be placing last or 2nd to last in polls is pretty bad.

Its pretty embarrassing - worse that way.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -193.5252 points)
Tue, July 19, 2022 03:55:26 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: My point isn't who is gives a **** about him, more that it seems to me he should be pulling more than 3 - 5% in polls.

For a guy that served 2 terms as Mayor and ran for President, to only be placing last or 2nd to last in polls is pretty bad.

Its pretty embarrassing - worse that way.

He was polling 15th out of 20 during his Prez run and left office with 26% liking him. It's pretty consistent

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1790.9733 points)
Tue, July 19, 2022 06:29:17 PM UTC0:00
Good on de Blasio for finally taking the hint.

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Tue, July 19, 2022 07:21:13 PM UTC0:00
I wish he had stayed in. I love train wrecks.

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